Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 3–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Levante play Athletic Club at home on 21 October 2026 · 19:00 at Estadio Ciudad de Valencia (Valencia); the referee is Alejandro Quintero González, Spain. For us, there is no clear favourite. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Levante vs Athletic Club: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Levante are 18th in the table, on 10 points after 11 matches (2W 4D 5L), and Athletic Club are 7th, on 15 points (4W 3D 3L).
- Head to head. From 27 meetings: 6 wins for Levante, 17 wins for Athletic Club and 4 draws, with the goals at 34–48.
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 1–1 score estimate, roughly 2 goals in all, and 1–1 (12.7%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.
In the goals market we pick Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.87), and we rate it at 54%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 52% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 46% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 27; Levante 6 wins, 4 draws, Athletic Club 17 wins.
- An average of 3.0 goals per meeting between these teams.
- Expected: roughly 2 goals; over 2.5 goals: 46%.
- Out: Levante 0, Athletic Club 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 52%, best price 1.85). With roughly 2 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Levante: no absences. Absent for Athletic Club: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Levante vs Athletic Club: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 3.74 | 3.44 | 2.25 |
| Market average | 3.55 | 3.24 | 2.17 |
| Lowest odds | 3.38 | 3.10 | 2.10 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.40 | 1.34 | 70.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.20 | 2.09 | 45.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.87 | 1.76 | 54.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.80 | 3.55 | 26.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.85 | 1.80 | 51.8% |
| BTTS – no | 1.95 | 1.93 | 48.2% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 21/10/26, 16:55. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 5.2%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Levante 1–1 Athletic Club, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Levante 18th (10 points), Athletic Club 7th (15 points).
- H2H: 27 matches: Levante 6W 4D 17L, goals 34–48.
- Absences: Levante 0, Athletic Club 0.
Who will win Levante vs Athletic Club?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Levante vs Athletic Club: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Levante vs Athletic Club: team news and absences
Levante
- No reported absences
Athletic Club
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 11 | 10-0-1 | 46:12 | 30 |
| 2 |  Atlético Madrid | 11 | 9-1-1 | 22:8 | 28 |
| 3 |  Real Madrid | 11 | 9-0-2 | 28:10 | 27 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 11 | 7-2-2 | 18:15 | 23 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 11 | 6-1-4 | 20:20 | 19 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 7 | Athletic Club | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Deportivo La Coruña | 11 | 3-5-3 | 15:14 | 14 |
| 9 |  Villarreal | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 10 |  Celta Vigo | 11 | 2-6-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 11 |  Alavés | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:17 | 12 |
| 12 |  Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 3-3-4 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 13 |  Getafe | 11 | 3-3-5 | 8:16 | 12 |
| 14 |  Espanyol | 11 | 3-2-6 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 15 |  Osasuna | 11 | 3-2-6 | 11:22 | 11 |
| 16 |  Racing Santander | 11 | 3-2-6 | 15:29 | 11 |
| 17 |  Elche | 11 | 2-4-5 | 14:18 | 10 |
| 18 | Levante | 11 | 2-4-5 | 16:21 | 10 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 11 | 2-3-6 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 20 |  Málaga | 11 | 0-5-6 | 8:21 | 5 |
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Levante vs Athletic Club?
Under 2.5 goals (1.87); Draw or Athletic Club (X2) (1.33).
Who will win Levante vs Athletic Club?
We estimate: Levante win 27%, draw 29%, Athletic Club win 44%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 21 October 2026, kick-off: 19:00, venue: Estadio Ciudad de Valencia, Valencia. Referee: Alejandro Quintero González, Spain.
Who will be missing?
Levante: no absences. Athletic Club: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 46% (odds 2.20); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 54% (odds 1.87).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 52% (odds 1.85).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (12.7%), then 0–1 (12.1%) and 1–0 (9.1%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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