Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–6. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
It is Catanzaro against Ascoli on 24 October 2026 · 16:15 at Stadio Nicola Ceravolo (Catanzaro), and Andrea Calzavara, Italy will referee. This one looks too close to call. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
Catanzaro vs Ascoli: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Catanzaro are 20th in the table, on 6 points after 10 matches (1W 3D 6L), and Ascoli are 3rd, on 19 points (5W 4D 1L).
- Head to head. From 3 meetings: 1 win for Catanzaro, 2 wins for Ascoli and 0 draws, with the goals at 4–9.
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 1–1 score estimate, roughly 2 goals in all, and 1–1 (11.9%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
What stands out is that the table favours the Ascoli, whereas the betting market leans slightly towards the home side. When the indicators disagree like this, the match is difficult to read, and a more careful bet is the sensible choice.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.65), and we rate it at 59%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 59% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 54% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 3; Catanzaro 1 win, 0 draws, Ascoli 2 wins.
- An average of 4.3 goals per meeting between these teams.
- Expected: roughly 2 goals; over 2.5 goals: 54%.
- Out: Catanzaro 0, Ascoli 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 59%, best price 1.65). With roughly 2 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Catanzaro: no absences. Absent for Ascoli: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Catanzaro vs Ascoli: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.51 | 3.40 | 2.99 |
| Market average | 2.45 | 3.29 | 2.81 |
| Lowest odds | 2.38 | 3.10 | 2.63 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.26 | 1.21 | 76.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.81 | 1.74 | 54.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.09 | 2.06 | 45.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.04 | 2.80 | 33.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.65 | 1.58 | 58.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.38 | 2.26 | 41.2% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 24/10/26, 11:23. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.8%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Catanzaro 1–1 Ascoli, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Catanzaro 20th (6 points), Ascoli 3rd (19 points).
- H2H: 3 matches: Catanzaro 1W 0D 2L, goals 4–9.
- Absences: Catanzaro 0, Ascoli 0.
Who will win Catanzaro vs Ascoli?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Catanzaro vs Ascoli: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Catanzaro vs Ascoli: team news and absences
Catanzaro
- No reported absences
Ascoli
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palermo | 10 | 8-2-0 | 24:12 | 26 |
| 2 |  Modena | 10 | 6-2-2 | 18:10 | 20 |
| 3 | Ascoli | 10 | 5-4-1 | 16:6 | 19 |
| 4 |  Mantova | 10 | 5-3-2 | 15:11 | 18 |
| 5 |  Avellino | 10 | 4-3-3 | 15:10 | 15 |
| 6 |  Benevento | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 7 |  Hellas Verona | 10 | 4-3-3 | 19:13 | 15 |
| 8 |  Pisa | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:15 | 15 |
| 9 |  Padova | 10 | 4-2-4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 10 |  Südtirol | 10 | 3-5-2 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 11 |  Cremonese | 10 | 3-3-4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cesena | 10 | 2-6-2 | 11:14 | 12 |
| 13 |  Arezzo | 10 | 3-2-5 | 9:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  Virtus Entella | 10 | 2-4-4 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 15 |  Carrarese | 10 | 3-1-6 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 16 |  Juve Stabia | 10 | 3-4-3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 17 |  Vicenza Virtus | 10 | 2-3-5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 18 |  Empoli | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:17 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sampdoria | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:18 | 8 |
| 20 | Catanzaro | 10 | 1-3-6 | 11:22 | 6 |
Recent matches
Catanzaro
Home and away
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Catanzaro vs Ascoli?
Ascoli +0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.60); Both teams to score (1.65).
Who will win Catanzaro vs Ascoli?
We estimate: Catanzaro win 38%, draw 28%, Ascoli win 33%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 24 October 2026, kick-off: 16:15, venue: Stadio Nicola Ceravolo, Catanzaro. Referee: Andrea Calzavara, Italy.
Who will be missing?
Catanzaro: no absences. Ascoli: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 54% (odds 1.81); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 46% (odds 2.09).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 59% (odds 1.65).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (11.9%), then 1–0 (8.8%) and 2–1 (8.6%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.