Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
It is Südtirol against Sampdoria on 24 October 2026 · 14:00 at Stadio Druso (Bozen), and Valerio Crezzini, Italy will referee. This one looks too close to call. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
Südtirol vs Sampdoria: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Südtirol are 10th in the table, on 14 points after 10 matches (3W 5D 2L), and Sampdoria are 19th, on 8 points (2W 2D 6L).
- Head to head. From 8 meetings: 4 wins for Südtirol, 2 wins for Sampdoria and 2 draws, with the goals at 11–7.
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 1–1 score estimate, roughly 2 goals in all, and 1–1 (13.0%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.
What stands out is that the table favours the Südtirol, whereas the betting market leans slightly towards the away side. When the indicators disagree like this, the match is difficult to read, and a more careful bet is the sensible choice.
In the goals market we pick Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.75), and we rate it at 55%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 52% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 45% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 8; Südtirol 4 wins, 2 draws, Sampdoria 2 wins.
- An average of 2.3 goals per meeting between these teams.
- Expected: roughly 2 goals; over 2.5 goals: 45%.
- Out: Südtirol 0, Sampdoria 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 52%, best price 1.83). With roughly 2 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Südtirol: no absences. Absent for Sampdoria: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Südtirol vs Sampdoria: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 3.06 | 3.13 | 2.70 |
| Market average | 2.93 | 2.97 | 2.58 |
| Lowest odds | 2.80 | 2.88 | 2.40 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.39 | 1.34 | 69.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.17 | 2.10 | 44.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.75 | 1.70 | 55.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.00 | 3.74 | 24.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.83 | 1.77 | 52.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.10 | 1.95 | 47.6% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 24/10/26, 11:23. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.6%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Südtirol 1–1 Sampdoria, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Südtirol 10th (14 points), Sampdoria 19th (8 points).
- H2H: 8 matches: Südtirol 4W 2D 2L, goals 11–7.
- Absences: Südtirol 0, Sampdoria 0.
Who will win Südtirol vs Sampdoria?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Südtirol vs Sampdoria: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Südtirol vs Sampdoria: team news and absences
Südtirol
- No reported absences
Sampdoria
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palermo | 10 | 8-2-0 | 24:12 | 26 |
| 2 |  Modena | 10 | 6-2-2 | 18:10 | 20 |
| 3 |  Ascoli | 10 | 5-4-1 | 16:6 | 19 |
| 4 |  Mantova | 10 | 5-3-2 | 15:11 | 18 |
| 5 |  Avellino | 10 | 4-3-3 | 15:10 | 15 |
| 6 |  Benevento | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 7 |  Hellas Verona | 10 | 4-3-3 | 19:13 | 15 |
| 8 |  Pisa | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:15 | 15 |
| 9 |  Padova | 10 | 4-2-4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 10 | Südtirol | 10 | 3-5-2 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 11 |  Cremonese | 10 | 3-3-4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cesena | 10 | 2-6-2 | 11:14 | 12 |
| 13 |  Arezzo | 10 | 3-2-5 | 9:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  Virtus Entella | 10 | 2-4-4 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 15 |  Carrarese | 10 | 3-1-6 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 16 |  Juve Stabia | 10 | 3-4-3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 17 |  Vicenza Virtus | 10 | 2-3-5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 18 |  Empoli | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:17 | 8 |
| 19 | Sampdoria | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:18 | 8 |
| 20 |  Catanzaro | 10 | 1-3-6 | 11:22 | 6 |
Recent matches
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Südtirol vs Sampdoria?
Sampdoria +0 (Asian handicap) (1.84); Under 2.5 goals (1.75).
Who will win Südtirol vs Sampdoria?
We estimate: Südtirol win 32%, draw 32%, Sampdoria win 36%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 24 October 2026, kick-off: 14:00, venue: Stadio Druso, Bozen. Referee: Valerio Crezzini, Italy.
Who will be missing?
Südtirol: no absences. Sampdoria: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 45% (odds 2.17); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 55% (odds 1.75).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 52% (odds 1.83).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (13.0%), then 0–1 (11.3%) and 1–0 (10.4%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
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18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.