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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 9 · 1 November 2026 · 14:00

Strasbourg vs Auxerre: prediction, tip and odds, 1 November 2026, Ligue 1

5–1
LDWLW
1Strasbourg1.88
XDraw4.16
2Auxerre4.16

Best price · Updated 1/11/26, 13:03

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Played: final score 5–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Strasbourg v Auxerre: 1 November 2026 · 14:00 at Stade de la Meinau (Strasbourg), with Guillaume Paradis refereeing. We have Strasbourg (52%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.

Strasbourg vs Auxerre: tip and prediction
Handicap
Auxerre +0.75 (Asian handicap)
1.88
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.59
Combo
Strasbourg + over 2.5 goals combined
2.80
36% · fair odds for the combo
53%Chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Strasbourg or draw (1X): 76% probability, best odds 1.27.

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Strasbourg vs Auxerre: analysis of the match

What our tip is based on

  1. Table. Strasbourg are 13th in the table, on 10 points after 9 matches (3W 1D 5L), and Auxerre are 14th, on 10 points (3W 1D 5L).
  2. Attack and defence. On average Strasbourg score 1.5 goals a match in the competition and concede 2.3; for Auxerre the figures are 1.5 scored and 2.3 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Strasbourg: 2W 1D 5L, goals 12–18; Auxerre: 3W 1D 4L, goals 12–18.
  4. Head to head. From 11 meetings: 7 wins for Strasbourg, 3 wins for Auxerre and 1 draw, with the goals at 18–7.

What to expect

For us, Strasbourg are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (10.5%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.

In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.59), and we rate it at 61%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 61% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 60% chance.

Prediction summary

  1. Meetings: 11; Strasbourg 7 wins, 1 draw, Auxerre 3 wins.
  2. An average of 2.3 goals per meeting between these teams.
  3. In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Strasbourg 12–18, Auxerre 12–18.
  4. Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 60%.
  5. Out: Strasbourg 3, Auxerre 4.

Alternative tip: BTTS – yes

Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 61%, best price 1.57). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.

Absences

Absent for Strasbourg: J. Panichelli, S. Amo-Ameyaw, F. Balde. Absent for Auxerre: A. Diousse, S. Fofana, R. Labeau Lascary, B. Okoh. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.

Strasbourg vs Auxerre: compare the odds

Match result1X2
Best price1.884.164.16
Market average1.853.913.98
Lowest odds1.803.703.73
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.201.1680.5%
Over 2.5 goals1.661.5960.0%
Under 2.5 goals2.462.3840.0%
Over 3.5 goals2.492.4139.1%
BTTS – yes1.571.5460.6%
BTTS – no2.502.3739.4%

Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 1/11/26, 13:03. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 4.9%.

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At a glance

  • Likely result: Strasbourg 1–1 Auxerre, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Strasbourg 13th (10 points), Auxerre 14th (10 points).
  • Form in the competition: Strasbourg 2W 1D 5L (12:18), Auxerre 3W 1D 4L (12:18).
  • H2H: 11 matches: Strasbourg 7W 1D 3L, goals 18–7.
  • Absences: Strasbourg 3, Auxerre 4.

Who will win Strasbourg vs Auxerre?

Strasbourg52%
Draw24%
Auxerre24%

Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

Strasbourg vs Auxerre: more betting tips

Over 1.5 goals80.5% · fair odds 1.24 · best 1.20
Likely
Strasbourg or draw (1X)76.0% · fair odds 1.32 · best 1.27
Likely
Under 3.5 goals60.9% · fair odds 1.64 · best 1.59
Likely
BTTS – yes60.6% · fair odds 1.65 · best 1.57
Likely
Over 2.5 goals60.0% · fair odds 1.67 · best 1.66
Likely
Strasbourg to win51.6% · fair odds 1.94 · best 1.88
Possible
Under 2.5 goals40.0% · fair odds 2.50 · best 2.46
Outsider
BTTS – no39.4% · fair odds 2.54 · best 2.50
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals39.1% · fair odds 2.56 · best 2.49
Outsider
Draw24.4% · fair odds 4.10 · best 4.16
Outsider
Auxerre to win24.0% · fair odds 4.17 · best 4.16
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

Tips on corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.90 · Under 1.86
probability of over 49.5%
Cardsline 3.5 cards
Over 1.79 · Under 1.97
probability of over 52.3%

Correct score prediction

1 : 110.5%
2 : 19.7%
1 : 08.8%
2 : 08.1%
1 : 26.3%
3 : 16.0%

Strasbourg vs Auxerre: team news and absences

Strasbourg

  • J. Panichelliknee injury · will miss the match
  • S. Amo-Ameyawnot in the squad · doubtful
  • F. Baldeabsence · doubtful

Auxerre

  • A. Diousseknee injury · will miss the match
  • S. Fofanagroin injury · will miss the match
  • R. Labeau Lascaryinjury · will miss the match
  • B. Okohknee injury · will miss the match

Changes are possible before kick-off.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Paris Saint Germain96-2-121:1020
2Lille95-3-112:618
3Lyon95-2-215:717
4Paris FC95-2-216:1017
5Rennes95-1-320:1916
6Marseille95-0-420:1315
7Monaco94-3-212:1015
8Nice94-2-313:1214
9Lens94-1-416:1313
10Stade Brestois 2993-3-316:1212
11Lorient93-3-37:812
12Toulouse92-4-312:1310
13Strasbourg93-1-517:1910
14Auxerre93-1-513:2310
15Angers92-2-59:178
16Estac Troyes92-2-57:168
17Le Mans91-4-411:187
18Le Havre90-2-79:202

Recent matches

Strasbourg

1 NovWStrasbourg 5–1 Auxerre
25 OctLRennes 3–0 Strasbourg
17 OctLStrasbourg 1–3 Paris Saint Germain
11 OctLNice 2–1 Strasbourg
19 SeptLParis FC 2–1 Strasbourg

Auxerre

1 NovLStrasbourg 5–1 Auxerre
25 OctDAuxerre 1–1 Le Mans
18 OctWLe Havre 1–3 Auxerre
11 OctLRennes 4–1 Auxerre
20 SeptWAuxerre 2–1 Stade Brestois 29

Home and away

Strasbourg at home4 matches: 2W 1D 1L, goals 9–6
Auxerre away5 matches: 1W 0D 4L, goals 8–18

Team comparison

StrasbourgAuxerre
9%Form91%
33%Attack67%
39%Defence61%
93%Head to head7%
90%Goals10%
53.2%Overall46.8%

Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.

Form in the competition

StrasbourgWLLLL
AuxerreLDWLW

Head to head

All matches
7Strasbourg
1Draws
3Auxerre
1/11/26 · Strasbourg 5–1 Auxerre
7/3/26 · Auxerre 0–0 Strasbourg
29/10/25 · Strasbourg 3–0 Auxerre
2/3/25 · Auxerre 0–1 Strasbourg
5/1/25 · Strasbourg 3–1 Auxerre
19/3/23 · Strasbourg 2–0 Auxerre

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin4.9%

Questions and answers

What do we tip for Strasbourg vs Auxerre?

Auxerre +0.75 (Asian handicap) (1.88); Under 3.5 goals (1.59).

Who will win Strasbourg vs Auxerre?

We estimate: Strasbourg win 52%, draw 24%, Auxerre win 24%.

Where and when is the game being played?

Date: 1 November 2026, kick-off: 14:00, venue: Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg. Referee: Guillaume Paradis.

Who will be missing?

Strasbourg: J. Panichelli, S. Amo-Ameyaw, F. Balde. Auxerre: A. Diousse, S. Fofana, R. Labeau Lascary, B. Okoh. Changes are possible before kick-off.

Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

We estimate over 2.5 goals at 60% (odds 1.66); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 40% (odds 2.46).

Will both teams score?

By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 61% (odds 1.57).

Which correct score is the likeliest?

We rate 1–1 as most likely (10.5%), then 2–1 (9.7%) and 1–0 (8.8%).

What are your predictions based on?

We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

More predictions

Toulouse vs Strasbourg 6 NovAuxerre vs Paris FC 7 NovParis Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes 7 NovRennes vs Lille 8 NovAngers vs Nice 8 Nov

18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.