Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
FC Schalke 04 play RB Leipzig at home on 31 October 2026 · 14:30 at VELTINS-Arena (Gelsenkirchen); the referee is Max Burda. For us, RB Leipzig (51%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
FC Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. FC Schalke 04 are 17th in the table, on 6 points after 8 matches (1W 3D 4L), and RB Leipzig are 4th, on 15 points (5W 0D 3L).
- Attack and defence. On average FC Schalke 04 score 0.6 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.0; for RB Leipzig the figures are 2.9 scored and 1.6 conceded.
- Form in the competition. FC Schalke 04: 1W 3D 3L, goals 4–7; RB Leipzig: 4W 0D 3L, goals 20–11.
- Head to head. From 13 meetings: 2 wins for FC Schalke 04, 9 wins for RB Leipzig and 2 draws, with the goals at 11–32.
What to expect
For us, RB Leipzig are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (10.4%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.53), and we rate it at 62%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 62% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 61% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 13; FC Schalke 04 2 wins, 2 draws, RB Leipzig 9 wins.
- An average of 3.3 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: FC Schalke 04 4–7, RB Leipzig 20–11.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 61%.
- Out: FC Schalke 04 7, RB Leipzig 3.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 62%, best price 1.53). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for FC Schalke 04: J. Bachmann, S. El-Faouzi, A. Gantenbein, R. Gosens, M. Sylla, L. Vozar, M. Wober. Absent for RB Leipzig: M. Esteve, M. Guiu, A. Ouedraogo. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
FC Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 4.07 | 4.11 | 1.93 |
| Market average | 3.89 | 3.84 | 1.87 |
| Lowest odds | 3.29 | 3.58 | 1.80 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.19 | 1.15 | 81.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.60 | 1.55 | 60.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.45 | 2.39 | 39.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.45 | 2.37 | 40.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.53 | 1.50 | 62.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.63 | 2.46 | 37.8% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 31/10/26, 14:09. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 5.4%.
At a glance
- Likely result: FC Schalke 04 1–1 RB Leipzig, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: FC Schalke 04 17th (6 points), RB Leipzig 4th (15 points).
- Form in the competition: FC Schalke 04 1W 3D 3L (4:7), RB Leipzig 4W 0D 3L (20:11).
- H2H: 13 matches: FC Schalke 04 2W 2D 9L, goals 11–32.
- Absences: FC Schalke 04 7, RB Leipzig 3.
Who will win FC Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
FC Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
FC Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig: team news and absences
FC Schalke 04
- J. Bachmannhip injury · will miss the match
- S. El-Faouziabsence · will miss the match
- A. Gantenbeinmuscle injury · will miss the match
- R. Gosensabsence · will miss the match
- M. Syllaabsence · will miss the match
- L. Vozarillness · will miss the match
- M. Wobermuscle injury · will miss the match
RB Leipzig
- M. Esteveknock · will miss the match
- M. Guiuhamstring injury · will miss the match
- A. Ouedraogoshoulder injury · will miss the match
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 8 | 5-3-0 | 27:8 | 18 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 5-3-0 | 14:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 8 | 5-1-2 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 8 | 5-0-3 | 22:11 | 15 |
| 5 |  Werder Bremen | 8 | 4-3-1 | 17:14 | 15 |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 4-1-3 | 18:16 | 13 |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 8 | 4-1-3 | 16:16 | 13 |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 3-2-3 | 13:18 | 11 |
| 9 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 3-1-4 | 17:17 | 10 |
| 10 |  FC Augsburg | 8 | 2-3-3 | 18:15 | 9 |
| 11 |  VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 12 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 13 |  1. FC Köln | 8 | 2-3-3 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 14 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 6:9 | 9 |
| 15 |  Hamburger SV | 8 | 3-0-5 | 7:19 | 9 |
| 16 |  Union Berlin | 8 | 1-4-3 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 | 8 | 1-3-4 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 8 | 1-1-6 | 11:22 | 4 |
Recent matches
FC Schalke 04
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
FC Schalke 04LDLLDRB LeipzigWWLWLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for FC Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig?
Under 3.5 goals (1.70); RB Leipzig to win (1.93).
Who will win FC Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig?
We estimate: FC Schalke 04 win 24%, draw 25%, RB Leipzig win 51%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 31 October 2026, kick-off: 14:30, venue: VELTINS-Arena, Gelsenkirchen. Referee: Max Burda.
Who will be missing?
FC Schalke 04: J. Bachmann, S. El-Faouzi, A. Gantenbein, R. Gosens, M. Sylla, L. Vozar, M. Wober. RB Leipzig: M. Esteve, M. Guiu, A. Ouedraogo. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 61% (odds 1.60); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 39% (odds 2.45).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 62% (odds 1.53).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (10.4%), then 1–2 (9.6%) and 0–1 (8.3%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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