Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Villarreal play Espanyol at home on 30 October 2026 · 20:00 at Estadio de la Cerámica (Villarreal); the referee is José María Sánchez Martínez. For us, Villarreal (68%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Villarreal vs Espanyol: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Villarreal are 9th in the table, on 12 points after 11 matches (3W 3D 5L), and Espanyol are 14th, on 11 points (3W 2D 6L).
- Attack and defence. On average Villarreal score 1.5 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.4; for Espanyol the figures are 1.2 scored and 1.4 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Villarreal: 3W 3D 4L, goals 15–14; Espanyol: 2W 2D 6L, goals 12–14.
- Head to head. From 29 meetings: 14 wins for Villarreal, 5 wins for Espanyol and 10 draws, with the goals at 45–28.
What to expect
For us, Villarreal are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 2–1 (9.6%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.47), and we rate it at 66%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 58% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 66% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 29; Villarreal 14 wins, 10 draws, Espanyol 5 wins.
- An average of 2.5 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Villarreal 15–14, Espanyol 12–14.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 66%.
- Out: Villarreal 3, Espanyol 5.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 58%, best price 1.67). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Villarreal: I. Akhomach, P. Gueye, N. Saliba. Absent for Espanyol: K. Garcia, U. Gonzalez, A. Gorosabel, Jofre, C. Riedel. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Villarreal vs Espanyol: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.45 | 5.43 | 7.63 |
| Market average | 1.40 | 5.15 | 6.95 |
| Lowest odds | 1.36 | 4.45 | 5.90 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.15 | 1.11 | 84.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.47 | 1.43 | 65.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.82 | 2.75 | 34.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.23 | 2.12 | 44.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.61 | 57.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.26 | 2.21 | 42.2% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 30/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 5.4%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Villarreal 2–1 Espanyol, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Villarreal 9th (12 points), Espanyol 14th (11 points).
- Form in the competition: Villarreal 3W 3D 4L (15:14), Espanyol 2W 2D 6L (12:14).
- H2H: 29 matches: Villarreal 14W 10D 5L, goals 45–28.
- Absences: Villarreal 3, Espanyol 5.
Who will win Villarreal vs Espanyol?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Villarreal vs Espanyol: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Villarreal vs Espanyol: team news and absences
Villarreal
- I. Akhomachmuscle injury · will miss the match
- P. Gueyered card · will miss the match
- N. Salibainjury · will miss the match
Espanyol
- K. Garciahamstring injury · will miss the match
- U. Gonzalezabsence · will miss the match
- A. Gorosabelabsence · will miss the match
- Jofregroin injury · will miss the match
- C. Riedelabsence · will miss the match
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 11 | 10-0-1 | 46:12 | 30 |
| 2 |  Atlético Madrid | 11 | 9-1-1 | 22:8 | 28 |
| 3 |  Real Madrid | 11 | 9-0-2 | 28:10 | 27 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 11 | 7-2-2 | 18:15 | 23 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 11 | 6-1-4 | 20:20 | 19 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 7 |  Athletic Club | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Deportivo La Coruña | 11 | 3-5-3 | 15:14 | 14 |
| 9 | Villarreal | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 10 |  Celta Vigo | 11 | 2-6-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 11 |  Alavés | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:17 | 12 |
| 12 |  Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 3-3-4 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 13 |  Getafe | 11 | 3-3-5 | 8:16 | 12 |
| 14 | Espanyol | 11 | 3-2-6 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 15 |  Osasuna | 11 | 3-2-6 | 11:22 | 11 |
| 16 |  Racing Santander | 11 | 3-2-6 | 15:29 | 11 |
| 17 |  Elche | 11 | 2-4-5 | 14:18 | 10 |
| 18 |  Levante | 11 | 2-4-5 | 16:21 | 10 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 11 | 2-3-6 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 20 |  Málaga | 11 | 0-5-6 | 8:21 | 5 |
Recent matches
Villarreal
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
VillarrealLWDLWEspanyolWLLDLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Villarreal vs Espanyol?
Under 3.5 goals (1.83); Villarreal to win (1.45).
Who will win Villarreal vs Espanyol?
We estimate: Villarreal win 68%, draw 18%, Espanyol win 14%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 30 October 2026, kick-off: 20:00, venue: Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal. Referee: José María Sánchez Martínez.
Who will be missing?
Villarreal: I. Akhomach, P. Gueye, N. Saliba. Espanyol: K. Garcia, U. Gonzalez, A. Gorosabel, Jofre, C. Riedel. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 66% (odds 1.47); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 34% (odds 2.82).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 58% (odds 1.67).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 2–1 as most likely (9.6%), then 2–0 (9.6%) and 1–1 (8.0%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.