Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 4–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
RB Leipzig play SV Elversberg at home on 24 October 2026 · 14:30 at Leipzig Red Bull Arena (Leipzig); the referee is Bastian Dankert, Germany. For us, RB Leipzig (67%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. RB Leipzig are 4th in the table, on 15 points after 8 matches (5W 0D 3L), and SV Elversberg are 7th, on 13 points (4W 1D 3L).
- Attack and defence. On average RB Leipzig score 2.7 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.8; for SV Elversberg the figures are 2.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
- Form in the competition. RB Leipzig: 3W 0D 3L, goals 16–11; SV Elversberg: 3W 1D 2L, goals 12–11.
- Head to head. From 3 meetings: 2 wins for RB Leipzig, 1 win for SV Elversberg and 0 draws, with the goals at 6–1.
What to expect
For us, RB Leipzig are the more likely winners. We estimate a 3–1 score, roughly 4 goals in all, with 2–1 (8.9%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.76), and we rate it at 56%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 66% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 75% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 3; RB Leipzig 2 wins, 0 draws, SV Elversberg 1 win.
- An average of 2.3 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: RB Leipzig 16–11, SV Elversberg 12–11.
- Expected: roughly 4 goals; over 2.5 goals: 75%.
- Out: RB Leipzig 2, SV Elversberg 4.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals (probability 44%, best price 2.23). With roughly 4 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for RB Leipzig: M. Guiu, A. Ouedraogo. Absent for SV Elversberg: L. Seifert, T. Zimmerschied, N. Darvich, F. Onyeka. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.45 | 5.80 | 6.67 |
| Market average | 1.42 | 5.38 | 6.29 |
| Lowest odds | 1.36 | 4.80 | 5.75 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.09 | 1.06 | 88.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.29 | 1.26 | 74.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.90 | 3.72 | 25.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.76 | 1.71 | 55.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.44 | 1.40 | 66.5% |
| BTTS – no | 3.00 | 2.78 | 33.5% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 24/10/26, 12:03. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 5.2%.
At a glance
- Likely result: RB Leipzig 2–1 SV Elversberg, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: RB Leipzig 4th (15 points), SV Elversberg 7th (13 points).
- Form in the competition: RB Leipzig 3W 0D 3L (16:11), SV Elversberg 3W 1D 2L (12:11).
- H2H: 3 matches: RB Leipzig 2W 0D 1L, goals 6–1.
- Absences: RB Leipzig 2, SV Elversberg 4.
Who will win RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg: team news and absences
RB Leipzig
- M. Guiuhamstring injury · will miss the match
- A. Ouedraogoshoulder injury · will miss the match
SV Elversberg
- L. Seifertankle injury · will miss the match
- T. Zimmerschiedankle injury · will miss the match
- N. Darvichinjury · doubtful
- F. Onyekafoot injury · doubtful
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 8 | 5-3-0 | 27:8 | 18 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 5-3-0 | 14:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 8 | 5-1-2 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 8 | 5-0-3 | 22:11 | 15 |
| 5 |  Werder Bremen | 8 | 4-3-1 | 17:14 | 15 |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 4-1-3 | 18:16 | 13 |
| 7 | SV Elversberg | 8 | 4-1-3 | 16:16 | 13 |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 3-2-3 | 13:18 | 11 |
| 9 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 3-1-4 | 17:17 | 10 |
| 10 |  FC Augsburg | 8 | 2-3-3 | 18:15 | 9 |
| 11 |  VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 12 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 13 |  1. FC Köln | 8 | 2-3-3 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 14 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 6:9 | 9 |
| 15 |  Hamburger SV | 8 | 3-0-5 | 7:19 | 9 |
| 16 |  Union Berlin | 8 | 1-4-3 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 |  FC Schalke 04 | 8 | 1-3-4 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 8 | 1-1-6 | 11:22 | 4 |
Recent matches
RB Leipzig
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
RB LeipzigWWLWLSV ElversbergWLWLDHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg?
SV Elversberg +1.5 (Asian handicap) (1.90); Over 3.5 goals (1.76).
Who will win RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg?
We estimate: RB Leipzig win 67%, draw 18%, SV Elversberg win 15%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 24 October 2026, kick-off: 14:30, venue: Leipzig Red Bull Arena, Leipzig. Referee: Bastian Dankert, Germany.
Who will be missing?
RB Leipzig: M. Guiu, A. Ouedraogo. SV Elversberg: L. Seifert, T. Zimmerschied, N. Darvich, F. Onyeka. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 75% (odds 1.29); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 25% (odds 3.90).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 66% (odds 1.44).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 2–1 as most likely (8.9%), then 3–1 (7.8%) and 2–0 (7.1%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.