Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Ascoli v Sampdoria: 27 October 2026 · 19:00 at Cino e Lillo Del Duca (Ascoli Piceno), with Marco Di Bello refereeing. We see little between the teams. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
Ascoli vs Sampdoria: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Ascoli are 3rd in the table, on 19 points after 10 matches (5W 4D 1L), and Sampdoria are 19th, on 8 points (2W 2D 6L).
- Attack and defence. On average Ascoli score 1.8 goals a match in the competition and concede 0.8; for Sampdoria the figures are 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Ascoli: 4W 3D 1L, goals 14–6; Sampdoria: 1W 2D 5L, goals 8–16.
- Head to head. From 4 meetings: 1 win for Ascoli, 1 win for Sampdoria and 2 draws, with the goals at 6–5.
What to expect
For us, Ascoli are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (12.2%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.70), and we rate it at 56%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 56% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 50% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 4; Ascoli 1 win, 2 draws, Sampdoria 1 win.
- An average of 2.8 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Ascoli 14–6, Sampdoria 8–16.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 50%.
- Out: Ascoli 0, Sampdoria 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 56%, best price 1.70). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Ascoli: no absences. Absent for Sampdoria: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Ascoli vs Sampdoria: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.20 | 3.40 | 3.70 |
| Market average | 2.13 | 3.24 | 3.38 |
| Lowest odds | 2.05 | 3.05 | 3.11 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.31 | 1.25 | 74.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.94 | 1.88 | 50.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.94 | 1.90 | 49.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.30 | 3.12 | 29.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.70 | 1.66 | 55.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.20 | 2.10 | 44.2% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 27/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.5%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Ascoli 1–1 Sampdoria, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Ascoli 3rd (19 points), Sampdoria 19th (8 points).
- Form in the competition: Ascoli 4W 3D 1L (14:6), Sampdoria 1W 2D 5L (8:16).
- H2H: 4 matches: Ascoli 1W 2D 1L, goals 6–5.
- Absences: Ascoli 0, Sampdoria 0.
Who will win Ascoli vs Sampdoria?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Ascoli vs Sampdoria: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Ascoli vs Sampdoria: team news and absences
Ascoli
- No reported absences
Sampdoria
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palermo | 10 | 8-2-0 | 24:12 | 26 |
| 2 |  Modena | 10 | 6-2-2 | 18:10 | 20 |
| 3 | Ascoli | 10 | 5-4-1 | 16:6 | 19 |
| 4 |  Mantova | 10 | 5-3-2 | 15:11 | 18 |
| 5 |  Avellino | 10 | 4-3-3 | 15:10 | 15 |
| 6 |  Benevento | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 7 |  Hellas Verona | 10 | 4-3-3 | 19:13 | 15 |
| 8 |  Pisa | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:15 | 15 |
| 9 |  Padova | 10 | 4-2-4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 10 |  Südtirol | 10 | 3-5-2 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 11 |  Cremonese | 10 | 3-3-4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cesena | 10 | 2-6-2 | 11:14 | 12 |
| 13 |  Arezzo | 10 | 3-2-5 | 9:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  Virtus Entella | 10 | 2-4-4 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 15 |  Carrarese | 10 | 3-1-6 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 16 |  Juve Stabia | 10 | 3-4-3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 17 |  Vicenza Virtus | 10 | 2-3-5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 18 |  Empoli | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:17 | 8 |
| 19 | Sampdoria | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:18 | 8 |
| 20 |  Catanzaro | 10 | 1-3-6 | 11:22 | 6 |
Recent matches
Ascoli
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
AscoliDWWDDSampdoriaWLDLLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Ascoli vs Sampdoria?
Draw or Sampdoria (X2) (1.74); Both teams to score (1.70).
Who will win Ascoli vs Sampdoria?
We estimate: Ascoli win 44%, draw 29%, Sampdoria win 28%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 27 October 2026, kick-off: 19:00, venue: Cino e Lillo Del Duca, Ascoli Piceno. Referee: Marco Di Bello.
Who will be missing?
Ascoli: no absences. Sampdoria: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 50% (odds 1.94); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 50% (odds 1.94).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 56% (odds 1.70).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (12.2%), then 1–0 (10.6%) and 2–1 (9.1%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.