Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
It is Start against Sandefjord on 25 October 2026 · 16:00 at Sør Arena (Kristiansand), and Rohit Saggi will referee. This one looks too close to call. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
Start vs Sandefjord: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Start are 16th in the table, on 19 points after 25 matches (5W 4D 16L), and Sandefjord are 12th, on 27 points (7W 6D 12L).
- Attack and defence. On average Start score 1.1 goals a match in the competition and concede 2.3; for Sandefjord the figures are 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Start: 4W 4D 15L, goals 25–54; Sandefjord: 6W 6D 11L, goals 22–30.
- Head to head. From 11 meetings: 2 wins for Start, 5 wins for Sandefjord and 4 draws, with the goals at 11–20.
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 2–2 score estimate, roughly 4 goals in all, and 1–1 (10.8%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
What stands out is that the table favours the Sandefjord, whereas the betting market leans slightly towards the home side. When the indicators disagree like this, the match is difficult to read, and a more careful bet is the sensible choice.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.55), and we rate it at 62%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 62% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 59% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 11; Start 2 wins, 4 draws, Sandefjord 5 wins.
- An average of 2.8 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Start 25–54, Sandefjord 22–30.
- Expected: roughly 4 goals; over 2.5 goals: 59%.
- Out: Start 4, Sandefjord 5.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 62%, best price 1.55). With roughly 4 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Start: J. Husebo, F. Manojlovic, E. Segberg, K. Tonnesen. Absent for Sandefjord: D. Koswal, F. Loftesnes-Bjune, M. Melchior, N. Moller, E. Hadaya. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Start vs Sandefjord: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.42 | 4.05 | 2.75 |
| Market average | 2.34 | 3.77 | 2.64 |
| Lowest odds | 2.25 | 3.50 | 2.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.17 | 80.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.62 | 1.58 | 59.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.46 | 2.33 | 40.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.50 | 2.45 | 38.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.55 | 1.50 | 62.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.63 | 2.45 | 38.0% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 25/10/26, 12:04. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.1%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Start 1–1 Sandefjord, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Start 16th (19 points), Sandefjord 12th (27 points).
- Form in the competition: Start 4W 4D 15L (25:54), Sandefjord 6W 6D 11L (22:30).
- H2H: 11 matches: Start 2W 4D 5L, goals 11–20.
- Absences: Start 4, Sandefjord 5.
Who will win Start vs Sandefjord?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Start vs Sandefjord: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Start vs Sandefjord: team news and absences
Start
- J. Husebofoot injury · will miss the match
- F. Manojlovicabsence · will miss the match
- E. Segbergabsence · will miss the match
- K. Tonnesenabsence · will miss the match
Sandefjord
- D. Koswalknee injury · will miss the match
- F. Loftesnes-Bjunethigh injury · will miss the match
- M. Melchiorknee injury · will miss the match
- N. Mollerankle injury · will miss the match
- E. Hadayainjury · doubtful
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viking | 25 | 19-2-4 | 64:26 | 59 |
| 2 |  Bodø/Glimt | 25 | 19-2-4 | 61:23 | 59 |
| 3 |  Molde | 25 | 13-4-8 | 59:39 | 43 |
| 4 |  Rosenborg | 25 | 13-4-8 | 49:31 | 43 |
| 5 |  Lillestrøm | 25 | 13-3-9 | 36:33 | 42 |
| 6 |  Tromsø | 25 | 11-7-7 | 43:38 | 40 |
| 7 |  Brann | 25 | 10-2-13 | 45:42 | 32 |
| 8 |  Vålerenga | 25 | 9-5-11 | 43:46 | 32 |
| 9 |  Sarpsborg 08 FF | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:39 | 31 |
| 10 |  KFUM Oslo | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:41 | 31 |
| 11 |  Fredrikstad | 25 | 8-5-12 | 29:44 | 29 |
| 12 | Sandefjord | 25 | 7-6-12 | 26:34 | 27 |
| 13 |  Ham-Kam | 25 | 7-6-12 | 35:53 | 27 |
| 14 |  Aalesund | 25 | 5-9-11 | 43:57 | 24 |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 25 | 6-5-14 | 29:51 | 23 |
| 16 | Start | 25 | 5-4-16 | 26:55 | 19 |
Recent matches
Start
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
StartLWLLLSandefjordWLLDWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Start vs Sandefjord?
Start +0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.52); Both teams to score (1.55).
Who will win Start vs Sandefjord?
We estimate: Start win 40%, draw 25%, Sandefjord win 35%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 25 October 2026, kick-off: 16:00, venue: Sør Arena, Kristiansand. Referee: Rohit Saggi.
Who will be missing?
Start: J. Husebo, F. Manojlovic, E. Segberg, K. Tonnesen. Sandefjord: D. Koswal, F. Loftesnes-Bjune, M. Melchior, N. Moller, E. Hadaya. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 59% (odds 1.62); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 41% (odds 2.46).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 62% (odds 1.55).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (10.8%), then 2–1 (8.6%) and 1–2 (8.1%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.