Played: final score 1–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Stade Brestois 29 play Nice at home on 23 October 2026 · 19:45 at Stade Francis-Le-Blé (Brest); the referee is G. Paradis. For us, there is no clear favourite. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Stade Brestois 29 vs Nice: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Stade Brestois 29 are 10th in the table, on 12 points after 9 matches (3W 3D 3L), and Nice are 8th, on 14 points (4W 2D 3L).
- Attack and defence. On average Stade Brestois 29 score 1.9 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.4; for Nice the figures are 0.9 scored and 1.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Stade Brestois 29: 2W 3D 2L, goals 13–10; Nice: 2W 2D 3L, goals 6–9.
- Head to head. From 22 meetings: 4 wins for Stade Brestois 29, 10 wins for Nice and 8 draws, with the goals at 21–34.
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 2–1 score estimate, roughly 3 goals in all, and 1–1 (11.5%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.50), and we rate it at 65%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 60% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 56% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 22; Stade Brestois 29 4 wins, 8 draws, Nice 10 wins.
- An average of 2.5 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Stade Brestois 29 13–10, Nice 6–9.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 56%.
- Out: Stade Brestois 29 3, Nice 4.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 60%, best price 1.57). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Stade Brestois 29: B. Chardonnet, R. Le Guen, G. Versini. Absent for Nice: A. Abdi, L. Abergel, M. Bombito, A. Mendy. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Stade Brestois 29 vs Nice: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.41 | 3.70 | 3.37 |
| Market average | 2.31 | 3.48 | 3.06 |
| Lowest odds | 2.22 | 3.25 | 2.90 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.24 | 1.20 | 78.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.76 | 1.71 | 55.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.23 | 2.15 | 44.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.78 | 2.67 | 35.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.54 | 60.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.40 | 2.34 | 39.8% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 23/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 4.9%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Stade Brestois 29 1–1 Nice, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Stade Brestois 29 10th (12 points), Nice 8th (14 points).
- Form in the competition: Stade Brestois 29 2W 3D 2L (13:10), Nice 2W 2D 3L (6:9).
- H2H: 22 matches: Stade Brestois 29 4W 8D 10L, goals 21–34.
- Absences: Stade Brestois 29 3, Nice 4.
Who will win Stade Brestois 29 vs Nice?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Stade Brestois 29 vs Nice: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Stade Brestois 29 vs Nice: team news and absences
Stade Brestois 29
- B. Chardonnetcalf injury · will miss the match
- R. Le Guenbroken leg · will miss the match
- G. Versiniabsence · doubtful
Nice
- A. Abdimuscle injury · will miss the match
- L. Abergelknee injury · will miss the match
- M. Bombitoabsence · will miss the match
- A. Mendyknee injury · will miss the match
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 6-2-1 | 21:10 | 20 | |
| 2 | 9 | 5-3-1 | 12:6 | 18 | |
| 3 | 9 | 5-2-2 | 15:7 | 17 | |
| 4 | 9 | 5-2-2 | 16:10 | 17 | |
| 5 | 9 | 5-1-3 | 20:19 | 16 | |
| 6 | 9 | 5-0-4 | 20:13 | 15 | |
| 7 | 9 | 4-3-2 | 12:10 | 15 | |
| 8 | 9 | 4-2-3 | 13:12 | 14 | |
| 9 | 9 | 4-1-4 | 16:13 | 13 | |
| 10 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 16:12 | 12 | |
| 11 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 7:8 | 12 | |
| 12 | 9 | 2-4-3 | 12:13 | 10 | |
| 13 | 9 | 3-1-5 | 17:19 | 10 | |
| 14 | 9 | 3-1-5 | 13:23 | 10 | |
| 15 | 9 | 2-2-5 | 9:17 | 8 | |
| 16 | 9 | 2-2-5 | 7:16 | 8 | |
| 17 | 9 | 1-4-4 | 11:18 | 7 | |
| 18 | 9 | 0-2-7 | 9:20 | 2 |
Recent matches
Stade Brestois 29
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Stade Brestois 29 vs Nice?
Nice +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.98); Under 3.5 goals (1.50).
Who will win Stade Brestois 29 vs Nice?
We estimate: Stade Brestois 29 win 41%, draw 27%, Nice win 31%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 23 October 2026, kick-off: 19:45, venue: Stade Francis-Le-Blé, Brest. Referee: G. Paradis.
Who will be missing?
Stade Brestois 29: B. Chardonnet, R. Le Guen, G. Versini. Nice: A. Abdi, L. Abergel, M. Bombito, A. Mendy. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 56% (odds 1.76); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 44% (odds 2.23).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 60% (odds 1.57).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (11.5%), then 2–1 (8.9%) and 1–0 (8.5%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
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