Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–6. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Lillestrøm play Real Sociedad at home on 22 October 2026 · 20:00 at Åråsen Stadion (Lillestrøm); the referee is Mohammad Al-Emara. For us, Real Sociedad (68%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Lillestrøm vs Real Sociedad: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Lillestrøm are 31st in the table, on 1 point after 3 matches (0W 1D 2L), and Real Sociedad are 14th, on 4 points (1W 1D 1L).
- Head to head. From 1 meetings: 0 wins for Lillestrøm, 1 win for Real Sociedad and 0 draws, with the goals at 0–6.
What to expect
For us, Real Sociedad are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–2 (9.5%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.62), and we rate it at 61%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 61% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 69% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 1; Lillestrøm 0 wins, 0 draws, Real Sociedad 1 win.
- An average of 6.0 goals per meeting between these teams.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 69%.
- Out: Lillestrøm 0, Real Sociedad 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 61%, best price 1.62). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Lillestrøm: no absences. Absent for Real Sociedad: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Lillestrøm vs Real Sociedad: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 7.00 | 5.52 | 1.45 |
| Market average | 6.68 | 5.25 | 1.40 |
| Lowest odds | 6.00 | 4.80 | 1.36 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.12 | 1.09 | 85.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.44 | 1.36 | 68.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.26 | 3.03 | 31.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.13 | 1.96 | 48.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.53 | 60.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.50 | 2.39 | 39.1% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 22/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 5.6%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Lillestrøm 1–2 Real Sociedad, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Lillestrøm 31st (1 point), Real Sociedad 14th (4 points).
- H2H: 1 match: Lillestrøm 0W 0D 1L, goals 0–6.
- Absences: Lillestrøm 0, Real Sociedad 0.
Who will win Lillestrøm vs Real Sociedad?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Lillestrøm vs Real Sociedad: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Lillestrøm vs Real Sociedad: team news and absences
Lillestrøm
- No reported absences
Real Sociedad
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 4 | 3-1-0 | 4:1 | 10 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 3 | 3-0-0 | 10:2 | 9 |
| 3 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:0 | 9 |
| 4 |  Bournemouth | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 5 |  Ferencvárosi TC | 3 | 3-0-0 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 6 |  Union Saint-Gilloise | 3 | 2-1-0 | 8:1 | 7 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 3 | 2-1-0 | 9:3 | 7 |
| 8 |  Beşiktaş | 3 | 2-1-0 | 9:5 | 7 |
| 9 |  Sunderland | 3 | 2-1-0 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 10 |  AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 2-0-1 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 11 |  Omonia Nicosia | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 12 |  Rennes | 4 | 1-3-0 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 13 |  Lyon | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 14 | Real Sociedad | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:3 | 4 |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:5 | 4 |
| 16 |  Sparta Praha | 3 | 1-1-1 | 5:3 | 4 |
| 17 |  Levski Sofia | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 18 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 19 |  Sturm Graz | 3 | 1-1-1 | 1:3 | 4 |
| 20 |  NEC Nijmegen | 3 | 1-1-1 | 5:8 | 4 |
| 21 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 22 |  Anderlecht | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 23 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:5 | 3 |
| 24 |  AC Milan | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 25 |  Celta Vigo | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 26 |  OFI | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 27 |  Jagiellonia | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 28 |  Torreense | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 29 |  Celje | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:7 | 1 |
| 30 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 3 | 0-1-2 | 1:6 | 1 |
| 31 | Lillestrøm | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:9 | 1 |
| 32 |  Lech Poznań | 3 | 0-1-2 | 1:9 | 1 |
| 33 |  Plzeň | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:7 | 0 |
| 34 |  Marseille | 3 | 0-0-3 | 1:6 | 0 |
| 35 |  Celtic | 3 | 0-0-3 | 3:9 | 0 |
| 36 |  Ararat-Armenia | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:11 | 0 |
Recent matches
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Lillestrøm vs Real Sociedad?
Under 3.5 goals (1.95); Real Sociedad to win (1.45).
Who will win Lillestrøm vs Real Sociedad?
We estimate: Lillestrøm win 14%, draw 18%, Real Sociedad win 68%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 22 October 2026, kick-off: 20:00, venue: Åråsen Stadion, Lillestrøm. Referee: Mohammad Al-Emara.
Who will be missing?
Lillestrøm: no absences. Real Sociedad: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 69% (odds 1.44); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 31% (odds 3.26).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 61% (odds 1.62).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–2 as most likely (9.5%), then 0–2 (9.1%) and 1–3 (7.8%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
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