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Serie B · Matchweek 9 · 27 October 2026 · 19:00

Vicenza Virtus vs Modena: prediction, tip and odds, 27 October 2026, Serie B

1–2
DWWLW
1Vicenza Virtus3.80
XDraw3.50
2Modena2.08

Best price · Updated 27/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 1–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Vicenza Virtus v Modena: 27 October 2026 · 19:00 at Stadio Romeo Menti (Vicenza), with Daniele Perenzoni refereeing. We have Modena (46%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.

Vicenza Virtus vs Modena: tip and prediction
Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.86
Result
Modena to win
2.08
53%Chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Modena (X2): 73% probability, best odds 1.32.

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Vicenza Virtus vs Modena: analysis of the match

What our tip is based on

  1. Table. Vicenza Virtus are 17th in the table, on 9 points after 10 matches (2W 3D 5L), and Modena are 2nd, on 20 points (6W 2D 2L).
  2. Attack and defence. On average Vicenza Virtus score 1.4 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.9; for Modena the figures are 1.9 scored and 1.0 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Vicenza Virtus: 2W 3D 3L, goals 11–15; Modena: 5W 1D 2L, goals 15–8.
  4. Head to head. From 3 meetings: 1 win for Vicenza Virtus, 1 win for Modena and 1 draw, with the goals at 2–2.

What to expect

For us, Modena are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (11.7%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.

In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.65), and we rate it at 58%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 58% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 53% chance.

Prediction summary

  1. Meetings: 3; Vicenza Virtus 1 win, 1 draw, Modena 1 win.
  2. An average of 1.3 goals per meeting between these teams.
  3. In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Vicenza Virtus 11–15, Modena 15–8.
  4. Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 53%.
  5. Out: Vicenza Virtus 0, Modena 0.

Alternative tip: BTTS – yes

Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 58%, best price 1.65). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.

Absences

Absent for Vicenza Virtus: no absences. Absent for Modena: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.

Vicenza Virtus vs Modena: compare the odds

Match result1X2
Best price3.803.502.08
Market average3.503.412.02
Lowest odds3.103.161.95
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.281.2275.9%
Over 2.5 goals1.861.7753.3%
Under 2.5 goals2.082.0346.7%
Over 3.5 goals3.122.8832.5%
BTTS – yes1.651.6157.5%
BTTS – no2.252.1842.5%

Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 27/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.6%.

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At a glance

  • Likely result: Vicenza Virtus 1–1 Modena, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Vicenza Virtus 17th (9 points), Modena 2nd (20 points).
  • Form in the competition: Vicenza Virtus 2W 3D 3L (11:15), Modena 5W 1D 2L (15:8).
  • H2H: 3 matches: Vicenza Virtus 1W 1D 1L, goals 2–2.
  • Absences: Vicenza Virtus 0, Modena 0.

Who will win Vicenza Virtus vs Modena?

Vicenza Virtus27%
Draw27%
Modena46%

Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

Vicenza Virtus vs Modena: more betting tips

Over 1.5 goals75.9% · fair odds 1.32 · best 1.28
Likely
Draw or Modena (X2)73.4% · fair odds 1.36 · best 1.32
Likely
Under 3.5 goals67.5% · fair odds 1.48 · best 1.40
Likely
BTTS – yes57.5% · fair odds 1.74 · best 1.65
Possible
Over 2.5 goals53.3% · fair odds 1.88 · best 1.86
Possible
Under 2.5 goals46.7% · fair odds 2.14 · best 2.08
Outsider
Modena to win46.1% · fair odds 2.17 · best 2.08
Outsider
BTTS – no42.5% · fair odds 2.35 · best 2.25
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals32.5% · fair odds 3.08 · best 3.12
Outsider
Draw27.3% · fair odds 3.66 · best 3.50
Outsider
Vicenza Virtus to win26.6% · fair odds 3.76 · best 3.80
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

Tips on corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.89 · Under 1.86
probability of over 49.6%
Cardsline 4.5 cards
Over 2.11 · Under 1.67
probability of over 44.2%

Correct score prediction

1 : 111.7%
0 : 19.7%
1 : 29.3%
0 : 27.8%
1 : 07.3%
2 : 17.0%

Vicenza Virtus vs Modena: team news and absences

Vicenza Virtus

  • No reported absences

Modena

  • No reported absences

Changes are possible before kick-off.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Palermo108-2-024:1226
2Modena106-2-218:1020
3Ascoli105-4-116:619
4Mantova105-3-215:1118
5Avellino104-3-315:1015
6Benevento104-3-314:1015
7Hellas Verona104-3-319:1315
8Pisa104-3-318:1515
9Padova104-2-410:1114
10Südtirol103-5-211:1014
11Cremonese103-3-410:1112
12Cesena102-6-211:1412
13Arezzo103-2-59:1911
14Virtus Entella102-4-411:1210
15Carrarese103-1-69:1310
16Juve Stabia103-4-311:119
17Vicenza Virtus102-3-513:209
18Empoli102-2-610:178
19Sampdoria102-2-610:188
20Catanzaro101-3-611:226

Recent matches

Vicenza Virtus

1 NovLPalermo 3–1 Vicenza Virtus
27 OctLVicenza Virtus 1–2 Modena
23 OctWEmpoli 0–2 Vicenza Virtus
17 OctDBenevento 2–2 Vicenza Virtus
10 OctLVicenza Virtus 0–3 Pisa

Modena

31 OctDModena 1–1 Mantova
27 OctWVicenza Virtus 1–2 Modena
24 OctWModena 3–0 Cesena
17 OctLCarrarese 2–1 Modena
11 OctWModena 3–2 Hellas Verona

Home and away

Vicenza Virtus at home4 matches: 1W 1D 2L, goals 5–8
Modena away5 matches: 3W 1D 1L, goals 9–5

Team comparison

Vicenza VirtusModena
33%Form67%
38%Attack63%
43%Defence57%
67%Head to head33%
100%Goals0%
41.8%Overall58.4%

Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.

Form in the competition

Vicenza VirtusLLWDL
ModenaDWWLW

Head to head

All matches
1Vicenza Virtus
1Draws
1Modena
27/10/26 · Vicenza Virtus 1–2 Modena
22/1/20 · Vicenza Virtus 1–0 Modena
25/8/19 · Modena 0–0 Vicenza Virtus

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.6%

Questions and answers

What do we tip for Vicenza Virtus vs Modena?

Over 2.5 goals (1.86); Modena to win (2.08).

Who will win Vicenza Virtus vs Modena?

We estimate: Vicenza Virtus win 27%, draw 27%, Modena win 46%.

Where and when is the game being played?

Date: 27 October 2026, kick-off: 19:00, venue: Stadio Romeo Menti, Vicenza. Referee: Daniele Perenzoni.

Who will be missing?

Vicenza Virtus: no absences. Modena: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.

Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

We estimate over 2.5 goals at 53% (odds 1.86); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 47% (odds 2.08).

Will both teams score?

By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 58% (odds 1.65).

Which correct score is the likeliest?

We rate 1–1 as most likely (11.7%), then 0–1 (9.7%) and 1–2 (9.3%).

What are your predictions based on?

We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

More predictions

Ascoli vs Palermo 6 NovCesena vs Catanzaro 7 NovPisa vs Südtirol 7 NovJuve Stabia vs Arezzo 7 NovPadova vs Empoli 7 Nov

18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.