Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
It is Catanzaro against Padova on 31 October 2026 · 16:15 at Stadio Nicola Ceravolo (Catanzaro), and Niccolò Turrini will referee. This one looks too close to call. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
Catanzaro vs Padova: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Catanzaro are 20th in the table, on 6 points after 10 matches (1W 3D 6L), and Padova are 9th, on 14 points (4W 2D 4L).
- Attack and defence. On average Catanzaro score 1.1 goals a match in the competition and concede 2.3; for Padova the figures are 1.0 scored and 1.1 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Catanzaro: 1W 2D 6L, goals 10–21; Padova: 4W 1D 4L, goals 9–10.
- Head to head. From 7 meetings: 1 win for Catanzaro, 3 wins for Padova and 3 draws, with the goals at 6–7.
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 2–1 score estimate, roughly 3 goals in all, and 1–1 (11.9%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
What stands out is that the table favours the Padova, whereas the betting market leans slightly towards the home side. When the indicators disagree like this, the match is difficult to read, and a more careful bet is the sensible choice.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.62), and we rate it at 58%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 58% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 53% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 7; Catanzaro 1 win, 3 draws, Padova 3 wins.
- An average of 1.9 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Catanzaro 10–21, Padova 9–10.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 53%.
- Out: Catanzaro 0, Padova 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 58%, best price 1.62). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Catanzaro: no absences. Absent for Padova: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Catanzaro vs Padova: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.41 | 3.45 | 3.10 |
| Market average | 2.31 | 3.34 | 2.92 |
| Lowest odds | 2.21 | 3.14 | 2.64 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.26 | 1.22 | 76.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.85 | 1.77 | 53.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.07 | 2.03 | 46.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.10 | 2.87 | 32.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.60 | 58.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.30 | 2.23 | 41.7% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 31/10/26, 07:09. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.6%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Catanzaro 1–1 Padova, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Catanzaro 20th (6 points), Padova 9th (14 points).
- Form in the competition: Catanzaro 1W 2D 6L (10:21), Padova 4W 1D 4L (9:10).
- H2H: 7 matches: Catanzaro 1W 3D 3L, goals 6–7.
- Absences: Catanzaro 0, Padova 0.
Who will win Catanzaro vs Padova?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Catanzaro vs Padova: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Catanzaro vs Padova: team news and absences
Catanzaro
- No reported absences
Padova
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palermo | 10 | 8-2-0 | 24:12 | 26 |
| 2 |  Modena | 10 | 6-2-2 | 18:10 | 20 |
| 3 |  Ascoli | 10 | 5-4-1 | 16:6 | 19 |
| 4 |  Mantova | 10 | 5-3-2 | 15:11 | 18 |
| 5 |  Avellino | 10 | 4-3-3 | 15:10 | 15 |
| 6 |  Benevento | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 7 |  Hellas Verona | 10 | 4-3-3 | 19:13 | 15 |
| 8 |  Pisa | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:15 | 15 |
| 9 | Padova | 10 | 4-2-4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 10 |  Südtirol | 10 | 3-5-2 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 11 |  Cremonese | 10 | 3-3-4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cesena | 10 | 2-6-2 | 11:14 | 12 |
| 13 |  Arezzo | 10 | 3-2-5 | 9:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  Virtus Entella | 10 | 2-4-4 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 15 |  Carrarese | 10 | 3-1-6 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 16 |  Juve Stabia | 10 | 3-4-3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 17 |  Vicenza Virtus | 10 | 2-3-5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 18 |  Empoli | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:17 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sampdoria | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:18 | 8 |
| 20 | Catanzaro | 10 | 1-3-6 | 11:22 | 6 |
Recent matches
Catanzaro
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
CatanzaroDDLDLPadovaDWWLLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Catanzaro vs Padova?
Over 2.5 goals (1.85); Catanzaro or draw (1X) (1.42).
Who will win Catanzaro vs Padova?
We estimate: Catanzaro win 40%, draw 28%, Padova win 32%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 31 October 2026, kick-off: 16:15, venue: Stadio Nicola Ceravolo, Catanzaro. Referee: Niccolò Turrini.
Who will be missing?
Catanzaro: no absences. Padova: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 53% (odds 1.85); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 47% (odds 2.07).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 58% (odds 1.62).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (11.9%), then 1–0 (9.1%) and 2–1 (8.9%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.