Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 3–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Stevenage v Plymouth: 20 October 2026 · 19:45 at Broadhall Way (Stevenage). We see little between the teams. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
Stevenage vs Plymouth: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Stevenage are 16th in the table, on 16 points after 12 matches (4W 4D 4L), and Plymouth are 5th, on 23 points (7W 2D 5L).
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 1–1 score estimate, roughly 2 goals in all, and 1–1 (12.4%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.70), and we rate it at 56%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 56% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 51% chance.
Prediction summary
- Expected: roughly 2 goals; over 2.5 goals: 51%.
- Out: Stevenage 0, Plymouth 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 56%, best price 1.70). With roughly 2 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Stevenage: no absences. Absent for Plymouth: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Stevenage vs Plymouth: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.78 | 3.50 | 2.55 |
| Market average | 2.70 | 3.35 | 2.48 |
| Lowest odds | 2.54 | 3.07 | 2.43 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.29 | 1.26 | 73.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.92 | 1.86 | 50.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.98 | 1.91 | 49.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.25 | 3.05 | 30.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.70 | 1.66 | 55.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.20 | 2.11 | 44.1% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 20/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.3%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Stevenage 1–1 Plymouth, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Stevenage 16th (16 points), Plymouth 5th (23 points).
- Absences: Stevenage 0, Plymouth 0.
Who will win Stevenage vs Plymouth?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Stevenage vs Plymouth: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Stevenage vs Plymouth: team news and absences
Stevenage
- No reported absences
Plymouth
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Huddersfield | 14 | 8-5-1 | 28:12 | 29 |
| 2 |  Stockport County | 14 | 8-2-4 | 26:14 | 26 |
| 3 |  Oxford United | 13 | 7-5-1 | 22:11 | 26 |
| 4 |  Luton | 14 | 7-3-4 | 27:21 | 24 |
| 5 | Plymouth | 14 | 7-2-5 | 21:19 | 23 |
| 6 |  Reading | 14 | 6-4-4 | 25:15 | 22 |
| 7 |  Bradford | 13 | 6-4-3 | 10:8 | 22 |
| 8 |  Cambridge United | 14 | 5-6-3 | 21:21 | 21 |
| 9 |  Sheffield Wednesday | 13 | 5-5-3 | 22:14 | 20 |
| 10 |  Leicester | 13 | 5-4-4 | 22:19 | 19 |
| 11 |  Mansfield Town | 13 | 5-4-4 | 20:18 | 19 |
| 12 |  Milton Keynes Dons | 13 | 4-6-3 | 22:20 | 18 |
| 13 |  Wycombe | 13 | 4-6-3 | 21:23 | 18 |
| 14 |  Leyton Orient | 13 | 5-2-6 | 19:14 | 17 |
| 15 |  Burton Albion | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:21 | 17 |
| 16 | Stevenage | 12 | 4-4-4 | 17:13 | 16 |
| 17 |  Notts County | 12 | 3-5-4 | 13:14 | 14 |
| 18 |  AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 3-4-6 | 9:21 | 13 |
| 19 |  Blackpool | 12 | 3-3-6 | 17:21 | 12 |
| 20 |  Doncaster | 13 | 3-3-7 | 14:22 | 12 |
| 21 |  Wigan | 14 | 3-2-9 | 11:22 | 11 |
| 22 |  Peterborough | 13 | 2-4-7 | 11:23 | 10 |
| 23 |  Barnsley | 12 | 2-3-7 | 12:22 | 9 |
| 24 |  Bromley | 13 | 2-3-8 | 13:33 | 9 |
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Stevenage vs Plymouth?
Stevenage or draw (1X) (1.57); Both teams to score (1.70).
Who will win Stevenage vs Plymouth?
We estimate: Stevenage win 35%, draw 28%, Plymouth win 38%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 20 October 2026, kick-off: 19:45, venue: Broadhall Way, Stevenage.
Who will be missing?
Stevenage: no absences. Plymouth: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 51% (odds 1.92); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 49% (odds 1.98).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 56% (odds 1.70).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (12.4%), then 0–1 (9.5%) and 1–0 (9.2%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
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