Bet with Freshbet →Manchester City v Fulham: 21 November 2026 · 12:30 at Etihad Stadium (Manchester). We have Manchester City (67%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
Manchester City vs Fulham: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Manchester City are 2nd in the table, on 21 points after 9 matches (7W 0D 2L), and Fulham are 15th, on 9 points (2W 3D 4L).
What to expect
For us, Manchester City are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 2–1 (9.8%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.52), and we rate it at 64%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 56% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 64% chance.
Prediction summary
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 64%.
- Out: Manchester City 0, Fulham 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals (probability 57%, best price 1.72). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Manchester City: no absences. Absent for Fulham: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Manchester City vs Fulham: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.46 | 5.24 | 7.50 |
| Market average | 1.41 | 4.94 | 6.74 |
| Lowest odds | 1.36 | 4.41 | 5.80 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.17 | 1.14 | 81.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.52 | 1.48 | 63.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.66 | 2.61 | 36.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.30 | 2.26 | 42.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.75 | 1.68 | 55.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.15 | 2.10 | 44.4% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 5/11/26, 03:43. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.2%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Manchester City 2–1 Fulham, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Manchester City 2nd (21 points), Fulham 15th (9 points).
- Absences: Manchester City 0, Fulham 0.
Who will win Manchester City vs Fulham?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Manchester City vs Fulham: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Correct score prediction
Manchester City vs Fulham: team news and absences
Manchester City
- No reported absences
Fulham
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 9 | 8-0-1 | 14:5 | 24 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 9 | 7-0-2 | 20:10 | 21 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 9 | 6-1-2 | 24:7 | 19 |
| 4 |  Chelsea | 9 | 5-1-3 | 19:15 | 16 |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 9 | 4-3-2 | 11:9 | 15 |
| 6 |  Brentford | 9 | 3-5-1 | 16:9 | 14 |
| 7 |  Everton | 9 | 3-4-2 | 9:9 | 13 |
| 8 |  Bournemouth | 9 | 3-3-3 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 9 |  Tottenham | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 10 |  Aston Villa | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 11 |  Hull City | 9 | 2-5-2 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 12 |  Leeds | 9 | 2-5-2 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 13 |  Newcastle | 9 | 3-2-4 | 12:15 | 11 |
| 14 |  Ipswich | 9 | 3-2-4 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 15 | Fulham | 9 | 2-3-4 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 16 |  Coventry | 9 | 3-0-6 | 9:16 | 9 |
| 17 |  Manchester United | 9 | 1-4-4 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 18 |  Crystal Palace | 9 | 2-1-6 | 9:21 | 7 |
| 19 |  Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1-3-5 | 6:12 | 6 |
| 20 |  Sunderland | 9 | 1-2-6 | 7:17 | 5 |
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Manchester City vs Fulham?
Under 3.5 goals (1.72); Manchester City to win (1.46).
Who will win Manchester City vs Fulham?
We estimate: Manchester City win 67%, draw 19%, Fulham win 14%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 21 November 2026, kick-off: 12:30, venue: Etihad Stadium, Manchester.
Who will be missing?
Manchester City: no absences. Fulham: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 64% (odds 1.52); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 36% (odds 2.66).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 56% (odds 1.75).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 2–1 as most likely (9.8%), then 2–0 (9.8%) and 1–1 (8.5%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
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