Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Südtirol v Cesena: 31 October 2026 · 14:00 at Stadio Druso (Bozen), with Davide Di Marco refereeing. We see little between the teams. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
Südtirol vs Cesena: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Südtirol are 10th in the table, on 14 points after 10 matches (3W 5D 2L), and Cesena are 12th, on 12 points (2W 6D 2L).
- Attack and defence. On average Südtirol score 1.1 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.0; for Cesena the figures are 1.1 scored and 1.4 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Südtirol: 3W 4D 2L, goals 10–9; Cesena: 2W 5D 2L, goals 10–13.
- Head to head. From 8 meetings: 1 win for Südtirol, 2 wins for Cesena and 5 draws, with the goals at 5–6.
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 1–1 score estimate, roughly 2 goals in all, and 1–1 (12.8%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.
In the goals market we pick Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.75), and we rate it at 55%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 51% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 45% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 8; Südtirol 1 win, 5 draws, Cesena 2 wins.
- An average of 1.4 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Südtirol 10–9, Cesena 10–13.
- Expected: roughly 2 goals; over 2.5 goals: 45%.
- Out: Südtirol 0, Cesena 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 51%, best price 1.91). With roughly 2 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Südtirol: no absences. Absent for Cesena: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Südtirol vs Cesena: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.42 | 3.30 | 3.44 |
| Market average | 2.27 | 3.14 | 3.15 |
| Lowest odds | 2.09 | 3.00 | 2.94 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.39 | 1.34 | 69.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.28 | 2.11 | 44.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.75 | 1.71 | 55.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.10 | 3.72 | 25.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.91 | 1.82 | 51.2% |
| BTTS – no | 1.94 | 1.91 | 48.8% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 31/10/26, 07:09. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.7%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Südtirol 1–1 Cesena, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Südtirol 10th (14 points), Cesena 12th (12 points).
- Form in the competition: Südtirol 3W 4D 2L (10:9), Cesena 2W 5D 2L (10:13).
- H2H: 8 matches: Südtirol 1W 5D 2L, goals 5–6.
- Absences: Südtirol 0, Cesena 0.
Who will win Südtirol vs Cesena?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Südtirol vs Cesena: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Südtirol vs Cesena: team news and absences
Südtirol
- No reported absences
Cesena
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palermo | 10 | 8-2-0 | 24:12 | 26 |
| 2 |  Modena | 10 | 6-2-2 | 18:10 | 20 |
| 3 |  Ascoli | 10 | 5-4-1 | 16:6 | 19 |
| 4 |  Mantova | 10 | 5-3-2 | 15:11 | 18 |
| 5 |  Avellino | 10 | 4-3-3 | 15:10 | 15 |
| 6 |  Benevento | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 7 |  Hellas Verona | 10 | 4-3-3 | 19:13 | 15 |
| 8 |  Pisa | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:15 | 15 |
| 9 |  Padova | 10 | 4-2-4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 10 | Südtirol | 10 | 3-5-2 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 11 |  Cremonese | 10 | 3-3-4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 | Cesena | 10 | 2-6-2 | 11:14 | 12 |
| 13 |  Arezzo | 10 | 3-2-5 | 9:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  Virtus Entella | 10 | 2-4-4 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 15 |  Carrarese | 10 | 3-1-6 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 16 |  Juve Stabia | 10 | 3-4-3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 17 |  Vicenza Virtus | 10 | 2-3-5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 18 |  Empoli | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:17 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sampdoria | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:18 | 8 |
| 20 |  Catanzaro | 10 | 1-3-6 | 11:22 | 6 |
Recent matches
Südtirol
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
SüdtirolDLDLDCesenaDWLDLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Südtirol vs Cesena?
Both teams to score (1.91); Südtirol or draw (1X) (1.37).
Who will win Südtirol vs Cesena?
We estimate: Südtirol win 41%, draw 30%, Cesena win 30%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 31 October 2026, kick-off: 14:00, venue: Stadio Druso, Bozen. Referee: Davide Di Marco.
Who will be missing?
Südtirol: no absences. Cesena: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 45% (odds 2.28); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 55% (odds 1.75).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 51% (odds 1.91).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (12.8%), then 1–0 (11.6%) and 0–1 (9.5%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.