Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Cesena v Empoli: 27 October 2026 · 19:00 at Dino Manuzzi (Cesena), with Mario Perri refereeing. We have Cesena (46%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
Cesena vs Empoli: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Cesena are 12th in the table, on 12 points after 10 matches (2W 6D 2L), and Empoli are 18th, on 8 points (2W 2D 6L).
- Attack and defence. On average Cesena score 1.0 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.5; for Empoli the figures are 0.9 scored and 1.6 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Cesena: 1W 5D 2L, goals 8–12; Empoli: 2W 1D 5L, goals 7–13.
- Head to head. From 8 meetings: 2 wins for Cesena, 4 wins for Empoli and 2 draws, with the goals at 12–16.
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 1–1 score estimate, roughly 2 goals in all, and 1–1 (12.5%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.80), and we rate it at 53%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 53% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 47% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 8; Cesena 2 wins, 2 draws, Empoli 4 wins.
- An average of 3.5 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Cesena 8–12, Empoli 7–13.
- Expected: roughly 2 goals; over 2.5 goals: 47%.
- Out: Cesena 0, Empoli 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 53%, best price 1.80). With roughly 2 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Cesena: no absences. Absent for Empoli: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Cesena vs Empoli: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.08 | 3.35 | 3.99 |
| Market average | 2.04 | 3.22 | 3.64 |
| Lowest odds | 1.95 | 3.02 | 3.13 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.34 | 1.29 | 72.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.11 | 1.99 | 47.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.85 | 1.80 | 52.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.60 | 3.39 | 27.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.75 | 53.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.01 | 1.98 | 47.0% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 27/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.7%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Cesena 1–1 Empoli, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Cesena 12th (12 points), Empoli 18th (8 points).
- Form in the competition: Cesena 1W 5D 2L (8:12), Empoli 2W 1D 5L (7:13).
- H2H: 8 matches: Cesena 2W 2D 4L, goals 12–16.
- Absences: Cesena 0, Empoli 0.
Who will win Cesena vs Empoli?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Cesena vs Empoli: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Cesena vs Empoli: team news and absences
Cesena
- No reported absences
Empoli
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palermo | 10 | 8-2-0 | 24:12 | 26 |
| 2 |  Modena | 10 | 6-2-2 | 18:10 | 20 |
| 3 |  Ascoli | 10 | 5-4-1 | 16:6 | 19 |
| 4 |  Mantova | 10 | 5-3-2 | 15:11 | 18 |
| 5 |  Avellino | 10 | 4-3-3 | 15:10 | 15 |
| 6 |  Benevento | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 7 |  Hellas Verona | 10 | 4-3-3 | 19:13 | 15 |
| 8 |  Pisa | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:15 | 15 |
| 9 |  Padova | 10 | 4-2-4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 10 |  Südtirol | 10 | 3-5-2 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 11 |  Cremonese | 10 | 3-3-4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 | Cesena | 10 | 2-6-2 | 11:14 | 12 |
| 13 |  Arezzo | 10 | 3-2-5 | 9:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  Virtus Entella | 10 | 2-4-4 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 15 |  Carrarese | 10 | 3-1-6 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 16 |  Juve Stabia | 10 | 3-4-3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 17 |  Vicenza Virtus | 10 | 2-3-5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 18 | Empoli | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:17 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sampdoria | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:18 | 8 |
| 20 |  Catanzaro | 10 | 1-3-6 | 11:22 | 6 |
Recent matches
Cesena
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
CesenaDWLDLEmpoliDLLDLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Cesena vs Empoli?
Draw or Empoli (X2) (1.80); Both teams to score (1.80).
Who will win Cesena vs Empoli?
We estimate: Cesena win 46%, draw 29%, Empoli win 26%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 27 October 2026, kick-off: 19:00, venue: Dino Manuzzi, Cesena. Referee: Mario Perri.
Who will be missing?
Cesena: no absences. Empoli: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 47% (odds 2.11); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 53% (odds 1.85).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 53% (odds 1.80).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (12.5%), then 1–0 (11.9%) and 2–1 (9.1%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.