Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
It is Lille against Stade Brestois 29 on 17 October 2026 · 19:45 at Stade Pierre-Mauroy (Lille), and C. Turpin will referee. Lille (47%) start as favourites in our view. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
Lille vs Stade Brestois 29: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Lille are 2nd in the table, on 18 points after 9 matches (5W 3D 1L), and Stade Brestois 29 are 10th, on 12 points (3W 3D 3L).
What to expect
For us, Lille are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (11.5%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.46), and we rate it at 66%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 58% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 55% chance.
Prediction summary
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 55%.
- Out: Lille 0, Stade Brestois 29 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 58%, best price 1.65). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Lille: no absences. Absent for Stade Brestois 29: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Lille vs Stade Brestois 29: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.08 | 3.78 | 3.72 |
| Market average | 2.05 | 3.62 | 3.53 |
| Lowest odds | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.40 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.22 | 1.20 | 77.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.79 | 1.74 | 54.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.18 | 2.11 | 45.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.85 | 2.72 | 34.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.65 | 1.61 | 57.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.22 | 2.20 | 42.3% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 17/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 4.9%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Lille 1–1 Stade Brestois 29, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Lille 2nd (18 points), Stade Brestois 29 10th (12 points).
- Absences: Lille 0, Stade Brestois 29 0.
Who will win Lille vs Stade Brestois 29?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Lille vs Stade Brestois 29: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Lille vs Stade Brestois 29: team news and absences
Lille
- No reported absences
Stade Brestois 29
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6-2-1 | 21:10 | 20 |
| 2 | Lille | 9 | 5-3-1 | 12:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  Lyon | 9 | 5-2-2 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 4 |  Paris FC | 9 | 5-2-2 | 16:10 | 17 |
| 5 |  Rennes | 9 | 5-1-3 | 20:19 | 16 |
| 6 |  Marseille | 9 | 5-0-4 | 20:13 | 15 |
| 7 |  Monaco | 9 | 4-3-2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Nice | 9 | 4-2-3 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 9 |  Lens | 9 | 4-1-4 | 16:13 | 13 |
| 10 | Stade Brestois 29 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 16:12 | 12 |
| 11 |  Lorient | 9 | 3-3-3 | 7:8 | 12 |
| 12 |  Toulouse | 9 | 2-4-3 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 13 |  Strasbourg | 9 | 3-1-5 | 17:19 | 10 |
| 14 |  Auxerre | 9 | 3-1-5 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 15 |  Angers | 9 | 2-2-5 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 16 |  Estac Troyes | 9 | 2-2-5 | 7:16 | 8 |
| 17 |  Le Mans | 9 | 1-4-4 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 9 | 0-2-7 | 9:20 | 2 |
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Lille vs Stade Brestois 29?
Draw or Stade Brestois 29 (X2) (1.84); Under 3.5 goals (1.46).
Who will win Lille vs Stade Brestois 29?
We estimate: Lille win 47%, draw 26%, Stade Brestois 29 win 27%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 17 October 2026, kick-off: 19:45, venue: Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Lille. Referee: C. Turpin.
Who will be missing?
Lille: no absences. Stade Brestois 29: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 55% (odds 1.79); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 45% (odds 2.18).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 58% (odds 1.65).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (11.5%), then 1–0 (9.5%) and 2–1 (9.4%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
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