Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Lorient v Monaco: 18 October 2026 · 16:15 at Stade du Moustoir (Lorient), with M. Bollengier refereeing. We have Monaco (46%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
Lorient vs Monaco: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Lorient are 11th in the table, on 12 points after 9 matches (3W 3D 3L), and Monaco are 7th, on 15 points (4W 3D 2L).
What to expect
For us, Monaco are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (12.3%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.80), and we rate it at 53%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 53% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 49% chance.
Prediction summary
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 49%.
- Out: Lorient 0, Monaco 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 53%, best price 1.80). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Lorient: no absences. Absent for Monaco: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Lorient vs Monaco: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 3.82 | 3.50 | 2.15 |
| Market average | 3.64 | 3.43 | 2.08 |
| Lowest odds | 3.50 | 3.30 | 2.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.31 | 1.29 | 72.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.05 | 1.97 | 48.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.91 | 1.87 | 51.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.43 | 3.31 | 28.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.76 | 52.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.00 | 1.96 | 47.3% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 18/10/26, 13:01. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 4.7%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Lorient 1–1 Monaco, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Lorient 11th (12 points), Monaco 7th (15 points).
- Absences: Lorient 0, Monaco 0.
Who will win Lorient vs Monaco?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Lorient vs Monaco: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Lorient vs Monaco: team news and absences
Lorient
- No reported absences
Monaco
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6-2-1 | 21:10 | 20 |
| 2 |  Lille | 9 | 5-3-1 | 12:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  Lyon | 9 | 5-2-2 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 4 |  Paris FC | 9 | 5-2-2 | 16:10 | 17 |
| 5 |  Rennes | 9 | 5-1-3 | 20:19 | 16 |
| 6 |  Marseille | 9 | 5-0-4 | 20:13 | 15 |
| 7 | Monaco | 9 | 4-3-2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Nice | 9 | 4-2-3 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 9 |  Lens | 9 | 4-1-4 | 16:13 | 13 |
| 10 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 16:12 | 12 |
| 11 | Lorient | 9 | 3-3-3 | 7:8 | 12 |
| 12 |  Toulouse | 9 | 2-4-3 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 13 |  Strasbourg | 9 | 3-1-5 | 17:19 | 10 |
| 14 |  Auxerre | 9 | 3-1-5 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 15 |  Angers | 9 | 2-2-5 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 16 |  Estac Troyes | 9 | 2-2-5 | 7:16 | 8 |
| 17 |  Le Mans | 9 | 1-4-4 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 9 | 0-2-7 | 9:20 | 2 |
Recent matches
Lorient
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Lorient vs Monaco?
Monaco +0 (Asian handicap) (1.55); Both teams to score (1.80).
Who will win Lorient vs Monaco?
We estimate: Lorient win 26%, draw 28%, Monaco win 46%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 18 October 2026, kick-off: 16:15, venue: Stade du Moustoir, Lorient. Referee: M. Bollengier.
Who will be missing?
Lorient: no absences. Monaco: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 49% (odds 2.05); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 51% (odds 1.91).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 53% (odds 1.80).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (12.3%), then 0–1 (11.1%) and 1–2 (9.2%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
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