Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 3–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
It is 1899 Hoffenheim against Bayer Leverkusen on 25 October 2026 · 14:30 at Prezero Arena (Sinsheim), and Daniel Siebert will referee. Bayer Leverkusen (47%) start as favourites in our view. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. 1899 Hoffenheim are 12th in the table, on 9 points after 8 matches (3W 0D 5L), and Bayer Leverkusen are 6th, on 13 points (4W 1D 3L).
- Attack and defence. On average 1899 Hoffenheim score 1.8 goals a match in the competition and concede 2.3; for Bayer Leverkusen the figures are 2.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
- Form in the competition. 1899 Hoffenheim: 2W 0D 4L, goals 11–14; Bayer Leverkusen: 4W 1D 1L, goals 16–9.
- Head to head. From 33 meetings: 10 wins for 1899 Hoffenheim, 17 wins for Bayer Leverkusen and 6 draws, with the goals at 47–59.
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 2–2 score estimate, roughly 4 goals in all, and 1–2 (8.4%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.86), and we rate it at 54%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 72% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 73% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 33; 1899 Hoffenheim 10 wins, 6 draws, Bayer Leverkusen 17 wins.
- An average of 3.2 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: 1899 Hoffenheim 11–14, Bayer Leverkusen 16–9.
- Expected: roughly 4 goals; over 2.5 goals: 73%.
- Out: 1899 Hoffenheim 4, Bayer Leverkusen 6.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals (probability 46%, best price 2.15). With roughly 4 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for 1899 Hoffenheim: N. De Cat, A. Hajdari, P. Wimmer, B. Conte. Absent for Bayer Leverkusen: E. Ben Seghir, G. Doue, K. Eichhorn, C. Kofane, M. Terrier, M. Culbreath. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 3.28 | 4.42 | 2.10 |
| Market average | 3.13 | 4.15 | 2.05 |
| Lowest odds | 3.00 | 3.90 | 2.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.09 | 1.06 | 88.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.32 | 1.29 | 73.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.60 | 3.51 | 26.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.86 | 1.76 | 54.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.30 | 1.29 | 72.5% |
| BTTS – no | 3.50 | 3.39 | 27.5% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 25/10/26, 13:38. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 4.9%.
At a glance
- Likely result: 1899 Hoffenheim 1–2 Bayer Leverkusen, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: 1899 Hoffenheim 12th (9 points), Bayer Leverkusen 6th (13 points).
- Form in the competition: 1899 Hoffenheim 2W 0D 4L (11:14), Bayer Leverkusen 4W 1D 1L (16:9).
- H2H: 33 matches: 1899 Hoffenheim 10W 6D 17L, goals 47–59.
- Absences: 1899 Hoffenheim 4, Bayer Leverkusen 6.
Who will win 1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen: team news and absences
1899 Hoffenheim
- N. De Catknee injury · will miss the match
- A. Hajdarifoot injury · will miss the match
- P. Wimmerthigh injury · will miss the match
- B. Conteinjury · doubtful
Bayer Leverkusen
- E. Ben Seghirmuscle injury · will miss the match
- G. Douecalf injury · will miss the match
- K. Eichhornillness · will miss the match
- C. Kofanemuscle injury · will miss the match
- M. Terriermuscle injury · will miss the match
- M. Culbreathfoot injury · doubtful
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 8 | 5-3-0 | 27:8 | 18 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 5-3-0 | 14:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 8 | 5-1-2 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 4 |  RB Leipzig | 8 | 5-0-3 | 22:11 | 15 |
| 5 |  Werder Bremen | 8 | 4-3-1 | 17:14 | 15 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 4-1-3 | 18:16 | 13 |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 8 | 4-1-3 | 16:16 | 13 |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 3-2-3 | 13:18 | 11 |
| 9 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 3-1-4 | 17:17 | 10 |
| 10 |  FC Augsburg | 8 | 2-3-3 | 18:15 | 9 |
| 11 |  VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 12 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 13 |  1. FC Köln | 8 | 2-3-3 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 14 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 6:9 | 9 |
| 15 |  Hamburger SV | 8 | 3-0-5 | 7:19 | 9 |
| 16 |  Union Berlin | 8 | 1-4-3 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 |  FC Schalke 04 | 8 | 1-3-4 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 8 | 1-1-6 | 11:22 | 4 |
Recent matches
1899 Hoffenheim
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
1899 HoffenheimLWWLLBayer LeverkusenLLWWWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for 1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen?
Over 3.5 goals (1.86); Bayer Leverkusen to win (2.10).
Who will win 1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen?
We estimate: 1899 Hoffenheim win 30%, draw 23%, Bayer Leverkusen win 47%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 25 October 2026, kick-off: 14:30, venue: Prezero Arena, Sinsheim. Referee: Daniel Siebert.
Who will be missing?
1899 Hoffenheim: N. De Cat, A. Hajdari, P. Wimmer, B. Conte. Bayer Leverkusen: E. Ben Seghir, G. Doue, K. Eichhorn, C. Kofane, M. Terrier, M. Culbreath. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 73% (odds 1.32); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 27% (odds 3.60).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 72% (odds 1.30).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–2 as most likely (8.4%), then 1–1 (8.0%) and 2–2 (7.1%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.