Played: final score 1–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
It is FC Augsburg against SC Freiburg on 31 October 2026 · 14:30 at WWK Arena (Augsburg), and Christian Dingert will referee. This one looks too close to call. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. FC Augsburg are 10th in the table, on 9 points after 8 matches (2W 3D 3L), and SC Freiburg are 3rd, on 16 points (5W 1D 2L).
- Attack and defence. On average FC Augsburg score 2.4 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.9; for SC Freiburg the figures are 2.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. FC Augsburg: 2W 3D 2L, goals 17–13; SC Freiburg: 4W 1D 2L, goals 16–9.
- Head to head. From 30 meetings: 7 wins for FC Augsburg, 14 wins for SC Freiburg and 9 draws, with the goals at 38–53.
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 2–2 score estimate, roughly 4 goals in all, and 1–1 (10.6%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.50), and we rate it at 63%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 63% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 61% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 30; FC Augsburg 7 wins, 9 draws, SC Freiburg 14 wins.
- An average of 3.0 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: FC Augsburg 17–13, SC Freiburg 16–9.
- Expected: roughly 4 goals; over 2.5 goals: 61%.
- Out: FC Augsburg 4, SC Freiburg 2.
Alternative tip: Draw or SC Freiburg (X2)
Alternative tip: Draw or SC Freiburg (X2) (probability 66%, best price 1.50). With roughly 4 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for FC Augsburg: J. Bah, N. Banks, C. Brackelmann, S. Mounie. Absent for SC Freiburg: P. Treu, B. Yilmaz. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.90 | 3.96 | 2.45 |
| Market average | 2.77 | 3.69 | 2.37 |
| Lowest odds | 2.70 | 3.40 | 2.12 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.15 | 81.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.60 | 1.55 | 60.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.45 | 2.39 | 39.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.47 | 2.37 | 40.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.47 | 63.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.63 | 2.54 | 36.7% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 31/10/26, 14:09. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 5.6%.
At a glance
- Likely result: FC Augsburg 1–1 SC Freiburg, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: FC Augsburg 10th (9 points), SC Freiburg 3rd (16 points).
- Form in the competition: FC Augsburg 2W 3D 2L (17:13), SC Freiburg 4W 1D 2L (16:9).
- H2H: 30 matches: FC Augsburg 7W 9D 14L, goals 38–53.
- Absences: FC Augsburg 4, SC Freiburg 2.
Who will win FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg: team news and absences
FC Augsburg
- J. Bahred card · will miss the match
- N. Banksknee injury · will miss the match
- C. Brackelmannconcussion · will miss the match
- S. Mounieinjury · will miss the match
SC Freiburg
- P. Treuankle injury · doubtful
- B. Yilmazabsence · doubtful
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 5-3-0 | 27:8 | 18 | |
| 2 | 8 | 5-3-0 | 14:6 | 18 | |
| 3 | 8 | 5-1-2 | 18:10 | 16 | |
| 4 | 8 | 5-0-3 | 22:11 | 15 | |
| 5 | 8 | 4-3-1 | 17:14 | 15 | |
| 6 | 8 | 4-1-3 | 18:16 | 13 | |
| 7 | 8 | 4-1-3 | 16:16 | 13 | |
| 8 | 8 | 3-2-3 | 13:18 | 11 | |
| 9 | 8 | 3-1-4 | 17:17 | 10 | |
| 10 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 18:15 | 9 | |
| 11 | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:15 | 9 | |
| 12 | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:16 | 9 | |
| 13 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 9:12 | 9 | |
| 14 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 6:9 | 9 | |
| 15 | 8 | 3-0-5 | 7:19 | 9 | |
| 16 | 8 | 1-4-3 | 7:19 | 7 | |
| 17 | 8 | 1-3-4 | 4:9 | 6 | |
| 18 | 8 | 1-1-6 | 11:22 | 4 |
Recent matches
FC Augsburg
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg?
FC Augsburg +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.97); Both teams to score (1.50).
Who will win FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg?
We estimate: FC Augsburg win 34%, draw 26%, SC Freiburg win 40%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 31 October 2026, kick-off: 14:30, venue: WWK Arena, Augsburg. Referee: Christian Dingert.
Who will be missing?
FC Augsburg: J. Bah, N. Banks, C. Brackelmann, S. Mounie. SC Freiburg: P. Treu, B. Yilmaz. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 61% (odds 1.60); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 39% (odds 2.45).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 63% (odds 1.50).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (10.6%), then 1–2 (8.7%) and 2–1 (8.0%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
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