Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 3–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
It is 1899 Hoffenheim against Lyon on 22 October 2026 · 20:00 at Prezero Arena (Sinsheim), and Halil Umut Meler will referee. 1899 Hoffenheim (49%) start as favourites in our view. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
1899 Hoffenheim vs Lyon: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. 1899 Hoffenheim are 23rd in the table, on 3 points after 3 matches (1W 0D 2L), and Lyon are 13th, on 6 points (2W 0D 1L).
- Head to head. From 4 meetings: 1 win for 1899 Hoffenheim, 0 wins for Lyon and 3 draws, with the goals at 10–7.
What to expect
For us, 1899 Hoffenheim are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (9.8%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.47), and we rate it at 65%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 65% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 64% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 4; 1899 Hoffenheim 1 win, 3 draws, Lyon 0 wins.
- An average of 4.3 goals per meeting between these teams.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 64%.
- Out: 1899 Hoffenheim 0, Lyon 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals (probability 64%, best price 1.53). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for 1899 Hoffenheim: no absences. Absent for Lyon: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
1899 Hoffenheim vs Lyon: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.03 | 4.20 | 3.73 |
| Market average | 1.94 | 4.02 | 3.49 |
| Lowest odds | 1.83 | 3.69 | 3.10 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.17 | 1.13 | 82.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.53 | 1.47 | 64.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.80 | 2.63 | 35.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.27 | 2.20 | 43.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.47 | 1.43 | 64.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.75 | 2.65 | 35.1% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 22/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 5.2%.
At a glance
- Likely result: 1899 Hoffenheim 1–1 Lyon, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: 1899 Hoffenheim 23rd (3 points), Lyon 13th (6 points).
- H2H: 4 matches: 1899 Hoffenheim 1W 3D 0L, goals 10–7.
- Absences: 1899 Hoffenheim 0, Lyon 0.
Who will win 1899 Hoffenheim vs Lyon?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
1899 Hoffenheim vs Lyon: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
1899 Hoffenheim vs Lyon: team news and absences
1899 Hoffenheim
- No reported absences
Lyon
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 4 | 3-1-0 | 4:1 | 10 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 3 | 3-0-0 | 10:2 | 9 |
| 3 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:0 | 9 |
| 4 |  Bournemouth | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 5 |  Ferencvárosi TC | 3 | 3-0-0 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 6 |  Union Saint-Gilloise | 3 | 2-1-0 | 8:1 | 7 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 3 | 2-1-0 | 9:3 | 7 |
| 8 |  Beşiktaş | 3 | 2-1-0 | 9:5 | 7 |
| 9 |  Sunderland | 3 | 2-1-0 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 10 |  AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 2-0-1 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 11 |  Omonia Nicosia | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 12 |  Rennes | 4 | 1-3-0 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 13 | Lyon | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 14 |  Real Sociedad | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:3 | 4 |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:5 | 4 |
| 16 |  Sparta Praha | 3 | 1-1-1 | 5:3 | 4 |
| 17 |  Levski Sofia | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 18 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 19 |  Sturm Graz | 3 | 1-1-1 | 1:3 | 4 |
| 20 |  NEC Nijmegen | 3 | 1-1-1 | 5:8 | 4 |
| 21 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 22 |  Anderlecht | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 23 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:5 | 3 |
| 24 |  AC Milan | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 25 |  Celta Vigo | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 26 |  OFI | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 27 |  Jagiellonia | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 28 |  Torreense | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 29 |  Celje | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:7 | 1 |
| 30 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 3 | 0-1-2 | 1:6 | 1 |
| 31 |  Lillestrøm | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:9 | 1 |
| 32 |  Lech Poznań | 3 | 0-1-2 | 1:9 | 1 |
| 33 |  Plzeň | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:7 | 0 |
| 34 |  Marseille | 3 | 0-0-3 | 1:6 | 0 |
| 35 |  Celtic | 3 | 0-0-3 | 3:9 | 0 |
| 36 |  Ararat-Armenia | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:11 | 0 |
Recent matches
1899 Hoffenheim
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for 1899 Hoffenheim vs Lyon?
Lyon +0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.99); Both teams to score (1.47).
Who will win 1899 Hoffenheim vs Lyon?
We estimate: 1899 Hoffenheim win 49%, draw 24%, Lyon win 27%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 22 October 2026, kick-off: 20:00, venue: Prezero Arena, Sinsheim. Referee: Halil Umut Meler.
Who will be missing?
1899 Hoffenheim: no absences. Lyon: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 64% (odds 1.53); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 36% (odds 2.80).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 65% (odds 1.47).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (9.8%), then 2–1 (9.3%) and 1–0 (7.0%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
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