Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Empoli play Vicenza Virtus at home on 23 October 2026 · 19:30 at Carlo Castellani (Empoli); the referee is Claudio Giuseppe Allegretta, Italy. For us, there is no clear favourite. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Empoli are 18th in the table, on 8 points after 10 matches (2W 2D 6L), and Vicenza Virtus are 17th, on 9 points (2W 3D 5L).
- Head to head. From 5 meetings: 3 wins for Empoli, 1 win for Vicenza Virtus and 1 draw, with the goals at 10–6.
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 1–1 score estimate, roughly 2 goals in all, and 1–1 (12.1%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.67), and we rate it at 57%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 57% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 52% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 5; Empoli 3 wins, 1 draw, Vicenza Virtus 1 win.
- An average of 3.2 goals per meeting between these teams.
- Expected: roughly 2 goals; over 2.5 goals: 52%.
- Out: Empoli 0, Vicenza Virtus 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 57%, best price 1.67). With roughly 2 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Empoli: no absences. Absent for Vicenza Virtus: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.62 | 3.39 | 3.00 |
| Market average | 2.53 | 3.28 | 2.72 |
| Lowest odds | 2.45 | 3.10 | 2.60 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.29 | 1.24 | 75.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.93 | 1.83 | 51.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.98 | 1.95 | 48.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.41 | 3.05 | 30.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.62 | 57.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.25 | 2.16 | 42.9% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 23/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.9%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Empoli 1–1 Vicenza Virtus, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Empoli 18th (8 points), Vicenza Virtus 17th (9 points).
- H2H: 5 matches: Empoli 3W 1D 1L, goals 10–6.
- Absences: Empoli 0, Vicenza Virtus 0.
Who will win Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus: team news and absences
Empoli
- No reported absences
Vicenza Virtus
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palermo | 10 | 8-2-0 | 24:12 | 26 |
| 2 |  Modena | 10 | 6-2-2 | 18:10 | 20 |
| 3 |  Ascoli | 10 | 5-4-1 | 16:6 | 19 |
| 4 |  Mantova | 10 | 5-3-2 | 15:11 | 18 |
| 5 |  Avellino | 10 | 4-3-3 | 15:10 | 15 |
| 6 |  Benevento | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 7 |  Hellas Verona | 10 | 4-3-3 | 19:13 | 15 |
| 8 |  Pisa | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:15 | 15 |
| 9 |  Padova | 10 | 4-2-4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 10 |  Südtirol | 10 | 3-5-2 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 11 |  Cremonese | 10 | 3-3-4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cesena | 10 | 2-6-2 | 11:14 | 12 |
| 13 |  Arezzo | 10 | 3-2-5 | 9:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  Virtus Entella | 10 | 2-4-4 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 15 |  Carrarese | 10 | 3-1-6 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 16 |  Juve Stabia | 10 | 3-4-3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 17 | Vicenza Virtus | 10 | 2-3-5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 18 | Empoli | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:17 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sampdoria | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:18 | 8 |
| 20 |  Catanzaro | 10 | 1-3-6 | 11:22 | 6 |
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus?
Vicenza Virtus +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.81); Both teams to score (1.67).
Who will win Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus?
We estimate: Empoli win 37%, draw 29%, Vicenza Virtus win 34%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 23 October 2026, kick-off: 19:30, venue: Carlo Castellani, Empoli. Referee: Claudio Giuseppe Allegretta, Italy.
Who will be missing?
Empoli: no absences. Vicenza Virtus: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 52% (odds 1.93); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 48% (odds 1.98).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 57% (odds 1.67).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (12.1%), then 1–0 (8.9%) and 0–1 (8.6%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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