Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
It is Estac Troyes against Le Mans on 31 October 2026 · 19:45 at Stade de l'Aube (Troyes), and Azzedine Souifi will referee. This one looks too close to call. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
Estac Troyes vs Le Mans: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Estac Troyes are 16th in the table, on 8 points after 9 matches (2W 2D 5L), and Le Mans are 17th, on 7 points (1W 4D 4L).
- Attack and defence. On average Estac Troyes score 0.6 goals a match in the competition and concede 2.0; for Le Mans the figures are 1.4 scored and 2.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Estac Troyes: 1W 2D 5L, goals 5–16; Le Mans: 1W 4D 3L, goals 11–16.
- Head to head. From 8 meetings: 3 wins for Estac Troyes, 3 wins for Le Mans and 2 draws, with the goals at 9–9.
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 1–1 score estimate, roughly 2 goals in all, and 1–1 (12.4%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.80), and we rate it at 54%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 54% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 49% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 8; Estac Troyes 3 wins, 2 draws, Le Mans 3 wins.
- An average of 2.3 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Estac Troyes 5–16, Le Mans 11–16.
- Expected: roughly 2 goals; over 2.5 goals: 49%.
- Out: Estac Troyes 2, Le Mans 3.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 54%, best price 1.80). With roughly 2 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Estac Troyes: Y. Kone, A. Ouzenadji. Absent for Le Mans: A. Bourabaa, E. Colas, D. Sidibe. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Estac Troyes vs Le Mans: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.30 | 3.50 | 3.54 |
| Market average | 2.19 | 3.34 | 3.35 |
| Lowest odds | 2.15 | 3.08 | 2.70 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.32 | 1.30 | 72.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.00 | 1.93 | 49.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.98 | 1.89 | 50.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.40 | 3.25 | 28.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.73 | 54.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.15 | 2.03 | 45.9% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 31/10/26, 17:09. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 5.6%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Estac Troyes 1–1 Le Mans, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Estac Troyes 16th (8 points), Le Mans 17th (7 points).
- Form in the competition: Estac Troyes 1W 2D 5L (5:16), Le Mans 1W 4D 3L (11:16).
- H2H: 8 matches: Estac Troyes 3W 2D 3L, goals 9–9.
- Absences: Estac Troyes 2, Le Mans 3.
Who will win Estac Troyes vs Le Mans?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Estac Troyes vs Le Mans: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Estac Troyes vs Le Mans: team news and absences
Estac Troyes
- Y. Koneknee injury · will miss the match
- A. Ouzenadjiknee injury · will miss the match
Le Mans
- A. Bourabaaankle injury · will miss the match
- E. Colasinjury · will miss the match
- D. Sidibefoot injury · will miss the match
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6-2-1 | 21:10 | 20 |
| 2 |  Lille | 9 | 5-3-1 | 12:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  Lyon | 9 | 5-2-2 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 4 |  Paris FC | 9 | 5-2-2 | 16:10 | 17 |
| 5 |  Rennes | 9 | 5-1-3 | 20:19 | 16 |
| 6 |  Marseille | 9 | 5-0-4 | 20:13 | 15 |
| 7 |  Monaco | 9 | 4-3-2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Nice | 9 | 4-2-3 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 9 |  Lens | 9 | 4-1-4 | 16:13 | 13 |
| 10 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 16:12 | 12 |
| 11 |  Lorient | 9 | 3-3-3 | 7:8 | 12 |
| 12 |  Toulouse | 9 | 2-4-3 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 13 |  Strasbourg | 9 | 3-1-5 | 17:19 | 10 |
| 14 |  Auxerre | 9 | 3-1-5 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 15 |  Angers | 9 | 2-2-5 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 16 | Estac Troyes | 9 | 2-2-5 | 7:16 | 8 |
| 17 | Le Mans | 9 | 1-4-4 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 9 | 0-2-7 | 9:20 | 2 |
Recent matches
Estac Troyes
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
Estac TroyesWDLLLLe MansLDLLWHead to head
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Estac Troyes vs Le Mans?
Estac Troyes -0.25 (Asian handicap) (2.03); Both teams to score (1.80).
Who will win Estac Troyes vs Le Mans?
We estimate: Estac Troyes win 43%, draw 28%, Le Mans win 28%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 31 October 2026, kick-off: 19:45, venue: Stade de l'Aube, Troyes. Referee: Azzedine Souifi.
Who will be missing?
Estac Troyes: Y. Kone, A. Ouzenadji. Le Mans: A. Bourabaa, E. Colas, D. Sidibe. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 49% (odds 2.00); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 51% (odds 1.98).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 54% (odds 1.80).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (12.4%), then 1–0 (10.8%) and 2–1 (9.0%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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