Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Lyon play Nice at home on 18 October 2026 · 19:45 at Parc Olympique Lyonnais (Lyon); the referee is François Letexier, France. For us, Lyon (52%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Lyon vs Nice: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Lyon are 3rd in the table, on 17 points after 9 matches (5W 2D 2L), and Nice are 8th, on 14 points (4W 2D 3L).
What to expect
For us, Lyon are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (10.8%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.50), and we rate it at 64%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 58% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 57% chance.
Prediction summary
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 57%.
- Out: Lyon 0, Nice 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 58%, best price 1.65). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Lyon: no absences. Absent for Nice: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Lyon vs Nice: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.86 | 4.00 | 4.44 |
| Market average | 1.83 | 3.89 | 4.20 |
| Lowest odds | 1.80 | 3.70 | 4.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.19 | 78.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.75 | 1.69 | 56.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.26 | 2.20 | 43.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.70 | 2.63 | 35.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.65 | 1.62 | 57.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.25 | 2.20 | 42.3% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 18/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 4.4%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Lyon 1–1 Nice, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Lyon 3rd (17 points), Nice 8th (14 points).
- Absences: Lyon 0, Nice 0.
Who will win Lyon vs Nice?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Lyon vs Nice: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Lyon vs Nice: team news and absences
Lyon
- No reported absences
Nice
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6-2-1 | 21:10 | 20 |
| 2 |  Lille | 9 | 5-3-1 | 12:6 | 18 |
| 3 | Lyon | 9 | 5-2-2 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 4 |  Paris FC | 9 | 5-2-2 | 16:10 | 17 |
| 5 |  Rennes | 9 | 5-1-3 | 20:19 | 16 |
| 6 |  Marseille | 9 | 5-0-4 | 20:13 | 15 |
| 7 |  Monaco | 9 | 4-3-2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 | Nice | 9 | 4-2-3 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 9 |  Lens | 9 | 4-1-4 | 16:13 | 13 |
| 10 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 16:12 | 12 |
| 11 |  Lorient | 9 | 3-3-3 | 7:8 | 12 |
| 12 |  Toulouse | 9 | 2-4-3 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 13 |  Strasbourg | 9 | 3-1-5 | 17:19 | 10 |
| 14 |  Auxerre | 9 | 3-1-5 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 15 |  Angers | 9 | 2-2-5 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 16 |  Estac Troyes | 9 | 2-2-5 | 7:16 | 8 |
| 17 |  Le Mans | 9 | 1-4-4 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 9 | 0-2-7 | 9:20 | 2 |
Recent matches
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Lyon vs Nice?
Over 2.5 goals (1.75); Lyon to win (1.86).
Who will win Lyon vs Nice?
We estimate: Lyon win 52%, draw 25%, Nice win 23%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 18 October 2026, kick-off: 19:45, venue: Parc Olympique Lyonnais, Lyon. Referee: François Letexier, France.
Who will be missing?
Lyon: no absences. Nice: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 57% (odds 1.75); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 43% (odds 2.26).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 58% (odds 1.65).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (10.8%), then 2–1 (9.8%) and 1–0 (9.4%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
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