Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Levante play Atlético Madrid at home on 31 October 2026 · 13:00 at Estadio Ciudad de Valencia (Valencia); the referee is Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea. For us, Atlético Madrid (62%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Levante vs Atlético Madrid: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Levante are 18th in the table, on 10 points after 11 matches (2W 4D 5L), and Atlético Madrid are 2nd, on 28 points (9W 1D 1L).
- Attack and defence. On average Levante score 1.6 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.9; for Atlético Madrid the figures are 2.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Levante: 2W 4D 4L, goals 16–19; Atlético Madrid: 8W 1D 1L, goals 20–8.
- Head to head. From 26 meetings: 6 wins for Levante, 14 wins for Atlético Madrid and 6 draws, with the goals at 27–44.
What to expect
For us, Atlético Madrid are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–2 (9.9%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.55), and we rate it at 62%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 58% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 62% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 26; Levante 6 wins, 6 draws, Atlético Madrid 14 wins.
- An average of 2.7 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Levante 16–19, Atlético Madrid 20–8.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 62%.
- Out: Levante 1, Atlético Madrid 2.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals (probability 59%, best price 1.66). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Levante: E. Bardeli. Absent for Atlético Madrid: J. Cardoso, Koke. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Levante vs Atlético Madrid: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 5.75 | 5.06 | 1.60 |
| Market average | 5.46 | 4.67 | 1.53 |
| Lowest odds | 4.84 | 4.03 | 1.48 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.17 | 1.14 | 81.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.55 | 1.52 | 62.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.58 | 2.49 | 37.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.42 | 2.31 | 41.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.65 | 1.61 | 58.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.25 | 2.22 | 42.0% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 30/10/26, 22:03. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 5.2%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Levante 1–2 Atlético Madrid, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Levante 18th (10 points), Atlético Madrid 2nd (28 points).
- Form in the competition: Levante 2W 4D 4L (16:19), Atlético Madrid 8W 1D 1L (20:8).
- H2H: 26 matches: Levante 6W 6D 14L, goals 27–44.
- Absences: Levante 1, Atlético Madrid 2.
Who will win Levante vs Atlético Madrid?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Levante vs Atlético Madrid: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Levante vs Atlético Madrid: team news and absences
Levante
- E. Bardelimuscle injury · will miss the match
Atlético Madrid
- J. Cardosothigh injury · will miss the match
- Kokemuscle injury · will miss the match
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 11 | 10-0-1 | 46:12 | 30 |
| 2 | Atlético Madrid | 11 | 9-1-1 | 22:8 | 28 |
| 3 |  Real Madrid | 11 | 9-0-2 | 28:10 | 27 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 11 | 7-2-2 | 18:15 | 23 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 11 | 6-1-4 | 20:20 | 19 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 7 |  Athletic Club | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Deportivo La Coruña | 11 | 3-5-3 | 15:14 | 14 |
| 9 |  Villarreal | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 10 |  Celta Vigo | 11 | 2-6-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 11 |  Alavés | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:17 | 12 |
| 12 |  Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 3-3-4 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 13 |  Getafe | 11 | 3-3-5 | 8:16 | 12 |
| 14 |  Espanyol | 11 | 3-2-6 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 15 |  Osasuna | 11 | 3-2-6 | 11:22 | 11 |
| 16 |  Racing Santander | 11 | 3-2-6 | 15:29 | 11 |
| 17 |  Elche | 11 | 2-4-5 | 14:18 | 10 |
| 18 | Levante | 11 | 2-4-5 | 16:21 | 10 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 11 | 2-3-6 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 20 |  Málaga | 11 | 0-5-6 | 8:21 | 5 |
Recent matches
Levante
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
LevanteLLWDDAtlético MadridWWWWWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Levante vs Atlético Madrid?
Atlético Madrid -0.75 (Asian handicap) (1.73); Over 2.5 goals (1.55).
Who will win Levante vs Atlético Madrid?
We estimate: Levante win 17%, draw 20%, Atlético Madrid win 62%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 31 October 2026, kick-off: 13:00, venue: Estadio Ciudad de Valencia, Valencia. Referee: Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea.
Who will be missing?
Levante: E. Bardeli. Atlético Madrid: J. Cardoso, Koke. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 62% (odds 1.55); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 38% (odds 2.58).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 58% (odds 1.65).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–2 as most likely (9.9%), then 0–2 (9.4%) and 1–1 (9.2%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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