Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Auxerre v Le Mans: 25 October 2026 · 16:15 at Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps (Auxerre), with Willy Delajod refereeing. We have Auxerre (45%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
Auxerre vs Le Mans: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Auxerre are 14th in the table, on 10 points after 9 matches (3W 1D 5L), and Le Mans are 17th, on 7 points (1W 4D 4L).
- Attack and defence. On average Auxerre score 1.6 goals a match in the competition and concede 2.4; for Le Mans the figures are 1.4 scored and 2.1 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Auxerre: 3W 0D 4L, goals 11–17; Le Mans: 1W 3D 3L, goals 10–15.
- Head to head. From 6 meetings: 3 wins for Auxerre, 1 win for Le Mans and 2 draws, with the goals at 9–7.
What to expect
For us, Auxerre are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (11.3%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.48), and we rate it at 65%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 59% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 56% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 6; Auxerre 3 wins, 2 draws, Le Mans 1 win.
- An average of 2.7 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Auxerre 11–17, Le Mans 10–15.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 56%.
- Out: Auxerre 6, Le Mans 4.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 59%, best price 1.62). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Auxerre: A. Diousse, S. Fofana, R. Labeau Lascary, B. Okoh, M. Senaya, T. Siwe. Absent for Le Mans: A. Bourabaa, E. Colas, Y. Larouci, H. Voyer. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Auxerre vs Le Mans: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.16 | 3.70 | 3.54 |
| Market average | 2.11 | 3.62 | 3.37 |
| Lowest odds | 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.25 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.23 | 1.21 | 77.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.77 | 1.70 | 56.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.22 | 2.17 | 44.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.77 | 2.70 | 35.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.58 | 59.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.38 | 2.27 | 41.0% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 25/10/26, 13:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 4.8%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Auxerre 1–1 Le Mans, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Auxerre 14th (10 points), Le Mans 17th (7 points).
- Form in the competition: Auxerre 3W 0D 4L (11:17), Le Mans 1W 3D 3L (10:15).
- H2H: 6 matches: Auxerre 3W 2D 1L, goals 9–7.
- Absences: Auxerre 6, Le Mans 4.
Who will win Auxerre vs Le Mans?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Auxerre vs Le Mans: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Auxerre vs Le Mans: team news and absences
Auxerre
- A. Diousseknee injury · will miss the match
- S. Fofanagroin injury · will miss the match
- R. Labeau Lascaryinjury · will miss the match
- B. Okohknee injury · will miss the match
- M. Senayahamstring injury · will miss the match
- T. Siwemuscle injury · will miss the match
Le Mans
- A. Bourabaaankle injury · will miss the match
- E. Colasinjury · will miss the match
- Y. Laroucigroin injury · will miss the match
- H. Voyerthigh injury · will miss the match
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6-2-1 | 21:10 | 20 |
| 2 |  Lille | 9 | 5-3-1 | 12:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  Lyon | 9 | 5-2-2 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 4 |  Paris FC | 9 | 5-2-2 | 16:10 | 17 |
| 5 |  Rennes | 9 | 5-1-3 | 20:19 | 16 |
| 6 |  Marseille | 9 | 5-0-4 | 20:13 | 15 |
| 7 |  Monaco | 9 | 4-3-2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Nice | 9 | 4-2-3 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 9 |  Lens | 9 | 4-1-4 | 16:13 | 13 |
| 10 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 16:12 | 12 |
| 11 |  Lorient | 9 | 3-3-3 | 7:8 | 12 |
| 12 |  Toulouse | 9 | 2-4-3 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 13 |  Strasbourg | 9 | 3-1-5 | 17:19 | 10 |
| 14 | Auxerre | 9 | 3-1-5 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 15 |  Angers | 9 | 2-2-5 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 16 |  Estac Troyes | 9 | 2-2-5 | 7:16 | 8 |
| 17 | Le Mans | 9 | 1-4-4 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 9 | 0-2-7 | 9:20 | 2 |
Recent matches
Auxerre
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
AuxerreLDWLWLe MansLDLLWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Auxerre vs Le Mans?
Over 2.5 goals (1.77); Auxerre to win (2.16).
Who will win Auxerre vs Le Mans?
We estimate: Auxerre win 45%, draw 26%, Le Mans win 28%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 25 October 2026, kick-off: 16:15, venue: Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps, Auxerre. Referee: Willy Delajod.
Who will be missing?
Auxerre: A. Diousse, S. Fofana, R. Labeau Lascary, B. Okoh, M. Senaya, T. Siwe. Le Mans: A. Bourabaa, E. Colas, Y. Larouci, H. Voyer. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 56% (odds 1.77); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 44% (odds 2.22).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 59% (odds 1.62).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (11.3%), then 2–1 (9.4%) and 1–0 (9.1%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.