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La Liga · Matchweek 10 · 24 October 2026 · 15:15

Racing Santander vs Espanyol: prediction, tip and odds, 24 October 2026, La Liga

1Racing Santander2.37
XDraw3.75
2Espanyol3.05

Best price · Updated 24/10/26, 12:03

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Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Racing Santander v Espanyol: 24 October 2026 · 15:15 at El Sardinero (Santander), with Jesús Gil Manzano, Spain refereeing. We see little between the teams. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.

Racing Santander vs Espanyol: tip and prediction
Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.70
Result (even match)
Racing Santander or draw (1X)
1.43
58%Chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match

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Racing Santander vs Espanyol: analysis of the match

What our tip is based on

  1. Table. Racing Santander are 16th in the table, on 11 points after 11 matches (3W 2D 6L), and Espanyol are 14th, on 11 points (3W 2D 6L).
  2. Attack and defence. On average Racing Santander score 1.4 goals a match in the competition and concede 2.8; for Espanyol the figures are 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Racing Santander: 2W 2D 5L, goals 13–25; Espanyol: 2W 2D 5L, goals 11–12.
  4. Head to head. From 7 meetings: 3 wins for Racing Santander, 3 wins for Espanyol and 1 draw, with the goals at 7–8.

What to expect

We see an evenly matched game, with a 2–1 score estimate, roughly 3 goals in all, and 1–1 (11.2%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.

In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.56), and we rate it at 63%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 62% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 58% chance.

Prediction summary

  1. Meetings: 7; Racing Santander 3 wins, 1 draw, Espanyol 3 wins.
  2. An average of 2.1 goals per meeting between these teams.
  3. In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Racing Santander 13–25, Espanyol 11–12.
  4. Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 58%.
  5. Out: Racing Santander 1, Espanyol 2.

Alternative tip: BTTS – yes

Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 62%, best price 1.53). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.

Absences

Absent for Racing Santander: S. Eriksson. Absent for Espanyol: K. Garcia, Jofre. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.

Racing Santander vs Espanyol: compare the odds

Match result1X2
Best price2.373.753.05
Market average2.303.632.98
Lowest odds2.253.402.90
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.221.1979.2%
Over 2.5 goals1.701.6458.4%
Under 2.5 goals2.402.2941.6%
Over 3.5 goals2.632.5337.3%
BTTS – yes1.531.5161.9%
BTTS – no2.502.4438.1%

Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 24/10/26, 12:03. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 4.7%.

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At a glance

  • Likely result: Racing Santander 1–1 Espanyol, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Racing Santander 16th (11 points), Espanyol 14th (11 points).
  • Form in the competition: Racing Santander 2W 2D 5L (13:25), Espanyol 2W 2D 5L (11:12).
  • H2H: 7 matches: Racing Santander 3W 1D 3L, goals 7–8.
  • Absences: Racing Santander 1, Espanyol 2.

Who will win Racing Santander vs Espanyol?

Racing Santander42%
Draw26%
Espanyol32%

Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

Racing Santander vs Espanyol: more betting tips

Over 1.5 goals79.2% · fair odds 1.26 · best 1.22
Likely
Racing Santander or draw (1X)67.9% · fair odds 1.47 · best 1.43
Likely
Under 3.5 goals62.7% · fair odds 1.60 · best 1.56
Likely
BTTS – yes61.9% · fair odds 1.62 · best 1.53
Likely
Over 2.5 goals58.4% · fair odds 1.71 · best 1.70
Possible
Under 2.5 goals41.6% · fair odds 2.40 · best 2.40
Outsider
Racing Santander to win41.6% · fair odds 2.40 · best 2.37
Outsider
BTTS – no38.1% · fair odds 2.62 · best 2.50
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals37.3% · fair odds 2.68 · best 2.63
Outsider
Espanyol to win32.1% · fair odds 3.12 · best 3.05
Outsider
Draw26.3% · fair odds 3.80 · best 3.75
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

Tips on corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.71 · Under 2.04
probability of over 54.4%
Cardsline 4.5 cards
Over 1.53 · Under 2.49
probability of over 61.6%

Correct score prediction

1 : 111.2%
2 : 18.9%
1 : 08.0%
1 : 27.8%
0 : 17.0%
2 : 06.4%

Racing Santander vs Espanyol: team news and absences

Racing Santander

  • S. Erikssonshoulder injury · will miss the match

Espanyol

  • K. Garciahamstring injury · will miss the match
  • Jofregroin injury · will miss the match

Changes are possible before kick-off.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Barcelona1110-0-146:1230
2Atlético Madrid119-1-122:828
3Real Madrid119-0-228:1027
4Real Betis117-2-218:1523
5Real Sociedad116-1-420:2019
6Sevilla115-2-417:1917
7Athletic Club104-3-314:1015
8Deportivo La Coruña113-5-315:1414
9Villarreal113-3-515:1512
10Celta Vigo112-6-310:1012
11Alavés113-3-515:1712
12Rayo Vallecano103-3-415:2012
13Getafe113-3-58:1612
14Espanyol113-2-613:1411
15Osasuna113-2-611:2211
16Racing Santander113-2-615:2911
17Elche112-4-514:1810
18Levante112-4-516:2110
19Valencia112-3-68:179
20Málaga110-5-68:215

Recent matches

Racing Santander

1 NovLRacing Santander 0–3 Real Madrid
24 OctWRacing Santander 2–1 Espanyol
18 OctLOsasuna 2–0 Racing Santander
11 OctDRacing Santander 2–2 Valencia
19 SeptLCelta Vigo 5–0 Racing Santander

Espanyol

30 OctWVillarreal 0–1 Espanyol
24 OctLRacing Santander 2–1 Espanyol
17 OctLEspanyol 0–1 Atlético Madrid
9 OctDMálaga 1–1 Espanyol
18 SeptLEspanyol 1–3 Elche

Home and away

Racing Santander at home6 matches: 3W 2D 1L, goals 11–11
Espanyol away6 matches: 2W 1D 3L, goals 7–7

Team comparison

Racing SantanderEspanyol
50%Form50%
55%Attack45%
29%Defence71%
40%Head to head60%
42%Goals58%
44.3%Overall55.7%

Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.

Form in the competition

Racing SantanderLWLDL
EspanyolWLLDL

Head to head

All matches
3Racing Santander
1Draws
3Espanyol
24/10/26 · Racing Santander 2–1 Espanyol
10/2/24 · Racing Santander 2–0 Espanyol
19/8/23 · Espanyol 2–0 Racing Santander
19/3/12 · Espanyol 3–1 Racing Santander
22/10/11 · Racing Santander 0–1 Espanyol
3/4/11 · Espanyol 1–2 Racing Santander

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin4.7%

Questions and answers

What do we tip for Racing Santander vs Espanyol?

Over 2.5 goals (1.70); Racing Santander or draw (1X) (1.43).

Who will win Racing Santander vs Espanyol?

We estimate: Racing Santander win 42%, draw 26%, Espanyol win 32%.

Where and when is the game being played?

Date: 24 October 2026, kick-off: 15:15, venue: El Sardinero, Santander. Referee: Jesús Gil Manzano, Spain.

Who will be missing?

Racing Santander: S. Eriksson. Espanyol: K. Garcia, Jofre. Changes are possible before kick-off.

Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

We estimate over 2.5 goals at 58% (odds 1.70); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 42% (odds 2.40).

Will both teams score?

By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 62% (odds 1.53).

Which correct score is the likeliest?

We rate 1–1 as most likely (11.2%), then 2–1 (8.9%) and 1–0 (8.0%).

What are your predictions based on?

We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

More predictions

Sevilla vs Alavés 6 NovMálaga vs Racing Santander 7 NovEspanyol vs Deportivo La Coruña 7 NovOsasuna vs Athletic Club 7 NovValencia vs Real Madrid 7 Nov

18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.