Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 3–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
It is Rennes against Strasbourg on 25 October 2026 · 16:15 at Roazhon Park (Rennes), and Ruddy Buquet will referee. Rennes (54%) start as favourites in our view. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
Rennes vs Strasbourg: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Rennes are 5th in the table, on 16 points after 9 matches (5W 1D 3L), and Strasbourg are 13th, on 10 points (3W 1D 5L).
- Attack and defence. On average Rennes score 2.1 goals a match in the competition and concede 2.0; for Strasbourg the figures are 1.7 scored and 2.1 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Rennes: 4W 1D 2L, goals 15–14; Strasbourg: 2W 1D 4L, goals 12–15.
- Head to head. From 18 meetings: 11 wins for Rennes, 5 wins for Strasbourg and 2 draws, with the goals at 31–18.
What to expect
For us, Rennes are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 2–1 (9.5%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.46), and we rate it at 66%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 65% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 66% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 18; Rennes 11 wins, 2 draws, Strasbourg 5 wins.
- An average of 2.7 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Rennes 15–14, Strasbourg 12–15.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 66%.
- Out: Rennes 1, Strasbourg 4.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals (probability 54%, best price 1.83). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Rennes: E. Lepaul. Absent for Strasbourg: F. Balde, I. Doukoure, S. Nanasi, J. Panichelli. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Rennes vs Strasbourg: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.83 | 4.50 | 4.22 |
| Market average | 1.78 | 4.25 | 4.02 |
| Lowest odds | 1.75 | 3.90 | 3.80 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.14 | 1.11 | 84.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.46 | 1.43 | 66.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.88 | 2.77 | 34.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.16 | 2.10 | 45.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.45 | 1.42 | 65.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.80 | 2.67 | 34.8% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 25/10/26, 13:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 4.6%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Rennes 2–1 Strasbourg, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Rennes 5th (16 points), Strasbourg 13th (10 points).
- Form in the competition: Rennes 4W 1D 2L (15:14), Strasbourg 2W 1D 4L (12:15).
- H2H: 18 matches: Rennes 11W 2D 5L, goals 31–18.
- Absences: Rennes 1, Strasbourg 4.
Who will win Rennes vs Strasbourg?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Rennes vs Strasbourg: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Rennes vs Strasbourg: team news and absences
Rennes
- E. Lepaulankle injury · will miss the match
Strasbourg
- F. Baldeabsence · will miss the match
- I. Doukourenot in the squad · will miss the match
- S. Nanasiinjury · will miss the match
- J. Panichelliknee injury · will miss the match
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6-2-1 | 21:10 | 20 |
| 2 |  Lille | 9 | 5-3-1 | 12:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  Lyon | 9 | 5-2-2 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 4 |  Paris FC | 9 | 5-2-2 | 16:10 | 17 |
| 5 | Rennes | 9 | 5-1-3 | 20:19 | 16 |
| 6 |  Marseille | 9 | 5-0-4 | 20:13 | 15 |
| 7 |  Monaco | 9 | 4-3-2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Nice | 9 | 4-2-3 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 9 |  Lens | 9 | 4-1-4 | 16:13 | 13 |
| 10 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 16:12 | 12 |
| 11 |  Lorient | 9 | 3-3-3 | 7:8 | 12 |
| 12 |  Toulouse | 9 | 2-4-3 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 13 | Strasbourg | 9 | 3-1-5 | 17:19 | 10 |
| 14 |  Auxerre | 9 | 3-1-5 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 15 |  Angers | 9 | 2-2-5 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 16 |  Estac Troyes | 9 | 2-2-5 | 7:16 | 8 |
| 17 |  Le Mans | 9 | 1-4-4 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 9 | 0-2-7 | 9:20 | 2 |
Recent matches
Rennes
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
RennesLWLWLStrasbourgWLLLLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Rennes vs Strasbourg?
Under 3.5 goals (1.83); Rennes to win (1.83).
Who will win Rennes vs Strasbourg?
We estimate: Rennes win 54%, draw 23%, Strasbourg win 24%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 25 October 2026, kick-off: 16:15, venue: Roazhon Park, Rennes. Referee: Ruddy Buquet.
Who will be missing?
Rennes: E. Lepaul. Strasbourg: F. Balde, I. Doukoure, S. Nanasi, J. Panichelli. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 66% (odds 1.46); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 34% (odds 2.88).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 65% (odds 1.45).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 2–1 as most likely (9.5%), then 1–1 (9.2%) and 2–0 (7.0%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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