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Bundesliga · Matchweek 6 · 17 October 2026 · 14:30

SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg: prediction, tip and odds, 17 October 2026, Bundesliga

1SV Elversberg2.52
XDraw3.90
2FC Augsburg2.77

Best price · Updated 17/10/26, 12:01

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Played: final score 4–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

SV Elversberg v FC Augsburg: 17 October 2026 · 14:30 at Ursapharm-Arena an der Kaiserlinde (Spiesen-Elversberg), with Florian Exner, Germany refereeing. We see little between the teams. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.

SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg: tip and prediction
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.81
Result (even match)
SV Elversberg or draw (1X)
1.50
55%Chance
1–1likely score
≈ 4 goalstotal in the match

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SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg: analysis of the match

What our tip is based on

  1. Table. SV Elversberg are 7th in the table, on 13 points after 8 matches (4W 1D 3L), and FC Augsburg are 10th, on 9 points (2W 3D 3L).

What to expect

We see an evenly matched game, with a 2–2 score estimate, roughly 4 goals in all, and 1–1 (10.0%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.

In the goals market we pick Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.50), and we rate it at 65%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 67% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 65% chance.

Prediction summary

  1. Expected: roughly 4 goals; over 2.5 goals: 65%.
  2. Out: SV Elversberg 0, FC Augsburg 0.

Alternative tip: SV Elversberg or draw (1X)

Alternative tip: SV Elversberg or draw (1X) (probability 64%, best price 1.50). With roughly 4 goals expected, it fits the picture.

Absences

Absent for SV Elversberg: no absences. Absent for FC Augsburg: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.

SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg: compare the odds

Match result1X2
Best price2.523.902.77
Market average2.463.772.67
Lowest odds2.403.502.55
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.141.1084.1%
Over 2.5 goals1.501.4464.8%
Under 2.5 goals2.732.6535.2%
Over 3.5 goals2.172.1145.2%
BTTS – yes1.441.3966.9%
BTTS – no2.892.8133.1%

Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 17/10/26, 12:01. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 4.8%.

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At a glance

  • Likely result: SV Elversberg 1–1 FC Augsburg, roughly 4 goals in total.
  • Table: SV Elversberg 7th (13 points), FC Augsburg 10th (9 points).
  • Absences: SV Elversberg 0, FC Augsburg 0.

Who will win SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg?

SV Elversberg39%
Draw25%
FC Augsburg36%

Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg: more betting tips

Over 1.5 goals84.1% · fair odds 1.19 · best 1.14
Likely
BTTS – yes66.9% · fair odds 1.50 · best 1.44
Likely
Over 2.5 goals64.8% · fair odds 1.54 · best 1.50
Likely
SV Elversberg or draw (1X)64.2% · fair odds 1.56 · best 1.50
Likely
Under 3.5 goals54.8% · fair odds 1.83 · best 1.81
Possible
Over 3.5 goals45.2% · fair odds 2.21 · best 2.17
Outsider
SV Elversberg to win38.8% · fair odds 2.58 · best 2.52
Outsider
FC Augsburg to win35.8% · fair odds 2.79 · best 2.77
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals35.2% · fair odds 2.84 · best 2.73
Outsider
BTTS – no33.1% · fair odds 3.02 · best 2.89
Outsider
Draw25.3% · fair odds 3.95 · best 3.90
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

Tips on corners and cards

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 2.02 · Under 1.71
probability of over 45.8%
Cardsline 4.5 cards
Over 1.95 · Under 1.78
probability of over 47.8%

Correct score prediction

1 : 110.0%
2 : 18.5%
1 : 28.0%
2 : 26.8%
1 : 06.3%
0 : 15.9%

SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg: team news and absences

SV Elversberg

  • No reported absences

FC Augsburg

  • No reported absences

Changes are possible before kick-off.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Bayern München85-3-027:818
2Borussia Dortmund85-3-014:618
3SC Freiburg85-1-218:1016
4RB Leipzig85-0-322:1115
5Werder Bremen84-3-117:1415
6Bayer Leverkusen84-1-318:1613
7SV Elversberg84-1-316:1613
8Eintracht Frankfurt83-2-313:1811
9FSV Mainz 0583-1-417:1710
10FC Augsburg82-3-318:159
11VfB Stuttgart83-0-514:159
121899 Hoffenheim83-0-514:169
131. FC Köln82-3-39:129
14SC Paderborn 0782-3-36:99
15Hamburger SV83-0-57:199
16Union Berlin81-4-37:197
17FC Schalke 0481-3-44:96
18Borussia Mönchengladbach81-1-611:224

Recent matches

SV Elversberg

30 OctWSV Elversberg 4–1 FSV Mainz 05
24 OctLRB Leipzig 4–0 SV Elversberg
17 OctWSV Elversberg 4–3 FC Augsburg
10 OctLUnion Berlin 1–0 SV Elversberg
20 SeptDFC Schalke 04 0–0 SV Elversberg

FC Augsburg

31 OctLFC Augsburg 1–2 SC Freiburg
24 OctDFC Augsburg 1–1 Union Berlin
17 OctLSV Elversberg 4–3 FC Augsburg
10 OctDFC Augsburg 2–2 Bayern München
19 SeptLWerder Bremen 3–2 FC Augsburg

Home and away

SV Elversberg at home4 matches: 3W 0D 1L, goals 12–8
FC Augsburg away3 matches: 1W 0D 2L, goals 9–8

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin4.8%

Questions and answers

What do we tip for SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg?

Under 3.5 goals (1.81); SV Elversberg or draw (1X) (1.50).

Who will win SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg?

We estimate: SV Elversberg win 39%, draw 25%, FC Augsburg win 36%.

Where and when is the game being played?

Date: 17 October 2026, kick-off: 14:30, venue: Ursapharm-Arena an der Kaiserlinde, Spiesen-Elversberg. Referee: Florian Exner, Germany.

Who will be missing?

SV Elversberg: no absences. FC Augsburg: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.

Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

We estimate over 2.5 goals at 65% (odds 1.50); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 35% (odds 2.73).

Will both teams score?

By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 67% (odds 1.44).

Which correct score is the likeliest?

We rate 1–1 as most likely (10.0%), then 2–1 (8.5%) and 1–2 (8.0%).

What are your predictions based on?

We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

More predictions

Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach 6 NovFSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München 7 NovBorussia Dortmund vs SV Elversberg 7 NovRB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg 7 NovSC Paderborn 07 vs Eintracht Frankfurt 7 Nov

18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.