Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
FC Augsburg play Union Berlin at home on 24 October 2026 · 14:30 at WWK Arena (Augsburg); the referee is Robin Braun. For us, FC Augsburg (55%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. FC Augsburg are 10th in the table, on 9 points after 8 matches (2W 3D 3L), and Union Berlin are 16th, on 7 points (1W 4D 3L).
- Attack and defence. On average FC Augsburg score 2.7 goals a match in the competition and concede 2.0; for Union Berlin the figures are 0.8 scored and 2.8 conceded.
- Form in the competition. FC Augsburg: 2W 2D 2L, goals 16–12; Union Berlin: 1W 2D 3L, goals 5–17.
- Head to head. From 17 meetings: 6 wins for FC Augsburg, 5 wins for Union Berlin and 6 draws, with the goals at 19–18.
What to expect
For us, FC Augsburg are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 2–1 (9.6%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.50), and we rate it at 65%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 65% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 65% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 17; FC Augsburg 6 wins, 6 draws, Union Berlin 5 wins.
- An average of 2.2 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: FC Augsburg 16–12, Union Berlin 5–17.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 65%.
- Out: FC Augsburg 3, Union Berlin 5.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals (probability 55%, best price 1.78). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for FC Augsburg: N. Banks, S. Mounie, A. Claude-Maurice. Absent for Union Berlin: A. Ilic, A. Markgraf, S. Nsoki, K. Imeri, J. Juranovic. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.81 | 4.41 | 4.50 |
| Market average | 1.75 | 4.17 | 4.24 |
| Lowest odds | 1.70 | 3.90 | 3.90 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.15 | 1.12 | 83.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.50 | 1.45 | 65.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.79 | 2.69 | 35.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.20 | 2.13 | 44.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.47 | 1.43 | 64.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.80 | 2.63 | 35.2% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 24/10/26, 12:03. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 4.7%.
At a glance
- Likely result: FC Augsburg 2–1 Union Berlin, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: FC Augsburg 10th (9 points), Union Berlin 16th (7 points).
- Form in the competition: FC Augsburg 2W 2D 2L (16:12), Union Berlin 1W 2D 3L (5:17).
- H2H: 17 matches: FC Augsburg 6W 6D 5L, goals 19–18.
- Absences: FC Augsburg 3, Union Berlin 5.
Who will win FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin: team news and absences
FC Augsburg
- N. Banksknee injury · will miss the match
- S. Mounieinjury · will miss the match
- A. Claude-Mauricemuscle injury · doubtful
Union Berlin
- A. Ilicillness · will miss the match
- A. Markgrafknee injury · will miss the match
- S. Nsokimuscle injury · will miss the match
- K. Imeriinjury · doubtful
- J. JuranovicAchilles tendon injury · doubtful
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 8 | 5-3-0 | 27:8 | 18 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 5-3-0 | 14:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 8 | 5-1-2 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 4 |  RB Leipzig | 8 | 5-0-3 | 22:11 | 15 |
| 5 |  Werder Bremen | 8 | 4-3-1 | 17:14 | 15 |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 4-1-3 | 18:16 | 13 |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 8 | 4-1-3 | 16:16 | 13 |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 3-2-3 | 13:18 | 11 |
| 9 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 3-1-4 | 17:17 | 10 |
| 10 | FC Augsburg | 8 | 2-3-3 | 18:15 | 9 |
| 11 |  VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 12 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 13 |  1. FC Köln | 8 | 2-3-3 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 14 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 6:9 | 9 |
| 15 |  Hamburger SV | 8 | 3-0-5 | 7:19 | 9 |
| 16 | Union Berlin | 8 | 1-4-3 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 |  FC Schalke 04 | 8 | 1-3-4 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 8 | 1-1-6 | 11:22 | 4 |
Recent matches
FC Augsburg
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
FC AugsburgLDLDLUnion BerlinDDDWLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin?
Union Berlin +0.75 (Asian handicap) (1.97); Over 2.5 goals (1.50).
Who will win FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin?
We estimate: FC Augsburg win 55%, draw 23%, Union Berlin win 23%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 24 October 2026, kick-off: 14:30, venue: WWK Arena, Augsburg. Referee: Robin Braun.
Who will be missing?
FC Augsburg: N. Banks, S. Mounie, A. Claude-Maurice. Union Berlin: A. Ilic, A. Markgraf, S. Nsoki, K. Imeri, J. Juranovic. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 65% (odds 1.50); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 35% (odds 2.79).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 65% (odds 1.47).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 2–1 as most likely (9.6%), then 1–1 (9.3%) and 2–0 (7.4%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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