Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
It is Real Sociedad against Levante on 25 October 2026 · 17:30 at Anoeta Stadium (San Sebastián), and Javier Alberola Rojas will referee. Real Sociedad (61%) start as favourites in our view. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
Real Sociedad vs Levante: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Real Sociedad are 5th in the table, on 19 points after 11 matches (6W 1D 4L), and Levante are 18th, on 10 points (2W 4D 5L).
- Attack and defence. On average Real Sociedad score 1.9 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.9; for Levante the figures are 1.7 scored and 1.9 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Real Sociedad: 5W 1D 3L, goals 17–17; Levante: 2W 4D 3L, goals 15–17.
- Head to head. From 25 meetings: 8 wins for Real Sociedad, 8 wins for Levante and 9 draws, with the goals at 34–28.
What to expect
For us, Real Sociedad are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 2–1 (9.8%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.47), and we rate it at 66%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 62% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 66% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 25; Real Sociedad 8 wins, 9 draws, Levante 8 wins.
- An average of 2.5 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Real Sociedad 17–17, Levante 15–17.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 66%.
- Out: Real Sociedad 2, Levante 2.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 62%, best price 1.55). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Real Sociedad: L. Beitia, A. Odriozola. Absent for Levante: E. Bardeli, Dela. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Real Sociedad vs Levante: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.62 | 4.80 | 5.50 |
| Market average | 1.56 | 4.63 | 5.24 |
| Lowest odds | 1.50 | 4.33 | 4.80 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.15 | 1.11 | 84.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.47 | 1.43 | 65.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.85 | 2.72 | 34.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.23 | 2.13 | 44.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.55 | 1.51 | 61.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.50 | 2.42 | 38.5% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 25/10/26, 17:01. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 4.9%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Real Sociedad 2–1 Levante, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Real Sociedad 5th (19 points), Levante 18th (10 points).
- Form in the competition: Real Sociedad 5W 1D 3L (17:17), Levante 2W 4D 3L (15:17).
- H2H: 25 matches: Real Sociedad 8W 9D 8L, goals 34–28.
- Absences: Real Sociedad 2, Levante 2.
Who will win Real Sociedad vs Levante?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Real Sociedad vs Levante: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Real Sociedad vs Levante: team news and absences
Real Sociedad
- L. Beitiaankle injury · will miss the match
- A. Odriozolaknee injury · will miss the match
Levante
- E. Bardelimuscle injury · will miss the match
- Delaabsence · will miss the match
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 10-0-1 | 46:12 | 30 | |
| 2 | 11 | 9-1-1 | 22:8 | 28 | |
| 3 | 11 | 9-0-2 | 28:10 | 27 | |
| 4 | 11 | 7-2-2 | 18:15 | 23 | |
| 5 | 11 | 6-1-4 | 20:20 | 19 | |
| 6 | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:19 | 17 | |
| 7 | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 | |
| 8 | 11 | 3-5-3 | 15:14 | 14 | |
| 9 | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:15 | 12 | |
| 10 | 11 | 2-6-3 | 10:10 | 12 | |
| 11 | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:17 | 12 | |
| 12 | 10 | 3-3-4 | 15:20 | 12 | |
| 13 | 11 | 3-3-5 | 8:16 | 12 | |
| 14 | 11 | 3-2-6 | 13:14 | 11 | |
| 15 | 11 | 3-2-6 | 11:22 | 11 | |
| 16 | 11 | 3-2-6 | 15:29 | 11 | |
| 17 | 11 | 2-4-5 | 14:18 | 10 | |
| 18 | 11 | 2-4-5 | 16:21 | 10 | |
| 19 | 11 | 2-3-6 | 8:17 | 9 | |
| 20 | 11 | 0-5-6 | 8:21 | 5 |
Recent matches
Real Sociedad
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Real Sociedad vs Levante?
Real Sociedad -0.75 (Asian handicap) (1.76); Over 2.5 goals (1.47).
Who will win Real Sociedad vs Levante?
We estimate: Real Sociedad win 61%, draw 21%, Levante win 18%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 25 October 2026, kick-off: 17:30, venue: Anoeta Stadium, San Sebastián. Referee: Javier Alberola Rojas.
Who will be missing?
Real Sociedad: L. Beitia, A. Odriozola. Levante: E. Bardeli, Dela. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 66% (odds 1.47); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 34% (odds 2.85).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 62% (odds 1.55).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 2–1 as most likely (9.8%), then 1–1 (8.9%) and 2–0 (8.5%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
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