Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 6–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Molde v Start: 18 October 2026 · 16:00 at Aker Stadion (Molde), with Stian Rovig Sletner, Norway refereeing. We have Molde (71%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
Molde vs Start: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Molde are 3rd in the table, on 43 points after 25 matches (13W 4D 8L), and Start are 16th, on 19 points (5W 4D 16L).
- Head to head. From 8 meetings: 5 wins for Molde, 0 wins for Start and 3 draws, with the goals at 24–9.
What to expect
For us, Molde are the more likely winners. We estimate a 3–1 score, roughly 4 goals in all, with 2–1 (9.3%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.62), and we rate it at 59%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 59% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 69% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 8; Molde 5 wins, 3 draws, Start 0 wins.
- An average of 4.1 goals per meeting between these teams.
- Expected: roughly 4 goals; over 2.5 goals: 69%.
- Out: Molde 0, Start 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 59%, best price 1.62). With roughly 4 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Molde: no absences. Absent for Start: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Molde vs Start: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.35 | 5.89 | 8.17 |
| Market average | 1.32 | 5.39 | 7.68 |
| Lowest odds | 1.29 | 5.00 | 7.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.11 | 1.08 | 86.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.37 | 1.34 | 69.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.22 | 3.04 | 30.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.94 | 1.88 | 49.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.58 | 58.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.30 | 2.25 | 41.2% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 18/10/26, 12:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.3%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Molde 2–1 Start, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Molde 3rd (43 points), Start 16th (19 points).
- H2H: 8 matches: Molde 5W 3D 0L, goals 24–9.
- Absences: Molde 0, Start 0.
Who will win Molde vs Start?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Molde vs Start: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Molde vs Start: team news and absences
Molde
- No reported absences
Start
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viking | 25 | 19-2-4 | 64:26 | 59 |
| 2 |  Bodø/Glimt | 25 | 19-2-4 | 61:23 | 59 |
| 3 | Molde | 25 | 13-4-8 | 59:39 | 43 |
| 4 |  Rosenborg | 25 | 13-4-8 | 49:31 | 43 |
| 5 |  Lillestrøm | 25 | 13-3-9 | 36:33 | 42 |
| 6 |  Tromsø | 25 | 11-7-7 | 43:38 | 40 |
| 7 |  Brann | 25 | 10-2-13 | 45:42 | 32 |
| 8 |  Vålerenga | 25 | 9-5-11 | 43:46 | 32 |
| 9 |  Sarpsborg 08 FF | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:39 | 31 |
| 10 |  KFUM Oslo | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:41 | 31 |
| 11 |  Fredrikstad | 25 | 8-5-12 | 29:44 | 29 |
| 12 |  Sandefjord | 25 | 7-6-12 | 26:34 | 27 |
| 13 |  Ham-Kam | 25 | 7-6-12 | 35:53 | 27 |
| 14 |  Aalesund | 25 | 5-9-11 | 43:57 | 24 |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 25 | 6-5-14 | 29:51 | 23 |
| 16 | Start | 25 | 5-4-16 | 26:55 | 19 |
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Molde vs Start?
Start +1.75 (Asian handicap) (1.81); Both teams to score (1.62).
Who will win Molde vs Start?
We estimate: Molde win 71%, draw 17%, Start win 12%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 18 October 2026, kick-off: 16:00, venue: Aker Stadion, Molde. Referee: Stian Rovig Sletner, Norway.
Who will be missing?
Molde: no absences. Start: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 69% (odds 1.37); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 31% (odds 3.22).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 59% (odds 1.62).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 2–1 as most likely (9.3%), then 2–0 (9.3%) and 3–1 (7.9%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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