Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Padova play Südtirol at home on 27 October 2026 · 19:00 at Stadio Comunale Euganeo (Padua); the referee is Edoardo Manedo Mazzoni. For us, there is no clear favourite. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Padova vs Südtirol: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Padova are 9th in the table, on 14 points after 10 matches (4W 2D 4L), and Südtirol are 10th, on 14 points (3W 5D 2L).
- Attack and defence. On average Padova score 0.9 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.3; for Südtirol the figures are 1.3 scored and 0.9 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Padova: 3W 1D 4L, goals 7–10; Südtirol: 3W 4D 1L, goals 10–7.
- Head to head. From 14 meetings: 5 wins for Padova, 3 wins for Südtirol and 6 draws, with the goals at 13–9.
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 1–1 score estimate, roughly 2 goals in all, and 1–0 (12.9%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.
In the goals market we pick Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.72), and we rate it at 57%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 50% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 43% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 14; Padova 5 wins, 6 draws, Südtirol 3 wins.
- An average of 1.6 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Padova 7–10, Südtirol 10–7.
- Expected: roughly 2 goals; over 2.5 goals: 43%.
- Out: Padova 0, Südtirol 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – no
Alternative tip: BTTS – no (probability 50%, best price 1.95). With roughly 2 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Padova: no absences. Absent for Südtirol: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Padova vs Südtirol: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.36 | 3.20 | 4.10 |
| Market average | 2.13 | 3.08 | 3.59 |
| Lowest odds | 2.00 | 2.93 | 2.73 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.40 | 1.36 | 68.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.31 | 2.19 | 43.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.72 | 1.66 | 56.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.11 | 3.89 | 24.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.95 | 1.86 | 49.9% |
| BTTS – no | 1.95 | 1.85 | 50.1% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 27/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.6%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Padova 1–0 Südtirol, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Padova 9th (14 points), Südtirol 10th (14 points).
- Form in the competition: Padova 3W 1D 4L (7:10), Südtirol 3W 4D 1L (10:7).
- H2H: 14 matches: Padova 5W 6D 3L, goals 13–9.
- Absences: Padova 0, Südtirol 0.
Who will win Padova vs Südtirol?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Padova vs Südtirol: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Padova vs Südtirol: team news and absences
Padova
- No reported absences
Südtirol
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palermo | 10 | 8-2-0 | 24:12 | 26 |
| 2 |  Modena | 10 | 6-2-2 | 18:10 | 20 |
| 3 |  Ascoli | 10 | 5-4-1 | 16:6 | 19 |
| 4 |  Mantova | 10 | 5-3-2 | 15:11 | 18 |
| 5 |  Avellino | 10 | 4-3-3 | 15:10 | 15 |
| 6 |  Benevento | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 7 |  Hellas Verona | 10 | 4-3-3 | 19:13 | 15 |
| 8 |  Pisa | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:15 | 15 |
| 9 | Padova | 10 | 4-2-4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 10 | Südtirol | 10 | 3-5-2 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 11 |  Cremonese | 10 | 3-3-4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cesena | 10 | 2-6-2 | 11:14 | 12 |
| 13 |  Arezzo | 10 | 3-2-5 | 9:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  Virtus Entella | 10 | 2-4-4 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 15 |  Carrarese | 10 | 3-1-6 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 16 |  Juve Stabia | 10 | 3-4-3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 17 |  Vicenza Virtus | 10 | 2-3-5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 18 |  Empoli | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:17 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sampdoria | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:18 | 8 |
| 20 |  Catanzaro | 10 | 1-3-6 | 11:22 | 6 |
Recent matches
Padova
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
PadovaDWWLLSüdtirolDLDLDHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Padova vs Südtirol?
Padova -0.25 (Asian handicap) (2.06); Under 2.5 goals (1.72).
Who will win Padova vs Südtirol?
We estimate: Padova win 44%, draw 30%, Südtirol win 26%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 27 October 2026, kick-off: 19:00, venue: Stadio Comunale Euganeo, Padua. Referee: Edoardo Manedo Mazzoni.
Who will be missing?
Padova: no absences. Südtirol: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 43% (odds 2.31); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 57% (odds 1.72).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 50% (odds 1.95).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–0 as most likely (12.9%), then 1–1 (12.9%) and 0–1 (9.5%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.