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Bundesliga · Matchweek 8 · 31 October 2026 · 14:30

FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg: prediction, tip and odds, 31 October 2026, Bundesliga

1–2
1FC Augsburg2.90
XDraw3.96
2SC Freiburg2.45

Best price · Updated 31/10/26, 14:09

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Played: final score 1–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

It is FC Augsburg against SC Freiburg on 31 October 2026 · 14:30 at WWK Arena (Augsburg), and Christian Dingert will referee. This one looks too close to call. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.

FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg: tip and prediction
Handicap
FC Augsburg +0.25 (Asian handicap)
1.97
Goals
Both teams to score
1.50
53%Chance
1–1likely score
≈ 4 goalstotal in the match

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FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg: analysis of the match

What our tip is based on

  1. Table. FC Augsburg are 10th in the table, on 9 points after 8 matches (2W 3D 3L), and SC Freiburg are 3rd, on 16 points (5W 1D 2L).
  2. Attack and defence. On average FC Augsburg score 2.4 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.9; for SC Freiburg the figures are 2.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. FC Augsburg: 2W 3D 2L, goals 17–13; SC Freiburg: 4W 1D 2L, goals 16–9.
  4. Head to head. From 30 meetings: 7 wins for FC Augsburg, 14 wins for SC Freiburg and 9 draws, with the goals at 38–53.

What to expect

We see an evenly matched game, with a 2–2 score estimate, roughly 4 goals in all, and 1–1 (10.6%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.

In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.50), and we rate it at 63%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 63% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 61% chance.

Prediction summary

  1. Meetings: 30; FC Augsburg 7 wins, 9 draws, SC Freiburg 14 wins.
  2. An average of 3.0 goals per meeting between these teams.
  3. In the competition, goals scored–conceded: FC Augsburg 17–13, SC Freiburg 16–9.
  4. Expected: roughly 4 goals; over 2.5 goals: 61%.
  5. Out: FC Augsburg 4, SC Freiburg 2.

Alternative tip: Draw or SC Freiburg (X2)

Alternative tip: Draw or SC Freiburg (X2) (probability 66%, best price 1.50). With roughly 4 goals expected, it fits the picture.

Absences

Absent for FC Augsburg: J. Bah, N. Banks, C. Brackelmann, S. Mounie. Absent for SC Freiburg: P. Treu, B. Yilmaz. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.

FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg: compare the odds

Match result1X2
Best price2.903.962.45
Market average2.773.692.37
Lowest odds2.703.402.12
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.201.1581.1%
Over 2.5 goals1.601.5560.7%
Under 2.5 goals2.452.3939.3%
Over 3.5 goals2.472.3740.1%
BTTS – yes1.501.4763.3%
BTTS – no2.632.5436.7%

Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 31/10/26, 14:09. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 5.6%.

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At a glance

  • Likely result: FC Augsburg 1–1 SC Freiburg, roughly 4 goals in total.
  • Table: FC Augsburg 10th (9 points), SC Freiburg 3rd (16 points).
  • Form in the competition: FC Augsburg 2W 3D 2L (17:13), SC Freiburg 4W 1D 2L (16:9).
  • H2H: 30 matches: FC Augsburg 7W 9D 14L, goals 38–53.
  • Absences: FC Augsburg 4, SC Freiburg 2.

Who will win FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg?

FC Augsburg34%
Draw26%
SC Freiburg40%

Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg: more betting tips

Over 1.5 goals81.1% · fair odds 1.23 · best 1.20
Likely
Draw or SC Freiburg (X2)65.8% · fair odds 1.52 · best 1.50
Likely
BTTS – yes63.3% · fair odds 1.58 · best 1.50
Likely
Over 2.5 goals60.7% · fair odds 1.65 · best 1.60
Likely
Under 3.5 goals59.9% · fair odds 1.67 · best 1.67
Possible
Over 3.5 goals40.1% · fair odds 2.49 · best 2.47
Outsider
SC Freiburg to win40.1% · fair odds 2.49 · best 2.45
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals39.3% · fair odds 2.54 · best 2.45
Outsider
BTTS – no36.7% · fair odds 2.72 · best 2.63
Outsider
FC Augsburg to win34.2% · fair odds 2.93 · best 2.90
Outsider
Draw25.7% · fair odds 3.89 · best 3.96
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

Tips on corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.83 · Under 1.93
probability of over 51.3%
Cardsline 3.5 cards
Over 1.80 · Under 1.94
probability of over 51.8%

Correct score prediction

1 : 110.6%
1 : 28.7%
2 : 18.0%
0 : 17.1%
2 : 26.6%
1 : 06.4%

FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg: team news and absences

FC Augsburg

  • J. Bahred card · will miss the match
  • N. Banksknee injury · will miss the match
  • C. Brackelmannconcussion · will miss the match
  • S. Mounieinjury · will miss the match

SC Freiburg

  • P. Treuankle injury · doubtful
  • B. Yilmazabsence · doubtful

Changes are possible before kick-off.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Bayern München85-3-027:818
2Borussia Dortmund85-3-014:618
3SC Freiburg85-1-218:1016
4RB Leipzig85-0-322:1115
5Werder Bremen84-3-117:1415
6Bayer Leverkusen84-1-318:1613
7SV Elversberg84-1-316:1613
8Eintracht Frankfurt83-2-313:1811
9FSV Mainz 0583-1-417:1710
10FC Augsburg82-3-318:159
11VfB Stuttgart83-0-514:159
121899 Hoffenheim83-0-514:169
131. FC Köln82-3-39:129
14SC Paderborn 0782-3-36:99
15Hamburger SV83-0-57:199
16Union Berlin81-4-37:197
17FC Schalke 0481-3-44:96
18Borussia Mönchengladbach81-1-611:224

Recent matches

FC Augsburg

31 OctLFC Augsburg 1–2 SC Freiburg
24 OctDFC Augsburg 1–1 Union Berlin
17 OctLSV Elversberg 4–3 FC Augsburg
10 OctDFC Augsburg 2–2 Bayern München
19 SeptLWerder Bremen 3–2 FC Augsburg

SC Freiburg

31 OctWFC Augsburg 1–2 SC Freiburg
25 OctLSC Freiburg 1–3 Bayern München
22 OctLMonaco 3–0 SC Freiburg
18 OctLBayer Leverkusen 2–1 SC Freiburg
15 OctWSC Freiburg 3–2 FK Jablonec

Home and away

FC Augsburg at home5 matches: 1W 3D 1L, goals 9–7
SC Freiburg away4 matches: 2W 1D 1L, goals 6–5

Team comparison

FC AugsburgSC Freiburg
30%Form70%
48%Attack52%
40%Defence60%
62%Head to head38%
53%Goals47%
47.2%Overall52.8%

Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.

Form in the competition

FC AugsburgLDLDL
SC FreiburgWLLWD

Head to head

All matches
7FC Augsburg
9Draws
14SC Freiburg
31/10/26 · FC Augsburg 1–2 SC Freiburg
18/1/26 · FC Augsburg 2–2 SC Freiburg
23/8/25 · SC Freiburg 1–3 FC Augsburg
2/3/25 · FC Augsburg 0–0 SC Freiburg
19/10/24 · SC Freiburg 3–1 FC Augsburg
25/2/24 · FC Augsburg 2–1 SC Freiburg

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin5.6%

Questions and answers

What do we tip for FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg?

FC Augsburg +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.97); Both teams to score (1.50).

Who will win FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg?

We estimate: FC Augsburg win 34%, draw 26%, SC Freiburg win 40%.

Where and when is the game being played?

Date: 31 October 2026, kick-off: 14:30, venue: WWK Arena, Augsburg. Referee: Christian Dingert.

Who will be missing?

FC Augsburg: J. Bah, N. Banks, C. Brackelmann, S. Mounie. SC Freiburg: P. Treu, B. Yilmaz. Changes are possible before kick-off.

Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

We estimate over 2.5 goals at 61% (odds 1.60); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 39% (odds 2.45).

Will both teams score?

By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 63% (odds 1.50).

Which correct score is the likeliest?

We rate 1–1 as most likely (10.6%), then 1–2 (8.7%) and 2–1 (8.0%).

What are your predictions based on?

We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

More predictions

Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach 6 NovFSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München 7 NovBorussia Dortmund vs SV Elversberg 7 NovRB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg 7 NovSC Paderborn 07 vs Eintracht Frankfurt 7 Nov

18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.