Bet with Freshbet →Werder Bremen v Hamburger SV: 22 November 2026 · 16:30 at Weserstadion (Bremen). We have Werder Bremen (55%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Werder Bremen are 5th in the table, on 15 points after 8 matches (4W 3D 1L), and Hamburger SV are 15th, on 9 points (3W 0D 5L).
What to expect
For us, Werder Bremen are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 2–1 (9.8%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.51), and we rate it at 63%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 61% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 63% chance.
Prediction summary
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 63%.
- Out: Werder Bremen 0, Hamburger SV 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 61%, best price 1.53). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Werder Bremen: no absences. Absent for Hamburger SV: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.67 | 4.00 | 4.33 |
| Market average | 1.67 | 4.00 | 4.33 |
| Lowest odds | 1.67 | 4.00 | 4.33 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.14 | 1.13 | 82.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.51 | 1.51 | 63.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.62 | 2.57 | 36.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.37 | 2.34 | 41.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.53 | 1.53 | 60.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.38 | 2.38 | 39.1% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 1/11/26, 17:11. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 8.0%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Werder Bremen 2–1 Hamburger SV, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Werder Bremen 5th (15 points), Hamburger SV 15th (9 points).
- Absences: Werder Bremen 0, Hamburger SV 0.
Who will win Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Correct score prediction
Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV: team news and absences
Werder Bremen
- No reported absences
Hamburger SV
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 8 | 5-3-0 | 27:8 | 18 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 5-3-0 | 14:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 8 | 5-1-2 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 4 |  RB Leipzig | 8 | 5-0-3 | 22:11 | 15 |
| 5 | Werder Bremen | 8 | 4-3-1 | 17:14 | 15 |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 4-1-3 | 18:16 | 13 |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 8 | 4-1-3 | 16:16 | 13 |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 3-2-3 | 13:18 | 11 |
| 9 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 3-1-4 | 17:17 | 10 |
| 10 |  FC Augsburg | 8 | 2-3-3 | 18:15 | 9 |
| 11 |  VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 12 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 13 |  1. FC Köln | 8 | 2-3-3 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 14 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 6:9 | 9 |
| 15 | Hamburger SV | 8 | 3-0-5 | 7:19 | 9 |
| 16 |  Union Berlin | 8 | 1-4-3 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 |  FC Schalke 04 | 8 | 1-3-4 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 8 | 1-1-6 | 11:22 | 4 |
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV?
Under 3.5 goals (1.69); Werder Bremen to win (1.67).
Who will win Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV?
We estimate: Werder Bremen win 55%, draw 23%, Hamburger SV win 21%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 22 November 2026, kick-off: 16:30, venue: Weserstadion, Bremen.
Who will be missing?
Werder Bremen: no absences. Hamburger SV: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 63% (odds 1.51); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 37% (odds 2.62).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 61% (odds 1.53).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 2–1 as most likely (9.8%), then 1–1 (9.8%) and 2–0 (8.2%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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