Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
It is Portsmouth against Millwall on 24 October 2026 · 12:30 at Fratton Park (Portsmouth), and Tom Reeves, England will referee. This one looks too close to call. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
Portsmouth vs Millwall: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Portsmouth are 10th in the table, on 22 points after 14 matches (6W 4D 4L), and Millwall are 13th, on 18 points (5W 3D 6L).
- Attack and defence. On average Portsmouth score 1.3 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.3; for Millwall the figures are 1.6 scored and 1.6 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Portsmouth: 4W 3D 4L, goals 14–14; Millwall: 4W 3D 4L, goals 18–18.
- Head to head. From 9 meetings: 3 wins for Portsmouth, 6 wins for Millwall and 0 draws, with the goals at 10–11.
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 1–1 score estimate, roughly 2 goals in all, and 1–1 (12.5%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.75), and we rate it at 54%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 54% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 48% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 9; Portsmouth 3 wins, 0 draws, Millwall 6 wins.
- An average of 2.3 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Portsmouth 14–14, Millwall 18–18.
- Expected: roughly 2 goals; over 2.5 goals: 48%.
- Out: Portsmouth 10, Millwall 8.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 54%, best price 1.75). With roughly 2 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Portsmouth: K. Anderson, B. Arthur, C. Bishop, L. Brooke-Smith, M. Kosznovszky, J. Murphy, C. Ogilvie, C. Shaughnessy, J. Swift, F. Umeh. Absent for Millwall: J. Coburn, C. De Norre, L. Jensen, M. Luongo, F. Marschall, M. Servais, T. Arconte, M. Ivanovic. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Portsmouth vs Millwall: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.50 | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| Market average | 2.47 | 3.27 | 2.86 |
| Lowest odds | 2.38 | 3.10 | 2.70 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.32 | 1.29 | 72.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.02 | 1.96 | 48.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.87 | 1.82 | 51.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.48 | 3.32 | 28.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.75 | 1.72 | 54.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.15 | 2.03 | 45.8% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 24/10/26, 10:03. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.1%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Portsmouth 1–1 Millwall, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Portsmouth 10th (22 points), Millwall 13th (18 points).
- Form in the competition: Portsmouth 4W 3D 4L (14:14), Millwall 4W 3D 4L (18:18).
- H2H: 9 matches: Portsmouth 3W 0D 6L, goals 10–11.
- Absences: Portsmouth 10, Millwall 8.
Who will win Portsmouth vs Millwall?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Portsmouth vs Millwall: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Portsmouth vs Millwall: team news and absences
Portsmouth
- K. Andersonabsence · will miss the match
- B. Arthurback injury · will miss the match
- C. Bishopknee injury · will miss the match
- L. Brooke-Smithankle injury · will miss the match
- M. Kosznovszkyknee injury · will miss the match
- J. Murphygroin injury · will miss the match
- C. Ogilvieknee injury · will miss the match
- C. Shaughnessyinjury · will miss the match
- J. Swiftknee injury · will miss the match
- F. Umehhamstring injury · will miss the match
Millwall
- J. Coburnmuscle injury · will miss the match
- C. De Norremuscle injury · will miss the match
- L. Jensenmuscle injury · will miss the match
- M. Luongoknee injury · will miss the match
- F. Marschallinjury · will miss the match
- M. Servaisnot in the squad · will miss the match
- T. Arconteankle injury · doubtful
- M. Ivanovichamstring injury · doubtful
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 14 | 8-4-2 | 30:19 | 28 |
| 2 |  Wolves | 14 | 8-3-3 | 25:17 | 27 |
| 3 |  Birmingham | 14 | 7-5-2 | 26:13 | 26 |
| 4 |  Stoke City | 14 | 8-2-4 | 22:17 | 26 |
| 5 |  Swansea | 14 | 8-2-4 | 21:16 | 26 |
| 6 |  West Brom | 14 | 7-4-3 | 20:15 | 25 |
| 7 |  Southampton | 14 | 8-4-2 | 29:14 | 24 |
| 8 |  West Ham | 14 | 6-5-3 | 36:21 | 23 |
| 9 |  Sheffield United | 14 | 6-4-4 | 20:17 | 22 |
| 10 | Portsmouth | 14 | 6-4-4 | 19:16 | 22 |
| 11 |  QPR | 14 | 5-6-3 | 22:17 | 21 |
| 12 |  Norwich | 14 | 6-0-8 | 27:24 | 18 |
| 13 | Millwall | 14 | 5-3-6 | 23:24 | 18 |
| 14 |  Blackburn | 14 | 5-3-6 | 20:22 | 18 |
| 15 |  Bristol City | 14 | 5-3-6 | 16:19 | 18 |
| 16 |  Wrexham | 14 | 4-5-5 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bolton | 14 | 5-2-7 | 19:26 | 17 |
| 18 |  Cardiff | 14 | 3-6-5 | 22:23 | 15 |
| 19 |  Lincoln | 14 | 4-3-7 | 14:24 | 15 |
| 20 |  Watford | 14 | 4-2-8 | 13:23 | 14 |
| 21 |  Charlton | 14 | 3-5-6 | 11:22 | 14 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 14 | 1-7-6 | 18:26 | 10 |
| 23 |  Derby | 14 | 1-4-9 | 11:29 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 14 | 1-2-11 | 12:30 | 5 |
Recent matches
Portsmouth
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
PortsmouthWDWDWMillwallLWLDLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Portsmouth vs Millwall?
Millwall +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.80); Both teams to score (1.75).
Who will win Portsmouth vs Millwall?
We estimate: Portsmouth win 38%, draw 29%, Millwall win 33%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 24 October 2026, kick-off: 12:30, venue: Fratton Park, Portsmouth. Referee: Tom Reeves, England.
Who will be missing?
Portsmouth: K. Anderson, B. Arthur, C. Bishop, L. Brooke-Smith, M. Kosznovszky, J. Murphy, C. Ogilvie, C. Shaughnessy, J. Swift, F. Umeh. Millwall: J. Coburn, C. De Norre, L. Jensen, M. Luongo, F. Marschall, M. Servais, T. Arconte, M. Ivanovic. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 48% (odds 2.02); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 52% (odds 1.87).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 54% (odds 1.75).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (12.5%), then 1–0 (10.0%) and 0–1 (9.3%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.