Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Stevenage v Milton Keynes Dons: 24 October 2026 · 15:00 at Broadhall Way (Stevenage). We have Stevenage (47%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Stevenage are 16th in the table, on 16 points after 12 matches (4W 4D 4L), and Milton Keynes Dons are 12th, on 18 points (4W 6D 3L).
- Head to head. From 17 meetings: 6 wins for Stevenage, 7 wins for Milton Keynes Dons and 4 draws, with the goals at 23–28.
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 1–1 score estimate, roughly 2 goals in all, and 1–1 (12.5%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.
In the goals market we pick Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.80), and we rate it at 54%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 51% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 46% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 17; Stevenage 6 wins, 4 draws, Milton Keynes Dons 7 wins.
- An average of 3.0 goals per meeting between these teams.
- Expected: roughly 2 goals; over 2.5 goals: 46%.
- Out: Stevenage 0, Milton Keynes Dons 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 51%, best price 1.95). With roughly 2 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Stevenage: no absences. Absent for Milton Keynes Dons: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.06 | 3.40 | 4.09 |
| Market average | 1.98 | 3.34 | 3.80 |
| Lowest odds | 1.95 | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.35 | 1.33 | 69.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.13 | 2.05 | 46.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.80 | 1.74 | 54.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.80 | 3.53 | 26.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.95 | 1.84 | 50.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.10 | 1.88 | 49.4% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 24/10/26, 12:03. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.7%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Stevenage 1–1 Milton Keynes Dons, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Stevenage 16th (16 points), Milton Keynes Dons 12th (18 points).
- H2H: 17 matches: Stevenage 6W 4D 7L, goals 23–28.
- Absences: Stevenage 0, Milton Keynes Dons 0.
Who will win Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons: team news and absences
Stevenage
- No reported absences
Milton Keynes Dons
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Huddersfield | 14 | 8-5-1 | 28:12 | 29 |
| 2 |  Stockport County | 14 | 8-2-4 | 26:14 | 26 |
| 3 |  Oxford United | 13 | 7-5-1 | 22:11 | 26 |
| 4 |  Luton | 14 | 7-3-4 | 27:21 | 24 |
| 5 |  Plymouth | 14 | 7-2-5 | 21:19 | 23 |
| 6 |  Reading | 14 | 6-4-4 | 25:15 | 22 |
| 7 |  Bradford | 13 | 6-4-3 | 10:8 | 22 |
| 8 |  Cambridge United | 14 | 5-6-3 | 21:21 | 21 |
| 9 |  Sheffield Wednesday | 13 | 5-5-3 | 22:14 | 20 |
| 10 |  Leicester | 13 | 5-4-4 | 22:19 | 19 |
| 11 |  Mansfield Town | 13 | 5-4-4 | 20:18 | 19 |
| 12 | Milton Keynes Dons | 13 | 4-6-3 | 22:20 | 18 |
| 13 |  Wycombe | 13 | 4-6-3 | 21:23 | 18 |
| 14 |  Leyton Orient | 13 | 5-2-6 | 19:14 | 17 |
| 15 |  Burton Albion | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:21 | 17 |
| 16 | Stevenage | 12 | 4-4-4 | 17:13 | 16 |
| 17 |  Notts County | 12 | 3-5-4 | 13:14 | 14 |
| 18 |  AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 3-4-6 | 9:21 | 13 |
| 19 |  Blackpool | 12 | 3-3-6 | 17:21 | 12 |
| 20 |  Doncaster | 13 | 3-3-7 | 14:22 | 12 |
| 21 |  Wigan | 14 | 3-2-9 | 11:22 | 11 |
| 22 |  Peterborough | 13 | 2-4-7 | 11:23 | 10 |
| 23 |  Barnsley | 12 | 2-3-7 | 12:22 | 9 |
| 24 |  Bromley | 13 | 2-3-8 | 13:33 | 9 |
Recent matches
Stevenage
Home and away
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons?
Both teams to score (1.95); Stevenage to win (2.06).
Who will win Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons?
We estimate: Stevenage win 47%, draw 28%, Milton Keynes Dons win 25%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 24 October 2026, kick-off: 15:00, venue: Broadhall Way, Stevenage.
Who will be missing?
Stevenage: no absences. Milton Keynes Dons: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 46% (odds 2.13); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 54% (odds 1.80).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 51% (odds 1.95).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (12.5%), then 1–0 (12.5%) and 2–1 (9.1%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.