Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Espanyol v Atlético Madrid: 17 October 2026 · 13:00 at RCDE Stadium (Cornellà), with Alejandro Hernández, Spain refereeing. We have Atlético Madrid (56%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
Espanyol vs Atlético Madrid: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Espanyol are 14th in the table, on 11 points after 11 matches (3W 2D 6L), and Atlético Madrid are 2nd, on 28 points (9W 1D 1L).
What to expect
For us, Atlético Madrid are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (10.7%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.50), and we rate it at 65%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 55% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 56% chance.
Prediction summary
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 56%.
- Out: Espanyol 0, Atlético Madrid 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals (probability 56%, best price 1.79). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Espanyol: no absences. Absent for Atlético Madrid: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Espanyol vs Atlético Madrid: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 5.17 | 4.12 | 1.75 |
| Market average | 4.87 | 4.01 | 1.70 |
| Lowest odds | 4.60 | 3.75 | 1.67 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.23 | 1.22 | 76.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.79 | 1.72 | 55.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.23 | 2.15 | 44.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.76 | 2.67 | 35.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.73 | 1.69 | 55.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.10 | 2.07 | 44.9% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 17/10/26, 10:17. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 4.3%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Espanyol 1–1 Atlético Madrid, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Espanyol 14th (11 points), Atlético Madrid 2nd (28 points).
- Absences: Espanyol 0, Atlético Madrid 0.
Who will win Espanyol vs Atlético Madrid?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Espanyol vs Atlético Madrid: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Espanyol vs Atlético Madrid: team news and absences
Espanyol
- No reported absences
Atlético Madrid
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 11 | 10-0-1 | 46:12 | 30 |
| 2 | Atlético Madrid | 11 | 9-1-1 | 22:8 | 28 |
| 3 |  Real Madrid | 11 | 9-0-2 | 28:10 | 27 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 11 | 7-2-2 | 18:15 | 23 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 11 | 6-1-4 | 20:20 | 19 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 7 |  Athletic Club | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Deportivo La Coruña | 11 | 3-5-3 | 15:14 | 14 |
| 9 |  Villarreal | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 10 |  Celta Vigo | 11 | 2-6-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 11 |  Alavés | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:17 | 12 |
| 12 |  Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 3-3-4 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 13 |  Getafe | 11 | 3-3-5 | 8:16 | 12 |
| 14 | Espanyol | 11 | 3-2-6 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 15 |  Osasuna | 11 | 3-2-6 | 11:22 | 11 |
| 16 |  Racing Santander | 11 | 3-2-6 | 15:29 | 11 |
| 17 |  Elche | 11 | 2-4-5 | 14:18 | 10 |
| 18 |  Levante | 11 | 2-4-5 | 16:21 | 10 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 11 | 2-3-6 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 20 |  Málaga | 11 | 0-5-6 | 8:21 | 5 |
Recent matches
Espanyol
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Espanyol vs Atlético Madrid?
Over 2.5 goals (1.79); Atlético Madrid to win (1.75).
Who will win Espanyol vs Atlético Madrid?
We estimate: Espanyol win 20%, draw 24%, Atlético Madrid win 56%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 17 October 2026, kick-off: 13:00, venue: RCDE Stadium, Cornellà. Referee: Alejandro Hernández, Spain.
Who will be missing?
Espanyol: no absences. Atlético Madrid: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 56% (odds 1.79); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 44% (odds 2.23).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 55% (odds 1.73).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (10.7%), then 0–1 (10.2%) and 1–2 (9.9%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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