Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 3–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Falkirk play Kilmarnock at home on 24 October 2026 · 15:00 at Falkirk Stadium (Falkirk); the referee is D. Robertson. For us, Falkirk (51%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Falkirk vs Kilmarnock: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Falkirk are 4th in the table, on 18 points after 12 matches (5W 3D 4L), and Kilmarnock are 11th, on 9 points (2W 3D 7L).
- Head to head. From 7 meetings: 5 wins for Falkirk, 2 wins for Kilmarnock and 0 draws, with the goals at 17–9.
What to expect
For us, Falkirk are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (10.8%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.53), and we rate it at 64%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 59% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 58% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 7; Falkirk 5 wins, 0 draws, Kilmarnock 2 wins.
- An average of 3.7 goals per meeting between these teams.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 58%.
- Out: Falkirk 0, Kilmarnock 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 59%, best price 1.62). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Falkirk: no absences. Absent for Kilmarnock: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Falkirk vs Kilmarnock: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.91 | 3.90 | 4.02 |
| Market average | 1.86 | 3.81 | 3.83 |
| Lowest odds | 1.79 | 3.50 | 3.60 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.21 | 1.18 | 79.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.68 | 1.64 | 57.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.30 | 2.23 | 42.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.68 | 2.58 | 36.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.57 | 59.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.30 | 2.26 | 41.0% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 24/10/26, 13:35. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.3%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Falkirk 1–1 Kilmarnock, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Falkirk 4th (18 points), Kilmarnock 11th (9 points).
- H2H: 7 matches: Falkirk 5W 0D 2L, goals 17–9.
- Absences: Falkirk 0, Kilmarnock 0.
Who will win Falkirk vs Kilmarnock?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Falkirk vs Kilmarnock: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Falkirk vs Kilmarnock: team news and absences
Falkirk
- No reported absences
Kilmarnock
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 12 | 9-1-2 | 27:10 | 28 |
| 2 |  Rangers | 11 | 7-3-1 | 19:9 | 24 |
| 3 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 11 | 6-2-3 | 24:17 | 20 |
| 4 | Falkirk | 12 | 5-3-4 | 15:12 | 18 |
| 5 |  Dundee | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:13 | 17 |
| 6 |  Dundee United | 11 | 4-4-3 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 7 |  ST Johnstone | 12 | 3-5-4 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 8 |  ST Mirren | 12 | 4-2-6 | 12:20 | 14 |
| 9 |  Motherwell | 12 | 3-3-6 | 14:20 | 12 |
| 10 |  Aberdeen | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:28 | 9 |
| 12 |  Hibernian | 11 | 2-2-7 | 11:17 | 8 |
Recent matches
Falkirk
Home and away
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Falkirk vs Kilmarnock?
Falkirk -0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.90); Under 3.5 goals (1.53).
Who will win Falkirk vs Kilmarnock?
We estimate: Falkirk win 51%, draw 25%, Kilmarnock win 25%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 24 October 2026, kick-off: 15:00, venue: Falkirk Stadium, Falkirk. Referee: D. Robertson.
Who will be missing?
Falkirk: no absences. Kilmarnock: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 58% (odds 1.68); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 42% (odds 2.30).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 59% (odds 1.62).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (10.8%), then 2–1 (9.7%) and 1–0 (9.0%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.