Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
It is Newcastle against Everton on 2 November 2026 · 20:00 at St James' Park (Newcastle upon Tyne), and John Brooks will referee. This one looks too close to call. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
Newcastle vs Everton: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Newcastle are 13th in the table, on 11 points after 9 matches (3W 2D 4L), and Everton are 7th, on 13 points (3W 4D 2L).
- Attack and defence. On average Newcastle score 1.5 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.8; for Everton the figures are 1.0 scored and 1.1 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Newcastle: 3W 2D 3L, goals 12–14; Everton: 2W 4D 2L, goals 8–9.
- Head to head. From 33 meetings: 10 wins for Newcastle, 18 wins for Everton and 5 draws, with the goals at 41–54.
What to expect
For us, Newcastle are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (11.4%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.51), and we rate it at 64%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 60% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 56% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 33; Newcastle 10 wins, 5 draws, Everton 18 wins.
- An average of 2.9 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Newcastle 12–14, Everton 8–9.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 56%.
- Out: Newcastle 5, Everton 1.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 60%, best price 1.57). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Newcastle: E. Jaouen, V. Livramento, M. Fernandez-Pardo, L. Miley, W. Osula. Absent for Everton: J. Grealish. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Newcastle vs Everton: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.23 | 3.70 | 3.43 |
| Market average | 2.17 | 3.56 | 3.27 |
| Lowest odds | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.13 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.24 | 1.21 | 78.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.77 | 1.71 | 56.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.27 | 2.17 | 44.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.77 | 2.66 | 35.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.55 | 59.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.50 | 2.31 | 40.2% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 2/11/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 4.8%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Newcastle 1–1 Everton, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Newcastle 13th (11 points), Everton 7th (13 points).
- Form in the competition: Newcastle 3W 2D 3L (12:14), Everton 2W 4D 2L (8:9).
- H2H: 33 matches: Newcastle 10W 5D 18L, goals 41–54.
- Absences: Newcastle 5, Everton 1.
Who will win Newcastle vs Everton?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Newcastle vs Everton: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Newcastle vs Everton: team news and absences
Newcastle
- E. Jaouenmuscle injury · will miss the match
- V. Livramentoknee injury · will miss the match
- M. Fernandez-Pardoillness · doubtful
- L. Mileymuscle injury · doubtful
- W. Osulaankle injury · doubtful
Everton
- J. Grealishabsence · doubtful
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 9 | 8-0-1 | 14:5 | 24 |
| 2 |  Manchester City | 9 | 7-0-2 | 20:10 | 21 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 9 | 6-1-2 | 24:7 | 19 |
| 4 |  Chelsea | 9 | 5-1-3 | 19:15 | 16 |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 9 | 4-3-2 | 11:9 | 15 |
| 6 |  Brentford | 9 | 3-5-1 | 16:9 | 14 |
| 7 | Everton | 9 | 3-4-2 | 9:9 | 13 |
| 8 |  Bournemouth | 9 | 3-3-3 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 9 |  Tottenham | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 10 |  Aston Villa | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 11 |  Hull City | 9 | 2-5-2 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 12 |  Leeds | 9 | 2-5-2 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 13 | Newcastle | 9 | 3-2-4 | 12:15 | 11 |
| 14 |  Ipswich | 9 | 3-2-4 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 15 |  Fulham | 9 | 2-3-4 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 16 |  Coventry | 9 | 3-0-6 | 9:16 | 9 |
| 17 |  Manchester United | 9 | 1-4-4 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 18 |  Crystal Palace | 9 | 2-1-6 | 9:21 | 7 |
| 19 |  Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1-3-5 | 6:12 | 6 |
| 20 |  Sunderland | 9 | 1-2-6 | 7:17 | 5 |
Recent matches
Newcastle
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
NewcastleLWLLWEvertonWLLDWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Newcastle vs Everton?
Over 2.5 goals (1.77); Newcastle or draw (1X) (1.36).
Who will win Newcastle vs Everton?
We estimate: Newcastle win 44%, draw 27%, Everton win 29%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 2 November 2026, kick-off: 20:00, venue: St James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne. Referee: John Brooks.
Who will be missing?
Newcastle: E. Jaouen, V. Livramento, M. Fernandez-Pardo, L. Miley, W. Osula. Everton: J. Grealish. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 56% (odds 1.77); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 44% (odds 2.27).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 60% (odds 1.57).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (11.4%), then 2–1 (9.2%) and 1–0 (8.8%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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