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Bundesliga · Matchweek 10 · 21 November 2026 · 14:30

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund: prediction, tip and odds, 21 November 2026, Bundesliga

1Borussia Mönchengladbach5.08
XDraw4.77
2Borussia Dortmund1.64

Best price · Updated 1/11/26, 17:11

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It is Borussia Mönchengladbach against Borussia Dortmund on 21 November 2026 · 14:30 at Borussia-Park (Mönchengladbach). Borussia Dortmund (59%) start as favourites in our view. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund: tip and prediction
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.83
Result
Borussia Dortmund to win
1.64
Combo
Borussia Dortmund + over 2.5 goals combined
2.24
45% · fair odds for the combo
54%Chance
1–2likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Borussia Dortmund (X2): 80% probability, best odds 1.21.

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Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund: analysis of the match

What our tip is based on

  1. Table. Borussia Mönchengladbach are 18th in the table, on 4 points after 8 matches (1W 1D 6L), and Borussia Dortmund are 2nd, on 18 points (5W 3D 0L).

What to expect

For us, Borussia Dortmund are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–2 (9.7%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.

In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.50), and we rate it at 63%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 63% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 66% chance.

Prediction summary

  1. Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 66%.
  2. Out: Borussia Mönchengladbach 0, Borussia Dortmund 0.

Alternative tip: BTTS – yes

Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 63%, best price 1.50). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.

Absences

Absent for Borussia Mönchengladbach: no absences. Absent for Borussia Dortmund: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund: compare the odds

Match result1X2
Best price5.084.771.64
Market average4.854.491.60
Lowest odds4.604.201.57
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.121.1084.2%
Over 2.5 goals1.441.4166.3%
Under 2.5 goals2.842.7833.7%
Over 3.5 goals2.142.1045.8%
BTTS – yes1.501.4862.8%
BTTS – no2.532.5137.2%

Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 1/11/26, 17:11. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 5.7%.

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At a glance

  • Likely result: Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–2 Borussia Dortmund, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Borussia Mönchengladbach 18th (4 points), Borussia Dortmund 2nd (18 points).
  • Absences: Borussia Mönchengladbach 0, Borussia Dortmund 0.

Who will win Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund?

Borussia Mönchengladbach20%
Draw21%
Borussia Dortmund59%

Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund: more betting tips

Over 1.5 goals84.2% · fair odds 1.19 · best 1.12
Likely
Draw or Borussia Dortmund (X2)80.5% · fair odds 1.24 · best 1.21
Likely
Over 2.5 goals66.3% · fair odds 1.51 · best 1.44
Likely
BTTS – yes62.8% · fair odds 1.59 · best 1.50
Likely
Borussia Dortmund to win59.3% · fair odds 1.69 · best 1.64
Possible
Under 3.5 goals54.2% · fair odds 1.84 · best 1.83
Possible
Over 3.5 goals45.8% · fair odds 2.18 · best 2.14
Outsider
BTTS – no37.2% · fair odds 2.69 · best 2.53
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals33.7% · fair odds 2.97 · best 2.84
Outsider
Draw21.1% · fair odds 4.74 · best 4.77
Outsider
Borussia Mönchengladbach to win19.5% · fair odds 5.12 · best 5.08
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

Correct score prediction

1 : 29.7%
1 : 18.8%
0 : 28.1%
0 : 17.3%
1 : 37.1%
0 : 35.9%

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund: team news and absences

Borussia Mönchengladbach

  • No reported absences

Borussia Dortmund

  • No reported absences

Changes are possible before kick-off.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Bayern München85-3-027:818
2Borussia Dortmund85-3-014:618
3SC Freiburg85-1-218:1016
4RB Leipzig85-0-322:1115
5Werder Bremen84-3-117:1415
6Bayer Leverkusen84-1-318:1613
7SV Elversberg84-1-316:1613
8Eintracht Frankfurt83-2-313:1811
9FSV Mainz 0583-1-417:1710
10FC Augsburg82-3-318:159
11VfB Stuttgart83-0-514:159
121899 Hoffenheim83-0-514:169
131. FC Köln82-3-39:129
14SC Paderborn 0782-3-36:99
15Hamburger SV83-0-57:199
16Union Berlin81-4-37:197
17FC Schalke 0481-3-44:96
18Borussia Mönchengladbach81-1-611:224

Recent matches

Borussia Mönchengladbach

31 OctDBorussia Mönchengladbach 0–0 SC Paderborn 07
23 OctWVfB Stuttgart 2–3 Borussia Mönchengladbach
18 OctLBorussia Mönchengladbach 1–2 1899 Hoffenheim
11 OctL1. FC Köln 2–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach
19 SeptLBorussia Mönchengladbach 3–4 FSV Mainz 05

Borussia Dortmund

4 NovWBorussia Dortmund 2–1 Real Betis
31 OctDBayern München 2–2 Borussia Dortmund
24 OctWBorussia Dortmund 1–0 Eintracht Frankfurt
20 OctWSabah FA 1–2 Borussia Dortmund
17 OctDUnion Berlin 0–0 Borussia Dortmund

Home and away

Borussia Mönchengladbach at home4 matches: 0W 1D 3L, goals 7–10
Borussia Dortmund away4 matches: 2W 2D 0L, goals 6–4

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin5.7%

Questions and answers

What do we tip for Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund?

Under 3.5 goals (1.83); Borussia Dortmund to win (1.64).

Who will win Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund?

We estimate: Borussia Mönchengladbach win 20%, draw 21%, Borussia Dortmund win 59%.

Where and when is the game being played?

Date: 21 November 2026, kick-off: 14:30, venue: Borussia-Park, Mönchengladbach.

Who will be missing?

Borussia Mönchengladbach: no absences. Borussia Dortmund: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.

Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

We estimate over 2.5 goals at 66% (odds 1.44); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 34% (odds 2.84).

Will both teams score?

By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 63% (odds 1.50).

Which correct score is the likeliest?

We rate 1–2 as most likely (9.7%), then 1–1 (8.8%) and 0–2 (8.1%).

What are your predictions based on?

We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

More predictions

Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach 6 NovFSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München 7 NovBorussia Dortmund vs SV Elversberg 7 NovRB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg 7 NovSC Paderborn 07 vs Eintracht Frankfurt 7 Nov

18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.

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