Premier League
Home › Predictions › Stade Brestois 29 vs Nice
Ligue 1 · Matchweek 8 · 23 October 2026 · 19:45

Stade Brestois 29 vs Nice: prediction, tip and odds, 23 October 2026, Ligue 1

1–2
WWLWW
1Stade Brestois 292.41
XDraw3.70
2Nice3.37

Best price · Updated 23/10/26, 18:00

FreshbetBet with Freshbet →
TipOddsProbabilityMore tipsAbsencesTableAnalysisComparisonH2HFAQ

Played: final score 1–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Stade Brestois 29 play Nice at home on 23 October 2026 · 19:45 at Stade Francis-Le-Blé (Brest); the referee is G. Paradis. For us, there is no clear favourite. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.

Stade Brestois 29 vs Nice: tip and prediction
Handicap
Nice +0.25 (Asian handicap)
1.98
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.50
52%Chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match

Bet now →

Stade Brestois 29 vs Nice: analysis of the match

What our tip is based on

  1. Table. Stade Brestois 29 are 10th in the table, on 12 points after 9 matches (3W 3D 3L), and Nice are 8th, on 14 points (4W 2D 3L).
  2. Attack and defence. On average Stade Brestois 29 score 1.9 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.4; for Nice the figures are 0.9 scored and 1.3 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Stade Brestois 29: 2W 3D 2L, goals 13–10; Nice: 2W 2D 3L, goals 6–9.
  4. Head to head. From 22 meetings: 4 wins for Stade Brestois 29, 10 wins for Nice and 8 draws, with the goals at 21–34.

What to expect

We see an evenly matched game, with a 2–1 score estimate, roughly 3 goals in all, and 1–1 (11.5%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.

In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.50), and we rate it at 65%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 60% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 56% chance.

Prediction summary

  1. Meetings: 22; Stade Brestois 29 4 wins, 8 draws, Nice 10 wins.
  2. An average of 2.5 goals per meeting between these teams.
  3. In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Stade Brestois 29 13–10, Nice 6–9.
  4. Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 56%.
  5. Out: Stade Brestois 29 3, Nice 4.

Alternative tip: BTTS – yes

Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 60%, best price 1.57). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.

Absences

Absent for Stade Brestois 29: B. Chardonnet, R. Le Guen, G. Versini. Absent for Nice: A. Abdi, L. Abergel, M. Bombito, A. Mendy. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.

Stade Brestois 29 vs Nice: compare the odds

Match result1X2
Best price2.413.703.37
Market average2.313.483.06
Lowest odds2.223.252.90
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.241.2078.3%
Over 2.5 goals1.761.7155.7%
Under 2.5 goals2.232.1544.3%
Over 3.5 goals2.782.6735.4%
BTTS – yes1.571.5460.2%
BTTS – no2.402.3439.8%

Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 23/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 4.9%.

All bookmakers →

At a glance

  • Likely result: Stade Brestois 29 1–1 Nice, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Stade Brestois 29 10th (12 points), Nice 8th (14 points).
  • Form in the competition: Stade Brestois 29 2W 3D 2L (13:10), Nice 2W 2D 3L (6:9).
  • H2H: 22 matches: Stade Brestois 29 4W 8D 10L, goals 21–34.
  • Absences: Stade Brestois 29 3, Nice 4.

Who will win Stade Brestois 29 vs Nice?

Stade Brestois 2941%
Draw27%
Nice31%

Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

Stade Brestois 29 vs Nice: more betting tips

Over 1.5 goals78.3% · fair odds 1.28 · best 1.24
Likely
Stade Brestois 29 or draw (1X)68.8% · fair odds 1.45 · best 1.40
Likely
Under 3.5 goals64.6% · fair odds 1.55 · best 1.50
Likely
BTTS – yes60.2% · fair odds 1.66 · best 1.57
Likely
Over 2.5 goals55.7% · fair odds 1.80 · best 1.76
Possible
Under 2.5 goals44.3% · fair odds 2.26 · best 2.23
Outsider
Stade Brestois 29 to win41.3% · fair odds 2.42 · best 2.41
Outsider
BTTS – no39.8% · fair odds 2.51 · best 2.40
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals35.4% · fair odds 2.83 · best 2.78
Outsider
Nice to win31.2% · fair odds 3.20 · best 3.37
Outsider
Draw27.5% · fair odds 3.64 · best 3.70
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

Tips on corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.84 · Under 1.91
probability of over 51.0%
Cardsline 3.5 cards
Over 1.86 · Under 1.88
probability of over 50.3%

Correct score prediction

1 : 111.5%
2 : 18.9%
1 : 08.5%
1 : 27.8%
0 : 17.4%
2 : 06.6%

Stade Brestois 29 vs Nice: team news and absences

Stade Brestois 29

  • B. Chardonnetcalf injury · will miss the match
  • R. Le Guenbroken leg · will miss the match
  • G. Versiniabsence · doubtful

Nice

  • A. Abdimuscle injury · will miss the match
  • L. Abergelknee injury · will miss the match
  • M. Bombitoabsence · will miss the match
  • A. Mendyknee injury · will miss the match

Changes are possible before kick-off.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Paris Saint Germain96-2-121:1020
2Lille95-3-112:618
3Lyon95-2-215:717
4Paris FC95-2-216:1017
5Rennes95-1-320:1916
6Marseille95-0-420:1315
7Monaco94-3-212:1015
8Nice94-2-313:1214
9Lens94-1-416:1313
10Stade Brestois 2993-3-316:1212
11Lorient93-3-37:812
12Toulouse92-4-312:1310
13Strasbourg93-1-517:1910
14Auxerre93-1-513:2310
15Angers92-2-59:178
16Estac Troyes92-2-57:168
17Le Mans91-4-411:187
18Le Havre90-2-79:202

Recent matches

Stade Brestois 29

2 NovWLorient 0–2 Stade Brestois 29
23 OctLStade Brestois 29 1–2 Nice
17 OctDLille 1–1 Stade Brestois 29
10 OctWStade Brestois 29 5–1 Angers
20 SeptLAuxerre 2–1 Stade Brestois 29

Nice

30 OctWNice 5–2 Rennes
23 OctWStade Brestois 29 1–2 Nice
18 OctLLyon 2–1 Nice
11 OctWNice 2–1 Strasbourg
20 SeptWNice 2–1 Lille

Home and away

Stade Brestois 29 at home4 matches: 1W 1D 2L, goals 8–6
Nice away4 matches: 1W 0D 3L, goals 3–7

Team comparison

Stade Brestois 29Nice
50%Form50%
60%Attack40%
50%Defence50%
38%Head to head62%
38%Goals63%
54.3%Overall45.8%

Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.

Form in the competition

Stade Brestois 29WLDWL
NiceWWLWW

Head to head

All matches
4Stade Brestois 29
8Draws
10Nice
23/10/26 · Stade Brestois 29 1–2 Nice
1/2/26 · Nice 2–2 Stade Brestois 29
20/9/25 · Stade Brestois 29 4–1 Nice
17/5/25 · Nice 6–0 Stade Brestois 29
2/11/24 · Stade Brestois 29 0–1 Nice
4/2/24 · Stade Brestois 29 0–0 Nice

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin4.9%

Questions and answers

What do we tip for Stade Brestois 29 vs Nice?

Nice +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.98); Under 3.5 goals (1.50).

Who will win Stade Brestois 29 vs Nice?

We estimate: Stade Brestois 29 win 41%, draw 27%, Nice win 31%.

Where and when is the game being played?

Date: 23 October 2026, kick-off: 19:45, venue: Stade Francis-Le-Blé, Brest. Referee: G. Paradis.

Who will be missing?

Stade Brestois 29: B. Chardonnet, R. Le Guen, G. Versini. Nice: A. Abdi, L. Abergel, M. Bombito, A. Mendy. Changes are possible before kick-off.

Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

We estimate over 2.5 goals at 56% (odds 1.76); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 44% (odds 2.23).

Will both teams score?

By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 60% (odds 1.57).

Which correct score is the likeliest?

We rate 1–1 as most likely (11.5%), then 2–1 (8.9%) and 1–0 (8.5%).

What are your predictions based on?

We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

More predictions

Toulouse vs Strasbourg 6 NovAuxerre vs Paris FC 7 NovParis Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes 7 NovRennes vs Lille 8 NovAngers vs Nice 8 Nov

18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.