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Championship · Matchweek 6 · 20 October 2026 · 19:45

Wolves vs Portsmouth: prediction, tip and odds, 20 October 2026, Championship

WWWDW
1–1
1Wolves1.60
XDraw4.35
2Portsmouth6.00

Best price · Updated 20/10/26, 18:00

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TipOddsProbabilityMore tipsAbsencesTableAnalysisH2HFAQ

Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Wolves v Portsmouth: 20 October 2026 · 19:45 at Molineux Stadium (Wolverhampton), with Edward Duckworth, England refereeing. We have Wolves (60%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.

Wolves vs Portsmouth: tip and prediction
Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.86
Result
Wolves to win
1.60
Combo
Wolves + over 2.5 goals combined
2.61
38% · fair odds for the combo
53%Chance
1–0likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Wolves or draw (1X): 83% probability, best odds 1.17.

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Wolves vs Portsmouth: analysis of the match

What our tip is based on

  1. Table. Wolves are 2nd in the table, on 27 points after 14 matches (8W 3D 3L), and Portsmouth are 10th, on 22 points (6W 4D 4L).
  2. Head to head. From 1 meetings: 0 wins for Wolves, 0 wins for Portsmouth and 1 draw, with the goals at 1–1.

What to expect

For us, Wolves are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–0 (11.6%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.

In the goals market we pick Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.86), and we rate it at 53%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 51% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 53% chance.

Prediction summary

  1. Meetings: 1; Wolves 0 wins, 1 draw, Portsmouth 0 wins.
  2. An average of 2.0 goals per meeting between these teams.
  3. Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 53%.
  4. Out: Wolves 0, Portsmouth 0.

Alternative tip: BTTS – yes

Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 51%, best price 1.87). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.

Absences

Absent for Wolves: no absences. Absent for Portsmouth: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.

Wolves vs Portsmouth: compare the odds

Match result1X2
Best price1.604.356.00
Market average1.564.125.59
Lowest odds1.533.675.00
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.271.2475.4%
Over 2.5 goals1.861.7952.7%
Under 2.5 goals2.072.0047.3%
Over 3.5 goals3.142.9431.8%
BTTS – yes1.871.8251.0%
BTTS – no1.951.8949.0%

Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 20/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.3%.

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At a glance

  • Likely result: Wolves 1–0 Portsmouth, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Wolves 2nd (27 points), Portsmouth 10th (22 points).
  • H2H: 1 match: Wolves 0W 1D 0L, goals 1–1.
  • Absences: Wolves 0, Portsmouth 0.

Who will win Wolves vs Portsmouth?

Wolves60%
Draw23%
Portsmouth17%

Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

Wolves vs Portsmouth: more betting tips

Wolves or draw (1X)83.1% · fair odds 1.20 · best 1.17
Likely
Over 1.5 goals75.4% · fair odds 1.33 · best 1.27
Likely
Under 3.5 goals68.2% · fair odds 1.47 · best 1.42
Likely
Wolves to win60.2% · fair odds 1.66 · best 1.60
Likely
Over 2.5 goals52.7% · fair odds 1.90 · best 1.86
Possible
BTTS – yes51.0% · fair odds 1.96 · best 1.87
Possible
BTTS – no49.0% · fair odds 2.04 · best 1.95
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals47.3% · fair odds 2.12 · best 2.07
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals31.8% · fair odds 3.15 · best 3.14
Outsider
Draw22.9% · fair odds 4.37 · best 4.35
Outsider
Portsmouth to win16.9% · fair odds 5.93 · best 6.00
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

Tips on corners and cards

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 1.87 · Under 1.85
probability of over 49.8%
Cardsline 3.5 cards
Over 1.62 · Under 2.23
probability of over 57.9%

Correct score prediction

1 : 011.6%
2 : 011.0%
1 : 110.4%
2 : 19.9%
3 : 07.0%
3 : 16.3%

Wolves vs Portsmouth: team news and absences

Wolves

  • No reported absences

Portsmouth

  • No reported absences

Changes are possible before kick-off.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Middlesbrough148-4-230:1928
2Wolves148-3-325:1727
3Birmingham147-5-226:1326
4Stoke City148-2-422:1726
5Swansea148-2-421:1626
6West Brom147-4-320:1525
7Southampton148-4-229:1424
8West Ham146-5-336:2123
9Sheffield United146-4-420:1722
10Portsmouth146-4-419:1622
11QPR145-6-322:1721
12Norwich146-0-827:2418
13Millwall145-3-623:2418
14Blackburn145-3-620:2218
15Bristol City145-3-616:1918
16Wrexham144-5-517:1917
17Bolton145-2-719:2617
18Cardiff143-6-522:2315
19Lincoln144-3-714:2415
20Watford144-2-813:2314
21Charlton143-5-611:2214
22Burnley141-7-618:2610
23Derby141-4-911:297
24Preston141-2-1112:305

Recent matches

Wolves

4 NovWBristol City 1–2 Wolves
31 OctWWolves 3–0 Cardiff
24 OctWWolves 1–0 Watford
20 OctDWolves 1–1 Portsmouth
16 OctWBurnley 1–2 Wolves

Portsmouth

3 NovWPortsmouth 3–1 Swansea
31 OctDBurnley 0–0 Portsmouth
24 OctWPortsmouth 2–1 Millwall
20 OctDWolves 1–1 Portsmouth
17 OctWNorwich 0–1 Portsmouth

Home and away

Wolves at home7 matches: 4W 2D 1L, goals 13–7
Portsmouth away7 matches: 2W 3D 2L, goals 6–5

Head to head

All matches
0Wolves
1Draws
0Portsmouth
20/10/26 · Wolves 1–1 Portsmouth

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.3%

Questions and answers

What do we tip for Wolves vs Portsmouth?

Over 2.5 goals (1.86); Wolves to win (1.60).

Who will win Wolves vs Portsmouth?

We estimate: Wolves win 60%, draw 23%, Portsmouth win 17%.

Where and when is the game being played?

Date: 20 October 2026, kick-off: 19:45, venue: Molineux Stadium, Wolverhampton. Referee: Edward Duckworth, England.

Who will be missing?

Wolves: no absences. Portsmouth: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.

Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

We estimate over 2.5 goals at 53% (odds 1.86); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 47% (odds 2.07).

Will both teams score?

By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 51% (odds 1.87).

Which correct score is the likeliest?

We rate 1–0 as most likely (11.6%), then 2–0 (11.0%) and 1–1 (10.4%).

What are your predictions based on?

We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

More predictions

Derby vs Bolton 6 NovBristol City vs Norwich 7 NovPortsmouth vs Stoke City 7 NovWrexham vs Wolves 7 NovWatford vs Middlesbrough 7 Nov

18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.