Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 5–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
QPR v Swansea: 24 October 2026 · 15:00 at Loftus Road (London), with Sam Allison, England refereeing. We see little between the teams. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
QPR vs Swansea: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. QPR are 11th in the table, on 21 points after 14 matches (5W 6D 3L), and Swansea are 5th, on 26 points (8W 2D 4L).
- Attack and defence. On average QPR score 1.4 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.1; for Swansea the figures are 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded.
- Form in the competition. QPR: 4W 5D 2L, goals 15–12; Swansea: 7W 2D 2L, goals 16–8.
- Head to head. From 24 meetings: 8 wins for QPR, 10 wins for Swansea and 6 draws, with the goals at 29–32.
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 1–1 score estimate, roughly 2 goals in all, and 1–1 (12.4%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.
What stands out is that the table favours the Swansea, whereas the betting market leans slightly towards the home side. When the indicators disagree like this, the match is difficult to read, and a more careful bet is the sensible choice.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.73), and we rate it at 55%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 55% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 50% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 24; QPR 8 wins, 6 draws, Swansea 10 wins.
- An average of 2.5 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: QPR 15–12, Swansea 16–8.
- Expected: roughly 2 goals; over 2.5 goals: 50%.
- Out: QPR 6, Swansea 3.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 55%, best price 1.73). With roughly 2 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for QPR: R. Burrell, I. Chair, T. Lamptey, N. Madsen, A. S. Mbengue, K. Dembele. Absent for Swansea: C. Burgess, J. Key, Ronald. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
QPR vs Swansea: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.50 | 3.49 | 3.03 |
| Market average | 2.42 | 3.34 | 2.85 |
| Lowest odds | 2.30 | 3.20 | 2.79 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.31 | 1.28 | 72.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.96 | 1.91 | 49.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.92 | 1.87 | 50.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.40 | 3.23 | 28.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.73 | 1.70 | 54.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.15 | 2.05 | 45.2% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 24/10/26, 13:58. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.5%.
At a glance
- Likely result: QPR 1–1 Swansea, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: QPR 11th (21 points), Swansea 5th (26 points).
- Form in the competition: QPR 4W 5D 2L (15:12), Swansea 7W 2D 2L (16:8).
- H2H: 24 matches: QPR 8W 6D 10L, goals 29–32.
- Absences: QPR 6, Swansea 3.
Who will win QPR vs Swansea?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
QPR vs Swansea: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
QPR vs Swansea: team news and absences
QPR
- R. Burrellnot in the squad · will miss the match
- I. Chairmuscle injury · will miss the match
- T. Lampteynot in the squad · will miss the match
- N. Madseninjury · will miss the match
- A. S. Mbengueknee injury · will miss the match
- K. Dembeleabsence · doubtful
Swansea
- C. BurgessAchilles tendon injury · will miss the match
- J. Keymuscle injury · will miss the match
- Ronaldhamstring injury · will miss the match
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 14 | 8-4-2 | 30:19 | 28 |
| 2 |  Wolves | 14 | 8-3-3 | 25:17 | 27 |
| 3 |  Birmingham | 14 | 7-5-2 | 26:13 | 26 |
| 4 |  Stoke City | 14 | 8-2-4 | 22:17 | 26 |
| 5 | Swansea | 14 | 8-2-4 | 21:16 | 26 |
| 6 |  West Brom | 14 | 7-4-3 | 20:15 | 25 |
| 7 |  Southampton | 14 | 8-4-2 | 29:14 | 24 |
| 8 |  West Ham | 14 | 6-5-3 | 36:21 | 23 |
| 9 |  Sheffield United | 14 | 6-4-4 | 20:17 | 22 |
| 10 |  Portsmouth | 14 | 6-4-4 | 19:16 | 22 |
| 11 | QPR | 14 | 5-6-3 | 22:17 | 21 |
| 12 |  Norwich | 14 | 6-0-8 | 27:24 | 18 |
| 13 |  Millwall | 14 | 5-3-6 | 23:24 | 18 |
| 14 |  Blackburn | 14 | 5-3-6 | 20:22 | 18 |
| 15 |  Bristol City | 14 | 5-3-6 | 16:19 | 18 |
| 16 |  Wrexham | 14 | 4-5-5 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bolton | 14 | 5-2-7 | 19:26 | 17 |
| 18 |  Cardiff | 14 | 3-6-5 | 22:23 | 15 |
| 19 |  Lincoln | 14 | 4-3-7 | 14:24 | 15 |
| 20 |  Watford | 14 | 4-2-8 | 13:23 | 14 |
| 21 |  Charlton | 14 | 3-5-6 | 11:22 | 14 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 14 | 1-7-6 | 18:26 | 10 |
| 23 |  Derby | 14 | 1-4-9 | 11:29 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 14 | 1-2-11 | 12:30 | 5 |
Recent matches
QPR
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
QPRDLWLWSwanseaLWLLWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for QPR vs Swansea?
Swansea +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.84); Both teams to score (1.73).
Who will win QPR vs Swansea?
We estimate: QPR win 39%, draw 28%, Swansea win 33%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 24 October 2026, kick-off: 15:00, venue: Loftus Road, London. Referee: Sam Allison, England.
Who will be missing?
QPR: R. Burrell, I. Chair, T. Lamptey, N. Madsen, A. S. Mbengue, K. Dembele. Swansea: C. Burgess, J. Key, Ronald. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 50% (odds 1.96); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 50% (odds 1.92).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 55% (odds 1.73).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (12.4%), then 1–0 (9.9%) and 0–1 (8.8%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.