Bet with Freshbet →It is West Brom against Millwall on 7 November 2026 · 15:00 at The Hawthorns (West Bromwich). West Brom (46%) start as favourites in our view. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
West Brom vs Millwall betting prediction
West Brom and Millwall meet at The Hawthorns on 7 November 2026, kick-off 15:00, and the numbers point one way more than the other. The bookmakers make the home side 53% at best odds of 1.85, while the expected goals sit at about 1 for each team, roughly two in total. We like the home side, but we are not expecting a flood of goals, and the price on the most common exact scores tells the same story.
Attack and defence at The Hawthorns
In this Championship table West Brom have scored 19 and conceded 14 from 13 matches, while Millwall have scored 23 and conceded 21. Millwall have the sharper edge in front of goal on those figures, which is why we do not see this as a one-sided fixture on paper. The difference is at home and away. West Brom have scored 9 and conceded 6 at The Hawthorns, and Millwall have scored 8 and conceded 12 on the road. That 12 against is the number we keep coming back to.
Form: a home side that wins more than it slips
The last five matches of West Brom in all competitions read 0-1 home defeat to Birmingham, 1-2 away win at Wrexham, 3-2 home win over Blackburn, 1-1 draw away at Preston and 1-3 away win at West Ham. Taken together they have won three, drawn one and lost one, with 9 goals scored and 6 conceded. The West Ham result, shown in the record as 1-3 for West Brom, is the one we would not overrate. It was a good away win, not a template for every week.
Millwall's last five in all competitions are a 1-0 away win at Preston, a 0-1 home defeat to Swansea, a 2-2 home draw with Lincoln, a 1-2 away defeat at Portsmouth and a 4-1 home win over Derby. Two wins, one draw and two defeats, with 8 scored and 6 conceded. The 4-1 against Derby shows they can score when things click, but a side that has lost two of five is not a convincing away side at the moment. Keep in mind these last five include all competitions, while the league table figures are for this Championship only.
Meetings that keep ending level
The head-to-head record is the one piece of evidence that does not favour the home side. In the last 15 meetings West Brom have won two, drawn eight and lost five, with 10 goals scored and 15 conceded. Eight draws in 15 is a lot of level football. Among the meetings on record, the 0-0 draws at The Hawthorns on 10 April 2026 and 5 October 2024 stand out, and so does the 3-0 Millwall win on 4 October 2025. That last result is the reason we do not treat this fixture as a formality. It can go either way, and it has.
No absentees to weigh
No absentees are reported for either side, so there is no injury or suspension story to shape the pick. We would rather have that certainty than a late team-news scare, and it means the decision rests on form, venue and price.
How we would bet it
Main tip: West Brom to win at odds 1.85 (chance 53%). We back the home side because they have won three of their last five and lost only one, they sit fourth with 24 points against Millwall's 18 in twelfth, and they have won three of their six home matches in this competition with two draws and one defeat. The market gives them 53% at best odds of 1.85, and we think the price is fair for a side with that home profile. The bookmaker margin on the match result is 7.0%, so the number is not a gift, but it is not a trap either.
The tip wins on 1-0, 2-1 and 2-0 and loses on 1-1, 0-1 and 0-0. Those three losing scores are the ones we worry about, and they are not unlikely. The bookmakers rate 1-1 as the most likely exact score at 12.5%, with 1-0 at 11.3% and 2-1 at 9.0%. Two of the three most likely scores are wins for the home side, which is why we are comfortable with the pick. We have no other bets to recommend for this match, so the main tip is the only selection on this page.
The score we expect
We expect West Brom to edge it 1-0. The home side should have enough control to keep Millwall's away attack quiet, and the 1-0 is the scoreline we find most believable. Expect a result that needs one good moment rather than a flurry of goals.
West Brom vs Millwall: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.05 | 3.70 | 3.57 |
| Market average | 2.01 | 3.52 | 3.44 |
| Lowest odds | 1.95 | 3.08 | 3.10 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.28 | 1.23 | 75.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.85 | 1.79 | 52.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.02 | 2.00 | 47.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.09 | 2.91 | 32.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.64 | 56.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.16 | 2.13 | 43.6% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 5/11/26, 00:31. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.3%.
At a glance
- Likely result: West Brom 1–1 Millwall, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: West Brom 6th (25 points), Millwall 13th (18 points).
- Form in the competition: West Brom 7W 4D 3L (20:15), Millwall 5W 3D 6L (23:24).
- H2H: 15 matches: West Brom 2W 8D 5L, goals 10–15.
- Absences: West Brom 0, Millwall 0.
Who will win West Brom vs Millwall?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
West Brom vs Millwall: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
West Brom vs Millwall: team news and absences
West Brom
- No reported absences
Millwall
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 14 | 8-4-2 | 30:19 | 28 |
| 2 |  Wolves | 14 | 8-3-3 | 25:17 | 27 |
| 3 |  Birmingham | 14 | 7-5-2 | 26:13 | 26 |
| 4 |  Stoke City | 14 | 8-2-4 | 22:17 | 26 |
| 5 |  Swansea | 14 | 8-2-4 | 21:16 | 26 |
| 6 | West Brom | 14 | 7-4-3 | 20:15 | 25 |
| 7 |  Southampton | 14 | 8-4-2 | 29:14 | 24 |
| 8 |  West Ham | 14 | 6-5-3 | 36:21 | 23 |
| 9 |  Sheffield United | 14 | 6-4-4 | 20:17 | 22 |
| 10 |  Portsmouth | 14 | 6-4-4 | 19:16 | 22 |
| 11 |  QPR | 14 | 5-6-3 | 22:17 | 21 |
| 12 |  Norwich | 14 | 6-0-8 | 27:24 | 18 |
| 13 | Millwall | 14 | 5-3-6 | 23:24 | 18 |
| 14 |  Blackburn | 14 | 5-3-6 | 20:22 | 18 |
| 15 |  Bristol City | 14 | 5-3-6 | 16:19 | 18 |
| 16 |  Wrexham | 14 | 4-5-5 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bolton | 14 | 5-2-7 | 19:26 | 17 |
| 18 |  Cardiff | 14 | 3-6-5 | 22:23 | 15 |
| 19 |  Lincoln | 14 | 4-3-7 | 14:24 | 15 |
| 20 |  Watford | 14 | 4-2-8 | 13:23 | 14 |
| 21 |  Charlton | 14 | 3-5-6 | 11:22 | 14 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 14 | 1-7-6 | 18:26 | 10 |
| 23 |  Derby | 14 | 1-4-9 | 11:29 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 14 | 1-2-11 | 12:30 | 5 |
Recent matches
West Brom
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
West BromDWDWWMillwallLWLDLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for West Brom vs Millwall?
Over 2.5 goals (1.85); West Brom to win (2.05).
Who will win West Brom vs Millwall?
We estimate: West Brom win 46%, draw 27%, Millwall win 27%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 7 November 2026, kick-off: 15:00, venue: The Hawthorns, West Bromwich.
Who will be missing?
West Brom: no absences. Millwall: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 53% (odds 1.85); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 47% (odds 2.02).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 56% (odds 1.67).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (11.7%), then 1–0 (9.7%) and 2–1 (9.3%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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