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La Liga · Matchweek 10 · 25 October 2026 · 17:30

Real Sociedad vs Levante: prediction, tip and odds, 25 October 2026, La Liga

2–1
LLWDD
1Real Sociedad1.62
XDraw4.80
2Levante5.50

Best price · Updated 25/10/26, 17:01

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Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

It is Real Sociedad against Levante on 25 October 2026 · 17:30 at Anoeta Stadium (San Sebastián), and Javier Alberola Rojas will referee. Real Sociedad (61%) start as favourites in our view. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.

Real Sociedad vs Levante: tip and prediction
Handicap
Real Sociedad -0.75 (Asian handicap)
1.76
Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.47
Combo
Real Sociedad + over 2.5 goals combined
2.22
45% · fair odds for the combo
57%Chance
2–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Real Sociedad or draw (1X): 82% probability, best odds 1.19.

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Real Sociedad vs Levante: analysis of the match

What our tip is based on

  1. Table. Real Sociedad are 5th in the table, on 19 points after 11 matches (6W 1D 4L), and Levante are 18th, on 10 points (2W 4D 5L).
  2. Attack and defence. On average Real Sociedad score 1.9 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.9; for Levante the figures are 1.7 scored and 1.9 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Real Sociedad: 5W 1D 3L, goals 17–17; Levante: 2W 4D 3L, goals 15–17.
  4. Head to head. From 25 meetings: 8 wins for Real Sociedad, 8 wins for Levante and 9 draws, with the goals at 34–28.

What to expect

For us, Real Sociedad are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 2–1 (9.8%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.

In the goals market we pick Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.47), and we rate it at 66%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 62% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 66% chance.

Prediction summary

  1. Meetings: 25; Real Sociedad 8 wins, 9 draws, Levante 8 wins.
  2. An average of 2.5 goals per meeting between these teams.
  3. In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Real Sociedad 17–17, Levante 15–17.
  4. Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 66%.
  5. Out: Real Sociedad 2, Levante 2.

Alternative tip: BTTS – yes

Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 62%, best price 1.55). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.

Absences

Absent for Real Sociedad: L. Beitia, A. Odriozola. Absent for Levante: E. Bardeli, Dela. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.

Real Sociedad vs Levante: compare the odds

Match result1X2
Best price1.624.805.50
Market average1.564.635.24
Lowest odds1.504.334.80
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.151.1184.0%
Over 2.5 goals1.471.4365.5%
Under 2.5 goals2.852.7234.5%
Over 3.5 goals2.232.1344.7%
BTTS – yes1.551.5161.5%
BTTS – no2.502.4238.5%

Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 25/10/26, 17:01. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 4.9%.

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At a glance

  • Likely result: Real Sociedad 2–1 Levante, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Real Sociedad 5th (19 points), Levante 18th (10 points).
  • Form in the competition: Real Sociedad 5W 1D 3L (17:17), Levante 2W 4D 3L (15:17).
  • H2H: 25 matches: Real Sociedad 8W 9D 8L, goals 34–28.
  • Absences: Real Sociedad 2, Levante 2.

Who will win Real Sociedad vs Levante?

Real Sociedad61%
Draw21%
Levante18%

Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

Real Sociedad vs Levante: more betting tips

Over 1.5 goals84.0% · fair odds 1.19 · best 1.15
Likely
Real Sociedad or draw (1X)81.8% · fair odds 1.22 · best 1.19
Likely
Over 2.5 goals65.5% · fair odds 1.53 · best 1.47
Likely
BTTS – yes61.5% · fair odds 1.63 · best 1.55
Likely
Real Sociedad to win61.1% · fair odds 1.64 · best 1.62
Likely
Under 3.5 goals55.3% · fair odds 1.81 · best 1.77
Possible
Over 3.5 goals44.7% · fair odds 2.24 · best 2.23
Outsider
BTTS – no38.5% · fair odds 2.60 · best 2.50
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals34.5% · fair odds 2.90 · best 2.85
Outsider
Draw20.6% · fair odds 4.85 · best 4.80
Outsider
Levante to win18.2% · fair odds 5.48 · best 5.50
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

Tips on corners and cards

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 2.02 · Under 1.75
probability of over 46.5%
Cardsline 3.5 cards
Over 1.64 · Under 2.19
probability of over 57.2%

Correct score prediction

2 : 19.8%
1 : 18.9%
2 : 08.5%
1 : 07.7%
3 : 17.2%
3 : 06.2%

Real Sociedad vs Levante: team news and absences

Real Sociedad

  • L. Beitiaankle injury · will miss the match
  • A. Odriozolaknee injury · will miss the match

Levante

  • E. Bardelimuscle injury · will miss the match
  • Delaabsence · will miss the match

Changes are possible before kick-off.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Barcelona1110-0-146:1230
2Atlético Madrid119-1-122:828
3Real Madrid119-0-228:1027
4Real Betis117-2-218:1523
5Real Sociedad116-1-420:2019
6Sevilla115-2-417:1917
7Athletic Club104-3-314:1015
8Deportivo La Coruña113-5-315:1414
9Villarreal113-3-515:1512
10Celta Vigo112-6-310:1012
11Alavés113-3-515:1712
12Rayo Vallecano103-3-415:2012
13Getafe113-3-58:1612
14Espanyol113-2-613:1411
15Osasuna113-2-611:2211
16Racing Santander113-2-615:2911
17Elche112-4-514:1810
18Levante112-4-516:2110
19Valencia112-3-68:179
20Málaga110-5-68:215

Recent matches

Real Sociedad

1 NovLAthletic Club 2–1 Real Sociedad
25 OctWReal Sociedad 2–1 Levante
22 OctWLillestrøm 0–6 Real Sociedad
18 OctWMálaga 2–5 Real Sociedad
15 OctDUnion Saint-Gilloise 1–1 Real Sociedad

Levante

31 OctLLevante 0–2 Atlético Madrid
25 OctLReal Sociedad 2–1 Levante
21 OctWLevante 3–1 Athletic Club
16 OctDDeportivo La Coruña 1–1 Levante
12 OctDLevante 3–3 Sevilla

Home and away

Real Sociedad at home5 matches: 3W 1D 1L, goals 7–7
Levante away6 matches: 0W 3D 3L, goals 3–9

Team comparison

Real SociedadLevante
71%Form29%
58%Attack42%
52%Defence48%
71%Head to head29%
67%Goals33%
64.8%Overall35.2%

Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.

Form in the competition

Real SociedadLWWWW
LevanteLLWDD

Head to head

All matches
8Real Sociedad
9Draws
8Levante
25/10/26 · Real Sociedad 2–1 Levante
4/4/26 · Real Sociedad 2–0 Levante
20/12/25 · Levante 1–1 Real Sociedad
6/5/22 · Levante 2–1 Real Sociedad
28/8/21 · Real Sociedad 1–0 Levante
7/3/21 · Real Sociedad 1–0 Levante

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin4.9%

Questions and answers

What do we tip for Real Sociedad vs Levante?

Real Sociedad -0.75 (Asian handicap) (1.76); Over 2.5 goals (1.47).

Who will win Real Sociedad vs Levante?

We estimate: Real Sociedad win 61%, draw 21%, Levante win 18%.

Where and when is the game being played?

Date: 25 October 2026, kick-off: 17:30, venue: Anoeta Stadium, San Sebastián. Referee: Javier Alberola Rojas.

Who will be missing?

Real Sociedad: L. Beitia, A. Odriozola. Levante: E. Bardeli, Dela. Changes are possible before kick-off.

Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

We estimate over 2.5 goals at 66% (odds 1.47); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 34% (odds 2.85).

Will both teams score?

By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 62% (odds 1.55).

Which correct score is the likeliest?

We rate 2–1 as most likely (9.8%), then 1–1 (8.9%) and 2–0 (8.5%).

What are your predictions based on?

We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

More predictions

Sevilla vs Alavés 6 NovMálaga vs Racing Santander 7 NovEspanyol vs Deportivo La Coruña 7 NovOsasuna vs Athletic Club 7 NovValencia vs Real Madrid 7 Nov

18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.