Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
It is Lorient against Stade Brestois 29 on 2 November 2026 · 19:45 at Stade du Moustoir (Lorient), and Jeremie Pignard will referee. This one looks too close to call. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Lorient are 11th in the table, on 12 points after 9 matches (3W 3D 3L), and Stade Brestois 29 are 10th, on 12 points (3W 3D 3L).
- Attack and defence. On average Lorient score 0.9 goals a match in the competition and concede 0.8; for Stade Brestois 29 the figures are 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Lorient: 3W 3D 2L, goals 7–6; Stade Brestois 29: 2W 3D 3L, goals 14–12.
- Head to head. From 28 meetings: 11 wins for Lorient, 12 wins for Stade Brestois 29 and 5 draws, with the goals at 39–42.
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 1–1 score estimate, roughly 2 goals in all, and 1–1 (13.0%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.
In the goals market we pick Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.75), and we rate it at 56%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 51% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 44% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 28; Lorient 11 wins, 5 draws, Stade Brestois 29 12 wins.
- An average of 2.9 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Lorient 7–6, Stade Brestois 29 14–12.
- Expected: roughly 2 goals; over 2.5 goals: 44%.
- Out: Lorient 2, Stade Brestois 29 3.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 51%, best price 1.91). With roughly 2 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Lorient: B. Fadiga, P. Katseris. Absent for Stade Brestois 29: B. Chardonnet, R. Le Guen, G. Versini. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.62 | 3.24 | 3.08 |
| Market average | 2.55 | 3.15 | 2.96 |
| Lowest odds | 2.50 | 3.00 | 2.88 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.40 | 1.37 | 68.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.26 | 2.18 | 43.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.75 | 1.69 | 56.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.10 | 3.93 | 23.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.91 | 1.85 | 50.6% |
| BTTS – no | 1.95 | 1.89 | 49.4% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 2/11/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 4.8%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Lorient 1–1 Stade Brestois 29, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Lorient 11th (12 points), Stade Brestois 29 10th (12 points).
- Form in the competition: Lorient 3W 3D 2L (7:6), Stade Brestois 29 2W 3D 3L (14:12).
- H2H: 28 matches: Lorient 11W 5D 12L, goals 39–42.
- Absences: Lorient 2, Stade Brestois 29 3.
Who will win Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29: team news and absences
Lorient
- B. Fadigamuscle injury · will miss the match
- P. Katserismuscle injury · will miss the match
Stade Brestois 29
- B. Chardonnetcalf injury · will miss the match
- R. Le Guenbroken leg · will miss the match
- G. Versiniabsence · doubtful
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6-2-1 | 21:10 | 20 |
| 2 |  Lille | 9 | 5-3-1 | 12:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  Lyon | 9 | 5-2-2 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 4 |  Paris FC | 9 | 5-2-2 | 16:10 | 17 |
| 5 |  Rennes | 9 | 5-1-3 | 20:19 | 16 |
| 6 |  Marseille | 9 | 5-0-4 | 20:13 | 15 |
| 7 |  Monaco | 9 | 4-3-2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Nice | 9 | 4-2-3 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 9 |  Lens | 9 | 4-1-4 | 16:13 | 13 |
| 10 | Stade Brestois 29 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 16:12 | 12 |
| 11 | Lorient | 9 | 3-3-3 | 7:8 | 12 |
| 12 |  Toulouse | 9 | 2-4-3 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 13 |  Strasbourg | 9 | 3-1-5 | 17:19 | 10 |
| 14 |  Auxerre | 9 | 3-1-5 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 15 |  Angers | 9 | 2-2-5 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 16 |  Estac Troyes | 9 | 2-2-5 | 7:16 | 8 |
| 17 |  Le Mans | 9 | 1-4-4 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 9 | 0-2-7 | 9:20 | 2 |
Recent matches
Lorient
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
LorientLDWWLStade Brestois 29WLDWLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29?
Lorient +0 (Asian handicap) (1.84); Under 2.5 goals (1.75).
Who will win Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29?
We estimate: Lorient win 37%, draw 30%, Stade Brestois 29 win 32%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 2 November 2026, kick-off: 19:45, venue: Stade du Moustoir, Lorient. Referee: Jeremie Pignard.
Who will be missing?
Lorient: B. Fadiga, P. Katseris. Stade Brestois 29: B. Chardonnet, R. Le Guen, G. Versini. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 44% (odds 2.26); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 56% (odds 1.75).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 51% (odds 1.91).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (13.0%), then 1–0 (11.3%) and 0–1 (10.4%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.