Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Millwall v Lincoln: 17 October 2026 · 12:30 at The Den (London), with Ruebyn Ricardo refereeing. We have Millwall (55%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
Millwall vs Lincoln: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Millwall are 13th in the table, on 18 points after 14 matches (5W 3D 6L), and Lincoln are 19th, on 15 points (4W 3D 7L).
What to expect
For us, Millwall are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–0 (12.9%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.
In the goals market we pick Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.84), and we rate it at 52%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 50% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 48% chance.
Prediction summary
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 48%.
- Out: Millwall 0, Lincoln 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – no
Alternative tip: BTTS – no (probability 50%, best price 1.86). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Millwall: no absences. Absent for Lincoln: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Millwall vs Lincoln: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.78 | 3.90 | 5.75 |
| Market average | 1.70 | 3.70 | 4.83 |
| Lowest odds | 1.57 | 3.50 | 4.40 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.33 | 1.30 | 71.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.06 | 1.96 | 48.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.84 | 1.81 | 52.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.56 | 3.30 | 28.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.85 | 1.84 | 50.0% |
| BTTS – no | 1.86 | 1.84 | 50.0% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 17/10/26, 10:01. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.7%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Millwall 1–0 Lincoln, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Millwall 13th (18 points), Lincoln 19th (15 points).
- Absences: Millwall 0, Lincoln 0.
Who will win Millwall vs Lincoln?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Millwall vs Lincoln: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Millwall vs Lincoln: team news and absences
Millwall
- No reported absences
Lincoln
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 14 | 8-4-2 | 30:19 | 28 |
| 2 |  Wolves | 14 | 8-3-3 | 25:17 | 27 |
| 3 |  Birmingham | 14 | 7-5-2 | 26:13 | 26 |
| 4 |  Stoke City | 14 | 8-2-4 | 22:17 | 26 |
| 5 |  Swansea | 14 | 8-2-4 | 21:16 | 26 |
| 6 |  West Brom | 14 | 7-4-3 | 20:15 | 25 |
| 7 |  Southampton | 14 | 8-4-2 | 29:14 | 24 |
| 8 |  West Ham | 14 | 6-5-3 | 36:21 | 23 |
| 9 |  Sheffield United | 14 | 6-4-4 | 20:17 | 22 |
| 10 |  Portsmouth | 14 | 6-4-4 | 19:16 | 22 |
| 11 |  QPR | 14 | 5-6-3 | 22:17 | 21 |
| 12 |  Norwich | 14 | 6-0-8 | 27:24 | 18 |
| 13 | Millwall | 14 | 5-3-6 | 23:24 | 18 |
| 14 |  Blackburn | 14 | 5-3-6 | 20:22 | 18 |
| 15 |  Bristol City | 14 | 5-3-6 | 16:19 | 18 |
| 16 |  Wrexham | 14 | 4-5-5 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bolton | 14 | 5-2-7 | 19:26 | 17 |
| 18 |  Cardiff | 14 | 3-6-5 | 22:23 | 15 |
| 19 | Lincoln | 14 | 4-3-7 | 14:24 | 15 |
| 20 |  Watford | 14 | 4-2-8 | 13:23 | 14 |
| 21 |  Charlton | 14 | 3-5-6 | 11:22 | 14 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 14 | 1-7-6 | 18:26 | 10 |
| 23 |  Derby | 14 | 1-4-9 | 11:29 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 14 | 1-2-11 | 12:30 | 5 |
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Millwall vs Lincoln?
Lincoln +1 (Asian handicap) (1.80); Under 2.5 goals (1.84).
Who will win Millwall vs Lincoln?
We estimate: Millwall win 55%, draw 25%, Lincoln win 20%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 17 October 2026, kick-off: 12:30, venue: The Den, London. Referee: Ruebyn Ricardo.
Who will be missing?
Millwall: no absences. Lincoln: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 48% (odds 2.06); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 52% (odds 1.84).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 50% (odds 1.85).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–0 as most likely (12.9%), then 1–1 (11.6%) and 2–0 (10.6%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.