Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
It is Sandefjord against Lillestrøm on 18 October 2026 · 16:00 at Sandefjord Arena (Sandefjord), and Tore Hansen, Norway will referee. This one looks too close to call. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
Sandefjord vs Lillestrøm: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Sandefjord are 12th in the table, on 27 points after 25 matches (7W 6D 12L), and Lillestrøm are 5th, on 42 points (13W 3D 9L).
- Head to head. From 18 meetings: 3 wins for Sandefjord, 12 wins for Lillestrøm and 3 draws, with the goals at 20–37.
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 2–2 score estimate, roughly 4 goals in all, and 1–1 (10.8%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
What stands out is that the table favours the Lillestrøm, whereas the betting market leans slightly towards the home side. When the indicators disagree like this, the match is difficult to read, and a more careful bet is the sensible choice.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.50), and we rate it at 64%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 64% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 60% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 18; Sandefjord 3 wins, 3 draws, Lillestrøm 12 wins.
- An average of 3.2 goals per meeting between these teams.
- Expected: roughly 4 goals; over 2.5 goals: 60%.
- Out: Sandefjord 0, Lillestrøm 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 64%, best price 1.50). With roughly 4 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Sandefjord: no absences. Absent for Lillestrøm: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Sandefjord vs Lillestrøm: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.61 | 3.68 | 2.64 |
| Market average | 2.51 | 3.58 | 2.54 |
| Lowest odds | 2.45 | 3.40 | 2.45 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.18 | 1.15 | 80.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.61 | 1.55 | 59.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.40 | 2.31 | 40.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.48 | 2.36 | 39.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.45 | 63.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.58 | 2.53 | 36.4% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 18/10/26, 12:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.2%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Sandefjord 1–1 Lillestrøm, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Sandefjord 12th (27 points), Lillestrøm 5th (42 points).
- H2H: 18 matches: Sandefjord 3W 3D 12L, goals 20–37.
- Absences: Sandefjord 0, Lillestrøm 0.
Who will win Sandefjord vs Lillestrøm?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Sandefjord vs Lillestrøm: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Sandefjord vs Lillestrøm: team news and absences
Sandefjord
- No reported absences
Lillestrøm
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viking | 25 | 19-2-4 | 64:26 | 59 |
| 2 |  Bodø/Glimt | 25 | 19-2-4 | 61:23 | 59 |
| 3 |  Molde | 25 | 13-4-8 | 59:39 | 43 |
| 4 |  Rosenborg | 25 | 13-4-8 | 49:31 | 43 |
| 5 | Lillestrøm | 25 | 13-3-9 | 36:33 | 42 |
| 6 |  Tromsø | 25 | 11-7-7 | 43:38 | 40 |
| 7 |  Brann | 25 | 10-2-13 | 45:42 | 32 |
| 8 |  Vålerenga | 25 | 9-5-11 | 43:46 | 32 |
| 9 |  Sarpsborg 08 FF | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:39 | 31 |
| 10 |  KFUM Oslo | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:41 | 31 |
| 11 |  Fredrikstad | 25 | 8-5-12 | 29:44 | 29 |
| 12 | Sandefjord | 25 | 7-6-12 | 26:34 | 27 |
| 13 |  Ham-Kam | 25 | 7-6-12 | 35:53 | 27 |
| 14 |  Aalesund | 25 | 5-9-11 | 43:57 | 24 |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 25 | 6-5-14 | 29:51 | 23 |
| 16 |  Start | 25 | 5-4-16 | 26:55 | 19 |
Recent matches
Sandefjord
Home and away
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Sandefjord vs Lillestrøm?
Sandefjord +0 (Asian handicap) (1.93); Both teams to score (1.50).
Who will win Sandefjord vs Lillestrøm?
We estimate: Sandefjord win 37%, draw 26%, Lillestrøm win 37%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 18 October 2026, kick-off: 16:00, venue: Sandefjord Arena, Sandefjord. Referee: Tore Hansen, Norway.
Who will be missing?
Sandefjord: no absences. Lillestrøm: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 60% (odds 1.61); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 40% (odds 2.40).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 64% (odds 1.50).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (10.8%), then 1–2 (8.4%) and 2–1 (8.4%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.