Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Burnley v Portsmouth: 31 October 2026 · 15:00 at Turf Moor (Burnley), with Ruebyn Ricardo refereeing. We see little between the teams. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
Burnley vs Portsmouth: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Burnley are 22nd in the table, on 10 points after 14 matches (1W 7D 6L), and Portsmouth are 10th, on 22 points (6W 4D 4L).
- Attack and defence. On average Burnley score 1.4 goals a match in the competition and concede 2.1; for Portsmouth the figures are 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Burnley: 1W 5D 6L, goals 17–25; Portsmouth: 5W 3D 4L, goals 16–15.
- Head to head. From 5 meetings: 2 wins for Burnley, 1 win for Portsmouth and 2 draws, with the goals at 7–3.
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 1–1 score estimate, roughly 2 goals in all, and 1–1 (12.6%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.
What stands out is that the table favours the Portsmouth, whereas the betting market leans slightly towards the home side. When the indicators disagree like this, the match is difficult to read, and a more careful bet is the sensible choice.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.80), and we rate it at 53%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 53% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 48% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 5; Burnley 2 wins, 2 draws, Portsmouth 1 win.
- An average of 2.0 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Burnley 17–25, Portsmouth 16–15.
- Expected: roughly 2 goals; over 2.5 goals: 48%.
- Out: Burnley 16, Portsmouth 9.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 53%, best price 1.80). With roughly 2 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Burnley: A. Ahmedhodzic, Z. Amdouni, B. Amos, J. Beyer, J. Bruun Larsen, B. Humphreys, H. Mejbri, M. Obafemi, A. Ramsey, S. Sambo, M. Tresor Ndayishimiye, J. Banel, A. Broja, J. Cullen, J. Vardy, K. Walker. Absent for Portsmouth: K. Anderson, B. Arthur, C. Bishop, L. Brooke-Smith, M. Kosznovszky, C. Ogilvie, J. Swift, J. Murphy, C. Shaughnessy. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Burnley vs Portsmouth: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.27 | 3.42 | 3.37 |
| Market average | 2.21 | 3.30 | 3.19 |
| Lowest odds | 2.08 | 2.99 | 3.01 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.36 | 1.31 | 71.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.07 | 1.98 | 47.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.93 | 1.81 | 52.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.55 | 3.41 | 27.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.77 | 52.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.05 | 1.96 | 47.5% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 31/10/26, 13:40. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.0%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Burnley 1–1 Portsmouth, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Burnley 22nd (10 points), Portsmouth 10th (22 points).
- Form in the competition: Burnley 1W 5D 6L (17:25), Portsmouth 5W 3D 4L (16:15).
- H2H: 5 matches: Burnley 2W 2D 1L, goals 7–3.
- Absences: Burnley 16, Portsmouth 9.
Who will win Burnley vs Portsmouth?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Burnley vs Portsmouth: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Burnley vs Portsmouth: team news and absences
Burnley
- A. Ahmedhodzicknock · will miss the match
- Z. Amdouniankle injury · will miss the match
- B. Amosnot in the squad · will miss the match
- J. Beyerhamstring injury · will miss the match
- J. Bruun Larseninjury · will miss the match
- B. Humphreysmuscle injury · will miss the match
- H. Mejbrihamstring injury · will miss the match
- M. Obafeminot in the squad · will miss the match
- A. Ramseyhamstring injury · will miss the match
- S. Sambonot in the squad · will miss the match
- M. Tresor Ndayishimiyenot in the squad · will miss the match
- J. Banelabsence · doubtful
- A. Brojainjury · doubtful
- J. Cullenabsence · doubtful
- J. Vardyinjury · doubtful
- K. Walkernot in the squad · doubtful
Portsmouth
- K. Andersonabsence · will miss the match
- B. Arthurback injury · will miss the match
- C. Bishopknee injury · will miss the match
- L. Brooke-Smithankle injury · will miss the match
- M. Kosznovszkyknee injury · will miss the match
- C. Ogilvieknee injury · will miss the match
- J. Swiftknee injury · will miss the match
- J. Murphygroin injury · doubtful
- C. Shaughnessyinjury · doubtful
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 14 | 8-4-2 | 30:19 | 28 |
| 2 |  Wolves | 14 | 8-3-3 | 25:17 | 27 |
| 3 |  Birmingham | 14 | 7-5-2 | 26:13 | 26 |
| 4 |  Stoke City | 14 | 8-2-4 | 22:17 | 26 |
| 5 |  Swansea | 14 | 8-2-4 | 21:16 | 26 |
| 6 |  West Brom | 14 | 7-4-3 | 20:15 | 25 |
| 7 |  Southampton | 14 | 8-4-2 | 29:14 | 24 |
| 8 |  West Ham | 14 | 6-5-3 | 36:21 | 23 |
| 9 |  Sheffield United | 14 | 6-4-4 | 20:17 | 22 |
| 10 | Portsmouth | 14 | 6-4-4 | 19:16 | 22 |
| 11 |  QPR | 14 | 5-6-3 | 22:17 | 21 |
| 12 |  Norwich | 14 | 6-0-8 | 27:24 | 18 |
| 13 |  Millwall | 14 | 5-3-6 | 23:24 | 18 |
| 14 |  Blackburn | 14 | 5-3-6 | 20:22 | 18 |
| 15 |  Bristol City | 14 | 5-3-6 | 16:19 | 18 |
| 16 |  Wrexham | 14 | 4-5-5 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bolton | 14 | 5-2-7 | 19:26 | 17 |
| 18 |  Cardiff | 14 | 3-6-5 | 22:23 | 15 |
| 19 |  Lincoln | 14 | 4-3-7 | 14:24 | 15 |
| 20 |  Watford | 14 | 4-2-8 | 13:23 | 14 |
| 21 |  Charlton | 14 | 3-5-6 | 11:22 | 14 |
| 22 | Burnley | 14 | 1-7-6 | 18:26 | 10 |
| 23 |  Derby | 14 | 1-4-9 | 11:29 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 14 | 1-2-11 | 12:30 | 5 |
Recent matches
Burnley
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
BurnleyDDLLDPortsmouthWDWDWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Burnley vs Portsmouth?
Under 2.5 goals (1.93); Burnley or draw (1X) (1.38).
Who will win Burnley vs Portsmouth?
We estimate: Burnley win 42%, draw 28%, Portsmouth win 29%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 31 October 2026, kick-off: 15:00, venue: Turf Moor, Burnley. Referee: Ruebyn Ricardo.
Who will be missing?
Burnley: A. Ahmedhodzic, Z. Amdouni, B. Amos, J. Beyer, J. Bruun Larsen, B. Humphreys, H. Mejbri, M. Obafemi, A. Ramsey, S. Sambo, M. Tresor Ndayishimiye, J. Banel, A. Broja, J. Cullen, J. Vardy, K. Walker. Portsmouth: K. Anderson, B. Arthur, C. Bishop, L. Brooke-Smith, M. Kosznovszky, C. Ogilvie, J. Swift, J. Murphy, C. Shaughnessy. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 48% (odds 2.07); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 52% (odds 1.93).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 53% (odds 1.80).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (12.6%), then 1–0 (10.9%) and 0–1 (9.0%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.