Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Watford v Lincoln: 3 November 2026 · 19:45 at Vicarage Road (Watford), with James Bell refereeing. We see little between the teams. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
Watford vs Lincoln: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Watford are 20th in the table, on 14 points after 14 matches (4W 2D 8L), and Lincoln are 19th, on 15 points (4W 3D 7L).
- Attack and defence. On average Watford score 0.9 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.8; for Lincoln the figures are 1.1 scored and 1.8 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Watford: 3W 2D 8L, goals 12–23; Lincoln: 4W 3D 6L, goals 14–23.
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 1–1 score estimate, roughly 2 goals in all, and 1–1 (12.7%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.75), and we rate it at 54%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 54% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 48% chance.
Prediction summary
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Watford 12–23, Lincoln 14–23.
- Expected: roughly 2 goals; over 2.5 goals: 48%.
- Out: Watford 9, Lincoln 2.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 54%, best price 1.75). With roughly 2 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Watford: M. Antonio, K. Baah, E. Bove, N. Chikovani, S. Coulibaly, J. Grieves, J. Ngakia, L. Kjerrumgaard, B. Mlacic. Absent for Lincoln: T. Darikwa, M. Melia. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Watford vs Lincoln: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.81 | 3.40 | 2.63 |
| Market average | 2.70 | 3.28 | 2.56 |
| Lowest odds | 2.60 | 3.11 | 2.45 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.33 | 1.30 | 71.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.05 | 1.97 | 47.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.85 | 1.81 | 52.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.56 | 3.36 | 27.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.75 | 1.72 | 54.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.10 | 2.03 | 45.9% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 3/11/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.7%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Watford 1–1 Lincoln, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Watford 20th (14 points), Lincoln 19th (15 points).
- Form in the competition: Watford 3W 2D 8L (12:23), Lincoln 4W 3D 6L (14:23).
- Absences: Watford 9, Lincoln 2.
Who will win Watford vs Lincoln?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Watford vs Lincoln: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Watford vs Lincoln: team news and absences
Watford
- M. Antonionot in the squad · will miss the match
- K. Baahknock · will miss the match
- E. Boveknee injury · will miss the match
- N. Chikovaninot in the squad · will miss the match
- S. Coulibalyhamstring injury · will miss the match
- J. Grievesnot in the squad · will miss the match
- J. Ngakiathigh injury · will miss the match
- L. Kjerrumgaardnot in the squad · doubtful
- B. Mlacicnot in the squad · doubtful
Lincoln
- T. Darikwaknee injury · will miss the match
- M. Meliathigh injury · will miss the match
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 14 | 8-4-2 | 30:19 | 28 |
| 2 |  Wolves | 14 | 8-3-3 | 25:17 | 27 |
| 3 |  Birmingham | 14 | 7-5-2 | 26:13 | 26 |
| 4 |  Stoke City | 14 | 8-2-4 | 22:17 | 26 |
| 5 |  Swansea | 14 | 8-2-4 | 21:16 | 26 |
| 6 |  West Brom | 14 | 7-4-3 | 20:15 | 25 |
| 7 |  Southampton | 14 | 8-4-2 | 29:14 | 24 |
| 8 |  West Ham | 14 | 6-5-3 | 36:21 | 23 |
| 9 |  Sheffield United | 14 | 6-4-4 | 20:17 | 22 |
| 10 |  Portsmouth | 14 | 6-4-4 | 19:16 | 22 |
| 11 |  QPR | 14 | 5-6-3 | 22:17 | 21 |
| 12 |  Norwich | 14 | 6-0-8 | 27:24 | 18 |
| 13 |  Millwall | 14 | 5-3-6 | 23:24 | 18 |
| 14 |  Blackburn | 14 | 5-3-6 | 20:22 | 18 |
| 15 |  Bristol City | 14 | 5-3-6 | 16:19 | 18 |
| 16 |  Wrexham | 14 | 4-5-5 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bolton | 14 | 5-2-7 | 19:26 | 17 |
| 18 |  Cardiff | 14 | 3-6-5 | 22:23 | 15 |
| 19 | Lincoln | 14 | 4-3-7 | 14:24 | 15 |
| 20 | Watford | 14 | 4-2-8 | 13:23 | 14 |
| 21 |  Charlton | 14 | 3-5-6 | 11:22 | 14 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 14 | 1-7-6 | 18:26 | 10 |
| 23 |  Derby | 14 | 1-4-9 | 11:29 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 14 | 1-2-11 | 12:30 | 5 |
Recent matches
Watford
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
WatfordWLLWLLincolnLLWDLReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Watford vs Lincoln?
Watford +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.71); Both teams to score (1.75).
Who will win Watford vs Lincoln?
We estimate: Watford win 35%, draw 29%, Lincoln win 37%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 3 November 2026, kick-off: 19:45, venue: Vicarage Road, Watford. Referee: James Bell.
Who will be missing?
Watford: M. Antonio, K. Baah, E. Bove, N. Chikovani, S. Coulibaly, J. Grieves, J. Ngakia, L. Kjerrumgaard, B. Mlacic. Lincoln: T. Darikwa, M. Melia. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 48% (odds 2.05); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 52% (odds 1.85).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 54% (odds 1.75).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (12.7%), then 0–1 (10.2%) and 1–0 (9.8%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.