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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 9 · 1 November 2026 · 16:15

Lyon vs Angers: prediction, tip and odds, 1 November 2026, Ligue 1

WLWLW
2–0
LDLLW
1Lyon1.46
XDraw5.09
2Angers8.00

Best price · Updated 1/11/26, 13:03

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Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Lyon play Angers at home on 1 November 2026 · 16:15 at Groupama Stadium (Lyon); the referee is Marc Bollengier. For us, Lyon (67%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.

Lyon vs Angers: tip and prediction
Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.75
Result
Lyon to win
1.46
Combo
Lyon + over 2.5 goals combined
2.22
45% · fair odds for the combo
57%Chance
2–0likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Lyon or draw (1X): 87% probability, best odds 1.12.

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Lyon vs Angers: analysis of the match

What our tip is based on

  1. Table. Lyon are 3rd in the table, on 17 points after 9 matches (5W 2D 2L), and Angers are 15th, on 8 points (2W 2D 5L).
  2. Attack and defence. On average Lyon score 1.6 goals a match in the competition and concede 0.9; for Angers the figures are 1.1 scored and 1.9 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Lyon: 4W 2D 2L, goals 13–7; Angers: 2W 2D 4L, goals 9–15.
  4. Head to head. From 20 meetings: 15 wins for Lyon, 2 wins for Angers and 3 draws, with the goals at 44–15.

What to expect

For us, Lyon are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 2–0 (11.5%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.

In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.51), and we rate it at 64%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 51% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 57% chance.

Prediction summary

  1. Meetings: 20; Lyon 15 wins, 3 draws, Angers 2 wins.
  2. An average of 3.0 goals per meeting between these teams.
  3. In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Lyon 13–7, Angers 9–15.
  4. Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 57%.
  5. Out: Lyon 5, Angers 1.

Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals

Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals (probability 57%, best price 1.75). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.

Absences

Absent for Lyon: S. Kango, T. Morton, L. Openda, M. Ouedraogo, P. Sulc. Absent for Angers: A. El Ouazzani. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.

Lyon vs Angers: compare the odds

Match result1X2
Best price1.465.098.00
Market average1.424.797.41
Lowest odds1.394.506.50
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.221.2078.6%
Over 2.5 goals1.751.6657.4%
Under 2.5 goals2.322.2442.6%
Over 3.5 goals2.722.6335.9%
BTTS – yes1.871.8450.6%
BTTS – no1.951.8949.4%

Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 1/11/26, 13:03. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 4.9%.

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At a glance

  • Likely result: Lyon 2–0 Angers, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Lyon 3rd (17 points), Angers 15th (8 points).
  • Form in the competition: Lyon 4W 2D 2L (13:7), Angers 2W 2D 4L (9:15).
  • H2H: 20 matches: Lyon 15W 3D 2L, goals 44–15.
  • Absences: Lyon 5, Angers 1.

Who will win Lyon vs Angers?

Lyon67%
Draw20%
Angers13%

Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

Lyon vs Angers: more betting tips

Lyon or draw (1X)87.1% · fair odds 1.15 · best 1.12
Likely
Over 1.5 goals78.6% · fair odds 1.27 · best 1.22
Likely
Lyon to win67.1% · fair odds 1.49 · best 1.46
Likely
Under 3.5 goals64.1% · fair odds 1.56 · best 1.51
Likely
Over 2.5 goals57.4% · fair odds 1.74 · best 1.75
Possible
BTTS – yes50.6% · fair odds 1.98 · best 1.87
Possible
BTTS – no49.4% · fair odds 2.02 · best 1.95
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals42.6% · fair odds 2.35 · best 2.32
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals35.9% · fair odds 2.78 · best 2.72
Outsider
Draw19.9% · fair odds 5.01 · best 5.09
Outsider
Angers to win12.9% · fair odds 7.75 · best 8.00
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

Tips on corners and cards

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 2.01 · Under 1.78
probability of over 47.0%
Cardsline 3.5 cards
Over 1.91 · Under 1.83
probability of over 49.0%

Correct score prediction

2 : 011.5%
1 : 010.7%
2 : 19.8%
1 : 19.1%
3 : 08.2%
3 : 17.0%

Lyon vs Angers: team news and absences

Lyon

  • S. Kangoconcussion · will miss the match
  • T. Mortongroin injury · will miss the match
  • L. Opendaabsence · will miss the match
  • M. Ouedraogoknee injury · will miss the match
  • P. Sulcknee injury · will miss the match

Angers

  • A. El Ouazzanigroin injury · will miss the match

Changes are possible before kick-off.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Paris Saint Germain96-2-121:1020
2Lille95-3-112:618
3Lyon95-2-215:717
4Paris FC95-2-216:1017
5Rennes95-1-320:1916
6Marseille95-0-420:1315
7Monaco94-3-212:1015
8Nice94-2-313:1214
9Lens94-1-416:1313
10Stade Brestois 2993-3-316:1212
11Lorient93-3-37:812
12Toulouse92-4-312:1310
13Strasbourg93-1-517:1910
14Auxerre93-1-513:2310
15Angers92-2-59:178
16Estac Troyes92-2-57:168
17Le Mans91-4-411:187
18Le Havre90-2-79:202

Recent matches

Lyon

1 NovWLyon 2–0 Angers
26 OctLParis Saint Germain 2–0 Lyon
22 OctL1899 Hoffenheim 3–0 Lyon
18 OctWLyon 2–1 Nice
15 OctWLyon 3–2 Crystal Palace

Angers

1 NovLLyon 2–0 Angers
25 OctDAngers 0–0 Lorient
18 OctLAngers 2–5 Marseille
10 OctLStade Brestois 29 5–1 Angers
19 SeptWAngers 2–0 Estac Troyes

Home and away

Lyon at home5 matches: 4W 1D 0L, goals 12–3
Angers away4 matches: 1W 1D 2L, goals 4–8

Team comparison

LyonAngers
58%Form42%
58%Attack42%
67%Defence33%
93%Head to head7%
90%Goals10%
74.3%Overall25.7%

Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.

Form in the competition

LyonWLWLW
AngersLDLLW

Head to head

All matches
15Lyon
3Draws
2Angers
1/11/26 · Lyon 2–0 Angers
5/4/26 · Angers 0–0 Lyon
19/9/25 · Lyon 1–0 Angers
17/5/25 · Lyon 2–0 Angers
7/12/24 · Angers 0–3 Lyon
25/2/23 · Angers 1–3 Lyon

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin4.9%

Questions and answers

What do we tip for Lyon vs Angers?

Over 2.5 goals (1.75); Lyon to win (1.46).

Who will win Lyon vs Angers?

We estimate: Lyon win 67%, draw 20%, Angers win 13%.

Where and when is the game being played?

Date: 1 November 2026, kick-off: 16:15, venue: Groupama Stadium, Lyon. Referee: Marc Bollengier.

Who will be missing?

Lyon: S. Kango, T. Morton, L. Openda, M. Ouedraogo, P. Sulc. Angers: A. El Ouazzani. Changes are possible before kick-off.

Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

We estimate over 2.5 goals at 57% (odds 1.75); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 43% (odds 2.32).

Will both teams score?

By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 51% (odds 1.87).

Which correct score is the likeliest?

We rate 2–0 as most likely (11.5%), then 1–0 (10.7%) and 2–1 (9.8%).

What are your predictions based on?

We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

More predictions

Toulouse vs Strasbourg 6 NovAuxerre vs Paris FC 7 NovParis Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes 7 NovRennes vs Lille 8 NovAngers vs Nice 8 Nov

18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.